What happens to Republican Party after Trump impeachment trial?


Willy Lowry
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The images of rioters stomping through the US Capitol building played in the very halls they had threatened.

But even the videos of the January 6 riot and the pleas of Representative Jamie Raskin, the lead House impeachment manager, were not enough to convince the Republican Party to convict former president Donald Trump of inciting an insurrection.

In the end, the vote went mostly along party lines. Fifty-seven voted in favour of convicting and 43 against, 10 votes short of the necessary two thirds majority.

Seven republicans, including former presidential candidate Mitt Romney, voted to convict but the message was clear.

“This is a definitive outcome. The outcome was he was not ultimately convicted,” said Cliff Young, president of Ipsos Public Affairs US.

So Mr Trump's political career stays alive, and the only US president to face two impeachments can one day run for office again.

The former president’s actions were widely rebuked by the party’s leaders.

Senator Mitch McConnell voted to acquit but said Mr Trump was guilty of a “disgraceful dereliction of duty".

But by allowing the former president to hold on to any future political aspirations he may have, the Republican party revealed just how divided and uncertain their future is.

"It reinforces that there still is a significant plurality of Americans and a near majority of Republicans that to one extent or the other identify with what he represents," Mr Young told The National.

Where do Republicans go from here?

There is a deep divide within the Republican ranks and the jostling for power within the party will probably only increase in the years to come.

“The final chapter of Donald Trump and where the Republican Party goes hasn’t been written yet and I think we’re going to have a real battle for the soul of the Republican party over the next couple of years,” Larry Hogan, the Republican Governor of Maryland, told CNN.

Mr Young agrees with that assessment.

“There is this battle between more traditional establishment Republicans, versus this more American first nativist wing, but actually the Republican Party needs both to win," he said.

"They need to reconcile that coalition but there is a lot of uncertainty still.”

The first test will come in the 2022 primaries and midterms.

“Usually the party out of power does better,” Mr Young said.

He expects the Trump wing of the party to win out over the more moderate establishment side in the primaries but is unsure how they will fare in the general election.

The ideas and "America First" approach Mr Trump brought to the party will probably continue to consume the party for years.

“Whether it’s Trump or what he represents, it's here and it’s embedded in the DNA of America and the Republican Party, and it’s here to stay in the near term,” Mr Young said.

But the “nativist” approach he championed may not dominate the party forever.

“The long-term trend is away from America First," Mr Young said. "That’s what the data suggests.

"New generations coming into populations tend to be more tolerant and more international in scope. But that’s the long-term trend.

"What happens in the interim, let's say in my lifetime, it is going to be a tit for tat and we’re going to see ultimately what happens to the Republican Party.

"There’s a really big question mark about whether there is a home for this more traditional wing of the party."

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Common OCD symptoms and how they manifest

Checking: the obsession or thoughts focus on some harm coming from things not being as they should, which usually centre around the theme of safety. For example, the obsession is “the building will burn down”, therefore the compulsion is checking that the oven is switched off.

Contamination: the obsession is focused on the presence of germs, dirt or harmful bacteria and how this will impact the person and/or their loved ones. For example, the obsession is “the floor is dirty; me and my family will get sick and die”, the compulsion is repetitive cleaning.

Orderliness: the obsession is a fear of sitting with uncomfortable feelings, or to prevent harm coming to oneself or others. Objectively there appears to be no logical link between the obsession and compulsion. For example,” I won’t feel right if the jars aren’t lined up” or “harm will come to my family if I don’t line up all the jars”, so the compulsion is therefore lining up the jars.

Intrusive thoughts: the intrusive thought is usually highly distressing and repetitive. Common examples may include thoughts of perpetrating violence towards others, harming others, or questions over one’s character or deeds, usually in conflict with the person’s true values. An example would be: “I think I might hurt my family”, which in turn leads to the compulsion of avoiding social gatherings.

Hoarding: the intrusive thought is the overvaluing of objects or possessions, while the compulsion is stashing or hoarding these items and refusing to let them go. For example, “this newspaper may come in useful one day”, therefore, the compulsion is hoarding newspapers instead of discarding them the next day.

Source: Dr Robert Chandler, clinical psychologist at Lighthouse Arabia

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Conflict, drought, famine

Estimates of the number of deaths caused by the famine range from 400,000 to 1 million, according to a document prepared for the UK House of Lords in 2024.
It has been claimed that the policies of the Ethiopian government, which took control after deposing Emperor Haile Selassie in a military-led revolution in 1974, contributed to the scale of the famine.
Dr Miriam Bradley, senior lecturer in humanitarian studies at the University of Manchester, has argued that, by the early 1980s, “several government policies combined to cause, rather than prevent, a famine which lasted from 1983 to 1985. Mengistu’s government imposed Stalinist-model agricultural policies involving forced collectivisation and villagisation [relocation of communities into planned villages].
The West became aware of the catastrophe through a series of BBC News reports by journalist Michael Buerk in October 1984 describing a “biblical famine” and containing graphic images of thousands of people, including children, facing starvation.

Band Aid

Bob Geldof, singer with the Irish rock group The Boomtown Rats, formed Band Aid in response to the horrific images shown in the news broadcasts.
With Midge Ure of the band Ultravox, he wrote the hit charity single Do They Know it’s Christmas in December 1984, featuring a string of high-profile musicians.
Following the single’s success, the idea to stage a rock concert evolved.
Live Aid was a series of simultaneous concerts that took place at Wembley Stadium in London, John F Kennedy Stadium in Philadelphia, the US, and at various other venues across the world.
The combined event was broadcast to an estimated worldwide audience of 1.5 billion.

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