Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer. Getty Images
Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer. Getty Images
Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer. Getty Images
Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer. Getty Images

British Conservatives facing massive 250-seat Labour majority, election polls suggest


Thomas Harding
  • English
  • Arabic

The fragile authority of the UK Prime Minister has come under attack after Tory MPs mounted a plot to unseat him, it has been reported.

Latest polling has found that Rishi Sunak faces a meltdown in the general election this year, with the opposition Labour Party potentially securing an enormous 250-seat majority.

The dire state of the governing party has led alleged Tory plotters to put forward the widely respected Penny Mordaunt as their leader.

Back benchers are reportedly keen to unseat Mr Sunak in a “bloodless coup”, replacing him with Ms Mordant, who holds the cabinet position of Leader of the Commons.

The apparent plotting, reported in several UK newspapers, has come as the Conservatives remain a steady 20 points behind Labour in the polls.

An unnamed corporate business study using seat-by-seat research has shown the potential scale of defeat facing the ruling party.

It said the Conservatives could fall to under 150 seats, even less than 165 the party won in 1997 election and the 156 in the Liberal Party landslide of 1906.

Analysts suggested the best-case scenario for the Conservatives would be for Labour’s support to suffer during the election campaign and backing for the anti-immigration Reform Party to drop, resulting in a 50-seat majority for the opposition.

The Tories have a 52-seat majority with 348 MPs but according to the Electoral Calculus website this could drop to 113 seats – or in a worse-case scenario as few as 42.

A Labour majority of more than 200 seats would dwarf the 179 majority that Tony Blair won in Labour's landslide 1997 election triumph.

Despite the grim polling prospects, there still remains a possibility of Mr Sunak calling a general election in June, if forced to do so by the internal turmoil, rather than an expected date in the autumn, most likely in November.

The much-respected Defence Minister James Heappey was the latest MP to announce he would not be standing in the election, becoming the 65th Conservative member to retire, a number that includes the former prime minister Theresa May.

“It’s all last-days-of-Rome stuff,” one political observer said.

Conflict, drought, famine

Estimates of the number of deaths caused by the famine range from 400,000 to 1 million, according to a document prepared for the UK House of Lords in 2024.
It has been claimed that the policies of the Ethiopian government, which took control after deposing Emperor Haile Selassie in a military-led revolution in 1974, contributed to the scale of the famine.
Dr Miriam Bradley, senior lecturer in humanitarian studies at the University of Manchester, has argued that, by the early 1980s, “several government policies combined to cause, rather than prevent, a famine which lasted from 1983 to 1985. Mengistu’s government imposed Stalinist-model agricultural policies involving forced collectivisation and villagisation [relocation of communities into planned villages].
The West became aware of the catastrophe through a series of BBC News reports by journalist Michael Buerk in October 1984 describing a “biblical famine” and containing graphic images of thousands of people, including children, facing starvation.

Band Aid

Bob Geldof, singer with the Irish rock group The Boomtown Rats, formed Band Aid in response to the horrific images shown in the news broadcasts.
With Midge Ure of the band Ultravox, he wrote the hit charity single Do They Know it’s Christmas in December 1984, featuring a string of high-profile musicians.
Following the single’s success, the idea to stage a rock concert evolved.
Live Aid was a series of simultaneous concerts that took place at Wembley Stadium in London, John F Kennedy Stadium in Philadelphia, the US, and at various other venues across the world.
The combined event was broadcast to an estimated worldwide audience of 1.5 billion.

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“Any leave taken beyond statutory entitlements, such as annual leave, is typically regarded as unpaid leave in accordance with Article 33 of the UAE Labour Law. While employees may legally take unpaid leave, such requests are subject to the employer’s discretion and require approval.”

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Key findings of Jenkins report
  • Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al Banna, "accepted the political utility of violence"
  • Views of key Muslim Brotherhood ideologue, Sayyid Qutb, have “consistently been understood” as permitting “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” and “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
  • Muslim Brotherhood at all levels has repeatedly defended Hamas attacks against Israel, including the use of suicide bombers and the killing of civilians.
  • Laying out the report in the House of Commons, David Cameron told MPs: "The main findings of the review support the conclusion that membership of, association with, or influence by the Muslim Brotherhood should be considered as a possible indicator of extremism."

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Our legal columnist

Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

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Updated: March 17, 2024, 8:57 PM`