Coronavirus: the medical risks ahead as US President Donald Trump tests positive for Covid-19


Daniel Bardsley
  • English
  • Arabic

President Donald Trump has tested positive for coronavirus but it will be at least five days after that result before he is likely to show any symptoms.

The announcement from the 74-year-old US president that he and his wife, Melania, had tested positive came shortly after he revealed a close aide, Hope Hicks, had contracted the virus.

According to experts, the nature of Mr Trump’s job and aspects of his own behaviour may have put him at greater risk of contracting Covid-19.

That Donald Trump became infected was not an inevitability, but is consistent with him being a high risk candidate for infection.

“That Donald Trump became infected was not an inevitability, but is consistent with him being a high-risk candidate for infection,” Professor Rowland Kao, professor of veterinary epidemiology and data science at the University of Edinburgh in the UK, said in a statement.

“[This is] both because of his apparent attitudes towards personal protective measures such as maintaining physical distance and towards face masks, but also because, as a public figure, he would be in contact with many people in many different places, including this being frequently at close quarters.”

Prof Kao said these factors also made Mr Trump more likely to infect others, and his actions now “have great importance” in preventing further outbreaks and “as an example to others”.

It was not until July that Mr Trump was seen wearing a face mask, three months after the US Centres for Disease Control (CDC) began recommending their use in public.

The Republican president had previously ridiculed Joe Biden, his Democratic challenger in November’s election, for his enthusiasm for wearing masks, although he later told the media he was “all for masks”.

Mr Trump has also been criticised for holding large campaign rallies at which there was little sign of social distancing or the wearing of masks.

One of those at a rally Mr Trump held in Tulsa, Oklahoma, in June was Herman Cain, a 74-year-old African-American businessman and former presidential contender, who was subsequently diagnosed with Covid-19 and died.

Given that the CDC recommends people potentially exposed to the coronavirus quarantine for 14 days, Mr Trump’s election campaign schedule – including the second head-to-head debate with Mr Biden, slated for October 15 in Miami – is likely to be affected.

Sean Conley, the White House physician, said, however, that he expected Mr Trump to carry on with his work as president “without disruption” despite his diagnosis.

If Mr Trump does begin to display serious Covid-19 complications, this is more likely five to seven days after symptoms develop, when a minority of patients start to develop pneumonia.

Mr Trump’s age and weight could put him at higher risk of serious complications, studies of those who have contracted the coronavirus suggest.

According to an article in August in the scientific journal Nature, about 116 of every 1,000 people in their mid-seventies or older who become infected with coronavirus will die.

Men have suffered significantly higher mortality rates than women, while being overweight is an additional risk factor with Covid-19.

Press reports from April quoting Dr Conley said Mr Trump weighed 244 pounds, or 111kg, which, for his six feet three inches height, put him slightly above the obesity threshold, according to the classification of the US National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute.

Indeed, the British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, who is nearly two decades younger than Mr Trump, was treated in intensive care in April after developing Covid-19 and later admitted he was “too fat” at the time.

As doctors have learned more in recent months about how to treat the disease, survival rates for those who do fall seriously ill have improved.

Professor Naveed Sattar, a professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow in the UK, said in a statement that while Mr Trump had risk factors such as being older, male and overweight, there were positive indicators too.

“If he has no chronic conditions and is reasonably active – it seems likely so as he plays lots of golf and appears to walk quickly – then these may offset or attenuate his risks so that he may recover swiftly from the infection,” he said.

The bio

Favourite book: Kane and Abel by Jeffrey Archer

Favourite quote: “The world makes way for the man who knows where he is going.” - Ralph Waldo Emerson, American essayist

Favourite Authors: Arab poet Abu At-Tayyib Al-Mutanabbi

Favourite Emirati food: Luqaimat, a deep-fried dough soaked in date syrup

Hobbies: Reading and drawing

War and the virus
Crime%20Wave
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MATCH INFO

Inter Milan 1 (Martinez 18' pen)

Juventus 2 (Dybala 4', Higuain 80')

Company profile

Date started: 2015

Founder: John Tsioris and Ioanna Angelidaki

Based: Dubai

Sector: Online grocery delivery

Staff: 200

Funding: Undisclosed, but investors include the Jabbar Internet Group and Venture Friends

Living in...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.

The Melbourne Mercer Global Pension Index

The Melbourne Mercer Global Pension Index

Mazen Abukhater, principal and actuary at global consultancy Mercer, Middle East, says the company’s Melbourne Mercer Global Pension Index - which benchmarks 34 pension schemes across the globe to assess their adequacy, sustainability and integrity - included Saudi Arabia for the first time this year to offer a glimpse into the region.

The index highlighted fundamental issues for all 34 countries, such as a rapid ageing population and a low growth / low interest environment putting pressure on expected returns. It also highlighted the increasing popularity around the world of defined contribution schemes.

“Average life expectancy has been increasing by about three years every 10 years. Someone born in 1947 is expected to live until 85 whereas someone born in 2007 is expected to live to 103,” Mr Abukhater told the Mena Pensions Conference.

“Are our systems equipped to handle these kind of life expectancies in the future? If so many people retire at 60, they are going to be in retirement for 43 years – so we need to adapt our retirement age to our changing life expectancy.”

Saudi Arabia came in the middle of Mercer’s ranking with a score of 58.9. The report said the country's index could be raised by improving the minimum level of support for the poorest aged individuals and increasing the labour force participation rate at older ages as life expectancies rise.

Mr Abukhater said the challenges of an ageing population, increased life expectancy and some individuals relying solely on their government for financial support in their retirement years will put the system under strain.

“To relieve that pressure, governments need to consider whether it is time to switch to a defined contribution scheme so that individuals can supplement their own future with the help of government support,” he said.

Why it pays to compare

A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.

Route 1: bank transfer

The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.

Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount

Total received: €4,670.30 

Route 2: online platform

The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.

Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction

Total received: €4,756

The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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While you're here ...

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About Karol Nawrocki

• Supports military aid for Ukraine, unlike other eurosceptic leaders, but he will oppose its membership in western alliances.

• A nationalist, his campaign slogan was Poland First. "Let's help others, but let's take care of our own citizens first," he said on social media in April.

• Cultivates tough-guy image, posting videos of himself at shooting ranges and in boxing rings.

• Met Donald Trump at the White House and received his backing.

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The Details

Kabir Singh

Produced by: Cinestaan Studios, T-Series

Directed by: Sandeep Reddy Vanga

Starring: Shahid Kapoor, Kiara Advani, Suresh Oberoi, Soham Majumdar, Arjun Pahwa

Rating: 2.5/5 

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

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Story%20behind%20the%20UAE%20flag
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Engine: 51.5kW electric motor

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The Birkin bag is made by Hermès. 
It is named after actress and singer Jane Birkin
Noone from Hermès will go on record to say how much a new Birkin costs, how long one would have to wait to get one, and how many bags are actually made each year.

GAC GS8 Specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo

Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km

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Padmaavat

Director: Sanjay Leela Bhansali

Starring: Ranveer Singh, Deepika Padukone, Shahid Kapoor, Jim Sarbh

3.5/5