People watch the sunset from a peak at Papago Park in Phoenix, Arizona. AP
People watch the sunset from a peak at Papago Park in Phoenix, Arizona. AP
People watch the sunset from a peak at Papago Park in Phoenix, Arizona. AP
People watch the sunset from a peak at Papago Park in Phoenix, Arizona. AP

More than 45 million people in US face dangerous heat


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A heatwave that has broiled the south-western US is forecast to reach the Midwest and Northeast with more than 45 million people under heat advisories.

More than 12 states were issued heat advisories by the National Weather Service, stretching from Southern California to the Midwest state of Montana and back down to Florida.

Phoenix, Arizona's capital, has faced a brutal onslaught of extreme heat. The southwestern city has experienced 25 consecutive days of temperatures exceeding 43°C, far surpassing a streak of 18 consecutive days that was set decades ago. Overnight temperatures are bringing little solace, too, with temperature lows not dropping below 32°C for more than two weeks.

The metropolitan Phoenix area has reported 18 heat-related deaths this year. Another 69 suspected heat deaths are being investigated, the Maricopa County Department of Public Health said.

Extreme heat is the number-one weather-related killer in the country, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Heat index values are also expected to exceed or be near 32°C in Kansas City, Missouri; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and along the I-95 motorway corridor.

“The heat in the Southwest, Southern/Central Plains and southern Florida is also expected to persist over the coming days with many places likely to rival high and low temperature records,” the NWS said in its Tuesday bulletin.

“Excessive Heat Warnings are in effect across the Desert Southwest and Heat Advisories are in effect over portions of the Great Plains and southern Florida.”

This month has been the hottest that the planet has experienced.

Residents try to cool off during a heatwave in Phoenix, Arizona. Bloomberg
Residents try to cool off during a heatwave in Phoenix, Arizona. Bloomberg

Partly responsible for the blistering temperatures is a natural phenomenon called El Nino, which creates periods of warm water as east-to-west trade winds weaken. As a result, areas experience hotter and dryer conditions then normal.

A study released on Tuesday pinned much of the responsibility on climate change, arguing that the record-breaking heatwaves oppressing North America and Europe would not have occurred without it.

“European and North American temperatures would have been virtually impossible without the effects of climate change,” said Izidine Pinto of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute.

Heatwaves are expected to occur every two to five years if average global temperatures increase by 2°C above pre-industrial levels, the study's researched reported.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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What the law says

Micro-retirement is not a recognised concept or employment status under Federal Decree Law No. 33 of 2021 on the Regulation of Labour Relations (as amended) (UAE Labour Law). As such, it reflects a voluntary work-life balance practice, rather than a recognised legal employment category, according to Dilini Loku, senior associate for law firm Gateley Middle East.

“Some companies may offer formal sabbatical policies or career break programmes; however, beyond such arrangements, there is no automatic right or statutory entitlement to extended breaks,” she explains.

“Any leave taken beyond statutory entitlements, such as annual leave, is typically regarded as unpaid leave in accordance with Article 33 of the UAE Labour Law. While employees may legally take unpaid leave, such requests are subject to the employer’s discretion and require approval.”

If an employee resigns to pursue micro-retirement, the employment contract is terminated, and the employer is under no legal obligation to rehire the employee in the future unless specific contractual agreements are in place (such as return-to-work arrangements), which are generally uncommon, Ms Loku adds.

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Size: 10,000 users by the end of July and a goal of 200,000 users by the end of the year

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Second round raised Dh720,000 from silent investors in June this year

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Should late investors consider cryptocurrencies?

Wealth managers recommend late investors to have a balanced portfolio that typically includes traditional assets such as cash, government and corporate bonds, equities, commodities and commercial property.

They do not usually recommend investing in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies due to the risk and volatility associated with them.

“It has produced eye-watering returns for some, whereas others have lost substantially as this has all depended purely on timing and when the buy-in was. If someone still has about 20 to 25 years until retirement, there isn’t any need to take such risks,” Rupert Connor of Abacus Financial Consultant says.

He adds that if a person is interested in owning a business or growing a property portfolio to increase their retirement income, this can be encouraged provided they keep in mind the overall risk profile of these assets.

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