Students open their GCSE results at the City of London Academy on August 12, 2021. Getty
Students open their GCSE results at the City of London Academy on August 12, 2021. Getty
Students open their GCSE results at the City of London Academy on August 12, 2021. Getty
Students open their GCSE results at the City of London Academy on August 12, 2021. Getty

Fewer top GCSE grades predicted as pupils return to exams


Soraya Ebrahimi
  • English
  • Arabic

Fewer top grades will be awarded to this year’s GCSE pupils and more are expected to fail as girls’ lead over boys narrows, an education expert has suggested.

There could be about 230,000 fewer top grades in the UK compared with 2021, but 230,000 more than 2019 as results move back towards pre-pandemic grading, said Prof Alan Smithers, director of the Centre for Education and Employment Research at the University of Buckingham.

The pattern was likely to be similar to the change in A-Level results on Thursday, when grades fell from pandemic highs but remained above 2019 levels, Prof Smithers said.

Last year, the proportion of GCSE entries awarded top grades surged to an all-time high after exams were cancelled for the second year because of Covid-19 and pupils were given results determined by their teachers.

Overall, 28.9 per cent of British GCSE entries were awarded one of the top grades, up by 2.7 percentage points on 2020.

In 2019, when exams were last held, only 20.8 per cent of entries achieved at least a 7 or an A grade.

Prof Smithers said this year, in which grades are expected to move back to about halfway between those of 2021 and 2019, will mean disappointment for many.

“In 2022, we can reasonably expect to see a drop in top grades, with many more failing to reach the pass level (C/4)," he said.

“In England, the biggest percentage fall will be at Grade 9s and many more will fall below Grade 4.

“We can take the A-Level results as pointers. At A-Level the top grades were cut, but not as far as the government was wanting, I suspect, because high marks were scored in the easier exams and lower grades for higher marks is going to be difficult to defend on appeal.”

Pupils receive their A-Level results in Britain - in pictures

Prof Smithers said he expected girls to remain “a long way ahead of boys with only a small narrowing of the gap from the return to exams”.

In the latest A-Level results, girls continued to outperform boys overall, although the gap decreased.

The proportion of girls who received A or above was 2.2 percentage points higher than boys this year, compared with a 4.8 percentage points difference last year.

As with A-Levels, extra help was provided for GCSE students with the return to exams, including more generous grading, advance information on topics, and formulas and equation sheets for GCSE maths, physics and combined science exams.

“Girls have been a lot further ahead at GCSE than at A-Level, so I would not expect to see a significant impact on GCSEs, especially with the modified exams,” said Prof Smithers.

UAE pupils get their A-Level results - in pictures

Figures covering GCSE entries from students in England, Wales and Northern Ireland will be published by the Joint Council for Qualifications on Thursday.

While traditional A*-G grades are used in Northern Ireland and Wales, in England these have been replaced in with a 9-1 system, where 9 is the highest.

A 4 is broadly equal to a C grade, and a 7 is broadly equal to an A.

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Key findings of Jenkins report
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Anti-semitic attacks
The annual report by the Community Security Trust, which advises the Jewish community on security , warned on Thursday that anti-Semitic incidents in Britain had reached a record high.

It found there had been 2,255 anti-Semitic incidents reported in 2021, a rise of 34 per cent from the previous year.

The report detailed the convictions of a number of people for anti-Semitic crimes, including one man who was jailed for setting up a neo-Nazi group which had encouraged “the eradication of Jewish people” and another who had posted anti-Semitic homemade videos on social media. 

AI traffic lights to ease congestion at seven points to Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Street

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Day 5, Abu Dhabi Test: At a glance

Moment of the day When Dilruwan Perera dismissed Yasir Shah to end Pakistan’s limp resistance, the Sri Lankans charged around the field with the fevered delirium of a side not used to winning. Trouble was, they had not. The delivery was deemed a no ball. Sri Lanka had a nervy wait, but it was merely a stay of execution for the beleaguered hosts.

Stat of the day – 5 Pakistan have lost all 10 wickets on the fifth day of a Test five times since the start of 2016. It is an alarming departure for a side who had apparently erased regular collapses from their resume. “The only thing I can say, it’s not a mitigating excuse at all, but that’s a young batting line up, obviously trying to find their way,” said Mickey Arthur, Pakistan’s coach.

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Starring: Salman Khan, Katrina Kaif, Sunil Grover

Rating: 2.5 out of 5 stars

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Starring: Bruce Willis, Toni Collette, Hayley Joel Osment

Director: M. Night Shyamalan

Rating: 5/5

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Director:Mike Mills

Stars:Joaquin Phoenix, Gaby Hoffmann, Woody Norman

Rating: 4/5

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Age 26

Born May 17, 1991

Height 1.80 metres

Birthplace Sydney, Australia

Residence Eastbourne, England

Plays Right-handed

WTA titles 3

Prize money US$5,761,870 (Dh21,162,343.75)

Wins / losses 312 / 181

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Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy 

Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong

Rating: 4.5/5

Updated: August 21, 2022, 11:01 PM`