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Tim Fox

Tim Fox

Dubai
Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

Articles

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell announced a significant policy shift in the way the Fed targets inflation at his Jackson Hole speech a fortnight ago, moving away from a rigid 2 per cent inflation target and replacing it with a 'a flexible form of average inflation targeting'. AFP
Federal Reserve reignites euro-dollar currency tensions

Change to the Fed’s inflation target sets off renewed dollar weakness and triggers alarm in the eurozone

MoneySeptember 06, 2020
Turkey's central bank has increased mandatory reserve ratios for lenders that meet certain requirements for credit growth, but this has failed to reverse the lira’s losses. AFP
Turkish lira needs to avoid more ‘self-inflicted’ wounds

The central bank has been avoiding monetary policy tightening in the face of rising inflation

MoneyAugust 23, 2020
With money starting to exit equities and bonds offering slim returns, it comes as no surprise that other markets have moved into the limelight. AFP
Gold seizes the limelight as equities hesitate amid mixed data

Market concerns about corporate earnings, fresh stimulus measures, US-China relations and the US election in November may finally catch up with the bull market

MoneyAugust 10, 2020
In July, the EU approved a €750 billion economic stimulus plan. Bloomberg
The US dollar is struggling to resist an improving euro

The greenback is lagging on the back of a stalled Covid-19 stimulus plan, falling US 10-year Treasury yields and the EU budget deal

MoneyJuly 26, 2020
The stock exchange in Shanghai. The latest data shows that China returned to growth in the second quarter, although domestic consumption and investment remain weak. EPA
China’s stock rally defies broader market concerns

Global markets slide on rising US-China tensions and jump in coronavirus cases

MoneyJuly 12, 2020
People queue outside the Utah Department of workforce Services, in Salt Lake City. The markets should have been cautious about reading too much into May’s more encouraging US employment figures. Associated Press
Why we are now set for a U-shaped global economic recovery

May’s US jobs figures lifted markets, with many expecting a V-shaped turnaround, but gloomier data has changed the outlook

MoneyJune 14, 2020
In July, the EU approved a €750 billion economic stimulus plan. Bloomberg
The euro rallies as the European Union addresses fiscal flaws

The currency is now at its highest level since lockdowns began in the continent in March

MoneyMay 31, 2020
Among the concerns are renewed US-China trade and financial market tensions, after Donald Trump blamed China for causing the Covid-19 pandemic. Bloomberg
The three concerns demanding market attention over the past week

How policymakers respond to the crisis has consequences for economies and stock markets

MoneyMay 17, 2020
A man looks at an electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei 225 index at a securities firm in Tokyo. Tim Fox says there are still plenty of reasons to remain wary of the pace and extent of recent equity market recoveries. Assoicated Press
Markets are in better shape but they haven't priced in the warnings on what's to come

Scientists and policymakers are urging caution, and Donald Trump's campaign against China may also be costly

MoneyMay 03, 2020
People walk along a quiet Wall Street past the New York Stock Exchange in New York. Despite the IMF expecting the US to contract by 5.9 per cent this year, markets have rallied in recent days. EPA
Why the markets are defying the 'perfect storm' of negative economic data

While the IMF anticipates a sharp contraction in global GDP this year, markets are taking a more optimistic view

MoneyApril 19, 2020
Traders watch monitors at KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea. Equity markets have attempted to rally as policymakers rolled out the textbook responses seen during past global crises. Associated Press
Markets need to accept that this crisis is far from the norm

This is a healthcare crisis first, an economic crisis second and a financial crisis third, which is why fiscal measures are having less effect

MoneyApril 05, 2020
A currency exchange board in London shows the tourist rates for the British pound against the US dollar and the euro on March 19. The scramble for US dollars by investors seeking liquidity was one of the key features of the markets last week. AP
Central bank moves are gaining traction but there is still a long way to go

Policymakers are working hard to stem the damaging effects of coronavirus on the global markets​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

MoneyMarch 22, 2020
Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve. The regulator delivered an emergency half-percentage point interest rate cut last week in a bid to protect the longest-ever economic expansion from the spreading coronavirus. Bloomberg
Will central banks follow the Fed's lead and cut rates?

The US regulator took action last week as the effects of the coronavirus on the economy became clearer

MoneyMarch 08, 2020
A trader on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange. Economic data collected before the outbreak of the Covid-19 virus showed that major economies were already beginning 2020 on a soft footing. Photo: Reuters
Market optimism over the coronavirus recovery may be overhyped

Despite hopes of a swift revival once the outbreak subsides, economic data indicates otherwise

MoneyFebruary 23, 2020
An electronic stock board showing Japan's Nikkei 225 index at a securities firm in Tokyo. Tim Fox asks whether the markets will simply follow the Sars template of 2003, with equities falling and then bouncing back. AP
Markets price in easing coronavirus fears and positive economic data

The main boost for sentiment was China's decision to cut tariffs on $75bn of US imports

MoneyFebruary 09, 2020
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