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Tim Fox

Tim Fox

Dubai
Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

Articles

Policemen wearing protection masks patrol the arrival Terminal of Charles De Gaulle Airport in France. The virus has spread outside Asia and also harmed financial markets. AFP
How markets are responding to the coronavirus outbreak

Some assets prices are under pressure as investor sentiment towards Asia is adversely affected

MoneyJanuary 26, 2020
An employee working at a textile factory in Hangzhou in China's eastern Zhejiang province. The Caixin Purchasing Managers Index, a measure of the strength of China's non-oil economy, showed growth slowed slightly in December. AFP
Markets should get back to basics as geopolitical risks subside

Sustained progress in the US-China trade dispute and stability are needed to allow the global economy to recover, says Tim Fox

MoneyJanuary 13, 2020
US President Donald Trump said a trade agreement with China may only happen after the US elections in November 2020. Reuters
Uncertain outlook for the global economy as trade issues still dominate

Despite positive jobs data, Donald Trump's lack of haste over a trade deal is unsettling for the markets

MoneyDecember 08, 2019
Boris Johnson hopes to have a UK general election on December 12. AFP
The UK pound will struggle to rally as Brexit saga rumbles on​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Sterling gained 5 per cent when the UK agreed a Brexit deal with the EU, but an extension will dull any further surges

MoneyOctober 27, 2019
Special Envoy and Vice Premier of the People's Republic of China Liu He hands a letter from Chinese President Xi Jinping to US President Donald Trump. A partial trade deal between the US and China trade was agreed on Friday. AFP
Markets buoyed by trade war truce and possible Brexit deal — but how long will it last​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​?

A partial agreement between the US and China and progress between the UK and the EU have lifted investor sentiment

MoneyOctober 13, 2019
President Donald Trump gave his blessing for a Turkish operation against Kurdish forces in northern Syria, saying the United States will stand aside as Ankara launches its "long-planned" operation. EPA
Why a Trump impeachment may inflict further blows to financial markets

The global economy is already under pressure from trade wars, Brexit and geopolitical woes

MoneySeptember 29, 2019
Pedestrians are reflected in a window at the Nasdaq MarketSite in the Times Square area of New York. with so much volatility, central bankers and investors have little chance of accurately calibrating the correct level for interest rates, bonds and for stocks. Bloomberg
No end in sight for the markets' roller coaster ride

With geopolitical risks, the trade war and Brexit changing almost daily, investors face uncertainty for some time to come

MoneySeptember 08, 2019
Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank. The ECB sent a strong signal last week that monetary support for the euro-area economy will be stepped up after the summer break, with lower interest rates and renewed asset purchases on the table. Alex Kraus/Bloomberg
Monetary policy might be running out of steam

Central banks are moving towards an era of cheaper money but the strategy is already failing to pay off

MoneyJuly 29, 2019
Although US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the independence of the Fed in his latest testimony, it is it is almost certain that he will face pressure from Mr Trump to be more aggressive in cutting rates later this month. Photo: Reuters
Central bank politicisation of growing concern

Even the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are no longer immune to pressure from governments

MoneyJuly 14, 2019
Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to resume trade negotiations at the G20 meeting in Osaka, Japan. Getty
Market relief may be as short-lived as the US-China trade truce

While talks between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping may be back on, it is unclear how long the optimism will last

MoneyJune 30, 2019
Traders at the New York Stock Exchange in New York City. Market movements are dominated by the trade war and geopolitics. Reuters
Turbulent times – but Fed and Opec meetings can calm the markets

With trade tensions and geopolitics at heightened levels, policy decisions are taking on more significance than ever

MoneyJune 17, 2019
Leaders across the world, including those of China and the United States, have been blamed for the way they have tackled the coronavirus pandemic. AP Photo
The latest trade dispute twist increases recession risks for major economies

Tim Fox says the outcome of the US-China trade talks are taking place at a critical moment for the world economy

MoneyMay 19, 2019
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange. Chinese equities are at the forefront of the latest rally. Reuters
Global market rally indicates growing consumer confidence over China

Investors believe the stimulus provided by the Chinese government will support the economy with a US trade deal within reach

MoneyApril 21, 2019
International Monetary Fund managing director Christine Lagarde said Tuesday, April 2 the global economy is at a “delicate moment,” but said the IMF does not forecast a recession in its updated economic outlook to be released this week. Photo: AP
Equity markets and oil prices bring signs of optimism

Bond markets have eased up on their previous message of deflation and impending recession

MoneyApril 07, 2019
US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said it would take a very strong rebound in growth and inflation to get the Fed back on its tightening path. Photo: Reuters
Fed's decision to end the tightening cycle will boost GCC economies

The region will no longer face the possible headwind of further rate hikes this year

MoneyMarch 24, 2019
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