An oil tanker is being loaded at Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. Ahmed Jadallah / Reuters 
An oil tanker is being loaded at Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. Ahmed Jadallah / Reuters 

Trump goes 'America First' on Opec, but his policy faces limitations



It’s no secret that President Donald Trump is not a fan of The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

As president he has made more direct attacks on the organisation than any of his predecessors in a string of attempts to stabilise the oil market and push Saudi Arabia to increase its capacity.

On Sunday Mr Trump accused OPEC on Fox News of manipulating the prices and warned its members to “stop it because we’re protecting those countries, many of those countries.”

The warning followed a barrage of more than 60 tweets over the past seven years in which Mr Trump blasted the organisation.

On Saturday he tweeted: “Just spoke to King Salman of Saudi Arabia and explained to him that, because of the turmoil & disfunction in Iran and Venezuela, I am asking that Saudi Arabia increase oil production, maybe up to 2,000,000 barrels, to make up the difference...Prices to high! He has agreed!”

Saudi Arabia agreed on Tuesday to make use of its spare production capacity to deal with changes in the level of supply and demand. Yet Mr Trump’s attacks have left a trail of bewildered Gulf diplomats.

"The United States knows we cannot just snap our fingers and increase production to 2,000,000 barrels," One GCC diplomat told The National.

But Saudi Arabia, reports Bloomberg, already boosted its output by 330,000 barrels a day in June to 10.3 million a day, the highest since 2013. Mr Trump's rhetoric may well be shaped by the upcoming midterm elections in November and the spike in US gasoline prices.

Ellen Wald, an energy expert and President of Transversal Consulting told The National that Mr Trump "is clearly concerned about gasoline prices rising too much in the US and that the administration's policy towards Iran - which could remove up to 2.5 million barrels per day from the market - will cause oil and gasoline prices to spike."

“This is especially concerning as mid-term elections will be around the same time as the sanctions are reinstated in November.”

Oil sanctions on Iran are expected to resume on November 4, two days ahead of congressional midterms.

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Ms Wald said Riyadh will increase production “but by how much is not clear and will be determined by how much the Saudis think they can sell.”

Another sticking point between US and the Kingdom is Riyadh’s increased coordination with Russia in the energy sector. “Saudi Arabia will also coordinate with Russia because maintaining the Saudi-Russian cooperation is key to Saudi Arabia's long-term oil strategy...this may not be what President Trump was looking for,” said Ms Wald.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with Saudi energy minister Khalid Al Faleh in Washington on Friday. Mr Al Faleh has had an instrumental role in improving cooperation with Russia, where he last visited in May.

Mr Trump is not the first US President to attack OPEC. The organisation has been a punching bag for US politicians since 1973. His attacks, however, are more frequent and ruthless in language than those of his predecessors.

Karen Young, a Senior Resident Scholar at the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington told The National that Mr Trump's "efforts at petro-diplomacy demonstrate his America First rhetoric but his agenda may hit snags when it comes to economic cooperation."

She warned that the handling of any economic or oil crisis will “require diplomacy, delicate partnerships and technical knowledge.” Something that is lacking in Mr Trump’s rhetoric, she said.

Unsurprisingly, Mr Trump’s Twitter demands for increase in oil production and threats to OPEC “do not automatically create the pricing changes that he sought," said Ms Young.

"Instead it reveals the economic interdependence of his Iran policy, his Middle East partnership strategies, and his vulnerability in the domestic economy” Ms Young said.

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

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Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

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2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, (Leon banned).

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

Ms Yang's top tips for parents new to the UAE
  1. Join parent networks
  2. Look beyond school fees
  3. Keep an open mind
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

Oscars in the UAE

The 90th Academy Awards will be aired in the UAE from 3.30am on Monday, March 5 on OSN, with the ceremony starting at 5am

'Doctor Strange in the Multiverse Of Madness' 

   

 

Director: Sam Raimi

 

Cast: Benedict Cumberbatch, Elizabeth Olsen, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Benedict Wong, Xochitl Gomez, Michael Stuhlbarg and Rachel McAdams

 

Rating: 3/5

 
At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

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Tuesday's fixtures
Group A
Kyrgyzstan v Qatar, 5.45pm
Iran v Uzbekistan, 8pm
N Korea v UAE, 10.15pm
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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