Russia commanders are seeking to triple their force numbers in eastern Ukraine before they launch a major offensive, security officials have said.
But the effort is being delayed because the number of battalion tactical groups that have become “combat ineffective” has risen considerably from 29 to 38.
With just 90 BTGs available to fight, Moscow’s generals are desperately searching for replacements, with former soldiers who have left since 2012 being urged to return.
After its failure to take the capital, Kyiv, which led to considerable losses from the estimated total of 15,000 Russian dead, President Vladimir Putin is now seeking to seize a large chunk of eastern Ukraine.
Russian troops, including airborne forces, are gathering on the eastern border as well as to the north around Kharkiv and in the south to launch a pincer movement to entrap the estimated 30,000 Ukrainian troops in Donbas.
But the need to amalgamate battered BTGs and draw up reinforcements has delayed the operation.
“The Russians are looking to double or perhaps even triple the amount that they bring into that Donbas area,” a western official said. “But I would note that that’s going to take some considerable time, to bring them up to that sort of number. And even when they bring themselves to that number there’s a question over how effectively they can bring those forces into the battle.”
Even if they do assemble the requisite number – which could total three times the Ukrainian force – the Russians have yet to “use the numerical advantage effective to actually bring about a decisive engagement”.
They were also still using the tactics seen at the start of the war, with vehicle “columns on the road” that meant they were “unable to respond to the nature of attack” from Ukraine ambushes.
The Russian military is also scouring its record books to bring in more soldiers after suffering heavy casualties.
“They’re looking to generate forces from those that have recently served in the military or those that have got military service over the last decade, to see whether they can bring those individuals back in,” a security official said.
Western officials also suggested that Putin might not now be seeking some form of conquest before Russia’s important Victory Day holiday, on May 9, marking Second World War success, instead delaying the operation until it may prove triumphant.
Company%20Profile
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BMW%20M4%20Competition
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Rain Management
Year started: 2017
Based: Bahrain
Employees: 100-120
Amount raised: $2.5m from BitMex Ventures and Blockwater. Another $6m raised from MEVP, Coinbase, Vision Ventures, CMT, Jimco and DIFC Fintech Fund
What can victims do?
Always use only regulated platforms
Stop all transactions and communication on suspicion
Save all evidence (screenshots, chat logs, transaction IDs)
Report to local authorities
Warn others to prevent further harm
Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence
The President's Cake
Director: Hasan Hadi
Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem
Rating: 4/5
Islamophobia definition
A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.
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Our legal consultant
Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cylturbo
Transmission: seven-speed DSG automatic
Power: 242bhp
Torque: 370Nm
Price: Dh136,814
Things Heard & Seen
Directed by: Shari Springer Berman, Robert Pulcini
Starring: Amanda Seyfried, James Norton
2/5
What is a robo-adviser?
Robo-advisers use an online sign-up process to gauge an investor’s risk tolerance by feeding information such as their age, income, saving goals and investment history into an algorithm, which then assigns them an investment portfolio, ranging from more conservative to higher risk ones.
These portfolios are made up of exchange traded funds (ETFs) with exposure to indices such as US and global equities, fixed-income products like bonds, though exposure to real estate, commodity ETFs or gold is also possible.
Investing in ETFs allows robo-advisers to offer fees far lower than traditional investments, such as actively managed mutual funds bought through a bank or broker. Investors can buy ETFs directly via a brokerage, but with robo-advisers they benefit from investment portfolios matched to their risk tolerance as well as being user friendly.
Many robo-advisers charge what are called wrap fees, meaning there are no additional fees such as subscription or withdrawal fees, success fees or fees for rebalancing.
KILLING OF QASSEM SULEIMANI
The five pillars of Islam
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
How has net migration to UK changed?
The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.
It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.
The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.
The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.
Racecard
6.30pm: Mazrat Al Ruwayah Group Two (PA) US$55,000 (Dirt) 1,600m
7.05pm: Meydan Trophy (TB) $100,000 (Turf) 1,900m
7.40pm: Handicap (TB) $135,000 (D) 1,200m
8.15pm: Balanchine Group Two (TB) $250,000 (T) 1,800m
8.50pm: Handicap (TB) $135,000 (T) 1,000m
9.25pm: Firebreak Stakes Group Three (TB) $200,000 (D) 1,600m
10pm: Handicap (TB) $175,000 (T) 2,410m
The National selections: 6.30pm: RM Lam Tara, 7.05pm: Al Mukhtar Star, 7.40pm: Bochart, 8.15pm: Magic Lily, 8.50pm: Roulston Scar, 9.25pm: Quip, 10pm: Jalmoud