After one year, Trump’s Middle East policy remains tough on rhetoric but short on action



Whether it is calling Syrian president Bashar Al Assad an “animal” or referring to North Korean leader Kim Jong-un as “rocket man”, it is clear that US president Donald Trump does not shy away from using strong and derogatory terms to describe his opponents. But experts and former US officials say this has not translated into action or a clear strategy to pursue American interests and weaken its rivals.

Mr Trump's first year of the presidency was marked by the flushing out of ISIL from most of Iraq and key areas in Syria, decertifying the Iran nuclear deal and remedying ties with long-time partners, such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia. But when it comes to long-term strategy, Mr Trump gets low marks from experts speaking to The National, who say they are able to identify the policy but not a road to implementation — especially when it comes to countering Iran and looking beyond ISIL's defeat.

“I think the Trump administration’s policies towards the Middle East are still a work in progress,” said Dennis Ross, a distinguished fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “The priority of defeating the group [ISIL] has been clear from day one, but it is not clear what the administration’s approach is for after ISIL [is defeated].”

Mr Ross, a former senior US government official who served under Republican and Democratic presidents, said the Iranians and Russians are rushing to fill an imminent vacuum.

“The Iranians are already acting to fill the vacuum, and the Russians are telling the Kurdish forces to make their peace with the Assad regime, which is coming back to [ISIL’s once self-proclaimed Syrian capital] Raqqa,” he said.

Despite Mr Trump’s firm speech in October to confront the “fanatical regime” of Iran, Mr Ross said there is “little evidence” of that in Syria.

Iran-backed forces have helped turn the tide of the Syrian war in the Assad regime’s favour and have also played leading roles in Iraq’s battle to recapture territory from ISIL.

“We’re not seeing [US] action on the ground in Iraq and Syria … both are now in Iran’s orbit,” said Michael Pregent, an adjunct fellow at Hudson Institute. “Donald Trump’s ISIS strategy is unchanged [from that of former US president Barack Obama] though accelerated. We’re still using the wrong force to take back and hold territory from ISIL."

Mr Pregent, a former intelligence official, said that “every ISIL loss has also been a loss for the Sunni population and a gain for Iran in Iraq and Syria”.

Meanwhile, David Shor, a New York-based foreign policy analyst, said: “What’s primarily guiding the Trump Middle East foreign policy is coming from the region itself.”

Mr Shor said that the US president’s statements to counter Iran and its proxies in the Middle East were a major departure from the Obama days.

"Our allies, who under the Obama administration have been pushed to accept his transformative initiatives, are now free to unchain themselves and can now react and correct course," he told The National.

This was evident in the Gulf crisis, when in June four Arab countries — allies of the US government — cut all transport and diplomatic ties with Qatar — also a US ally — over its support of extremist groups and ties with Tehran. The Trump administration reached a point at which it agreed to disagree with its allies and stopped trying to mediate between the disputing countries.

Mr Pregent, however, warned against the US becoming “over reliant” on its allies to counter Iran in Iraq, Syria and Yemen.

Mr Ross, who worked on the Iran file during Mr Obama’s first term, said that Tehran does not seem to be backing off or lacking confidence.

He referenced headlines in the Kayhan newspaper — a hardline Iranian daily — in which Tehran "appeared to take credit for the missile attack on the Riyadh airport and suggested Abu Dhabi might be next", according to Mr Ross.

He added that the only steps the US is taking against Iran is issuing new sanctions against its Revolutionary Guard and Lebanese proxy Hizbollah. Both Mr Ross and Mr Pegent said that such designations are limited pressure and a continuation of the Obama administration’s approach.

But Mr Ross says it is still too early to point out the administration’s successes and failures in the Middle East.

With hundreds of appointments reportedly remaining vacant in the state department and Mr Trump continuously publicly undermining secretary of state Rex Tillerson, critical parts of foreign policymaking have been outsourced. Mr Trump’s adviser and son-in-law Jared Kushner handles the Israeli-Palestinian portfolio and relations with key Gulf states. Since Mr Trump’s election, Mr Kushner has made three trips to Saudi Arabia, while Mr Tillerson has made two.

Last week, Mr Trump indicated that he was not sure if Mr Tillerson will continue to serve as secretary of state for the duration of the presidency.

"We'll see. I don't know who's going to be [here for the] duration," the US president said in an interview with Fox News.

Reports have suggested that Mr Tillerson may be replaced by US ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley or CIA director Mike Pompeo — both of whom are close to Trump’s inner circle and share the same views on Iran.

What seems more certain in Mr Trump's first year in the Middle East is that both Arab and Israeli leaders “still seem to like the fact that he is not Barack Obama”, said Mr Ross. The better chemistry does not necessarily mean there is clarity, however. Leaders in the region "seem unclear about exactly what the administration’s priorities are and whether it is truly committed to remaining in the Middle East”, Mr Ross added.

Mia Man’s tips for fermentation

- Start with a simple recipe such as yogurt or sauerkraut

- Keep your hands and kitchen tools clean. Sanitize knives, cutting boards, tongs and storage jars with boiling water before you start.

- Mold is bad: the colour pink is a sign of mold. If yogurt turns pink as it ferments, you need to discard it and start again. For kraut, if you remove the top leaves and see any sign of mold, you should discard the batch.

- Always use clean, closed, airtight lids and containers such as mason jars when fermenting yogurt and kraut. Keep the lid closed to prevent insects and contaminants from getting in.

 

The full list of 2020 Brit Award nominees (winners in bold):

British group

Coldplay

Foals

Bring me the Horizon

D-Block Europe

Bastille

British Female

Mabel

Freya Ridings

FKA Twigs

Charli xcx

Mahalia​

British male

Harry Styles

Lewis Capaldi

Dave

Michael Kiwanuka

Stormzy​

Best new artist

Aitch

Lewis Capaldi

Dave

Mabel

Sam Fender

Best song

Ed Sheeran and Justin Bieber - I Don’t Care

Mabel - Don’t Call Me Up

Calvin Harrison and Rag’n’Bone Man - Giant

Dave - Location

Mark Ronson feat. Miley Cyrus - Nothing Breaks Like A Heart

AJ Tracey - Ladbroke Grove

Lewis Capaldi - Someone you Loved

Tom Walker - Just You and I

Sam Smith and Normani - Dancing with a Stranger

Stormzy - Vossi Bop

International female

Ariana Grande

Billie Eilish

Camila Cabello

Lana Del Rey

Lizzo

International male

Bruce Springsteen

Burna Boy

Tyler, The Creator

Dermot Kennedy

Post Malone

Best album

Stormzy - Heavy is the Head

Michael Kiwanuka - Kiwanuka

Lewis Capaldi - Divinely Uninspired to a Hellish Extent

Dave - Psychodrama

Harry Styles - Fine Line

Rising star

Celeste

Joy Crookes

beabadoobee

MATCH DETAILS

Manchester United 3

Greenwood (21), Martial (33), Rashford (49)

Partizan Belgrade 0

The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Power: 510hp at 9,000rpm
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
Transmission: 7-speed PDK auto or 6-speed manual
Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
On sale: Available to order now
Price: From Dh801,800
PREMIER LEAGUE FIXTURES

Saturday (UAE kick-off times)

Watford v Leicester City (3.30pm)

Brighton v Arsenal (6pm)

West Ham v Wolves (8.30pm)

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace (10.45pm)

Sunday

Newcastle United v Sheffield United (5pm)

Aston Villa v Chelsea (7.15pm)

Everton v Liverpool (10pm)

Monday

Manchester City v Burnley (11pm)

Test

Director: S Sashikanth

Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan

Star rating: 2/5

Specs

Engine: Duel electric motors
Power: 659hp
Torque: 1075Nm
On sale: Available for pre-order now
Price: On request

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Volvo ES90 Specs

Engine: Electric single motor (96kW), twin motor (106kW) and twin motor performance (106kW)

Power: 333hp, 449hp, 680hp

Torque: 480Nm, 670Nm, 870Nm

On sale: Later in 2025 or early 2026, depending on region

Price: Exact regional pricing TBA

THE SPECS

Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine 

Power: 420kW

Torque: 780Nm

Transmission: 8-speed automatic

Price: From Dh1,350,000

On sale: Available for preorder now

The National's picks

4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young

Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

Ferrari
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The%20specs
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LIST OF INVITEES

Shergo Kurdi (am) 
Rayhan Thomas
Saud Al Sharee (am)
Min Woo Lee
Todd Clements
Matthew Jordan
AbdulRahman Al Mansour (am)
Matteo Manassero
Alfie Plant
Othman Al Mulla
Shaun Norris

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

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THE%20HOLDOVERS
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The%20specs%3A%20Panamera%20Turbo%20E-Hybrid
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The%20specs%3A%202024%20Panamera
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SPECS
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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The White Lotus: Season three

Creator: Mike White

Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell

Rating: 4.5/5

NO OTHER LAND

Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal

Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham

Rating: 3.5/5

Sinopharm vaccine explained

The Sinopharm vaccine was created using techniques that have been around for decades. 

“This is an inactivated vaccine. Simply what it means is that the virus is taken, cultured and inactivated," said Dr Nawal Al Kaabi, chair of the UAE's National Covid-19 Clinical Management Committee.

"What is left is a skeleton of the virus so it looks like a virus, but it is not live."

This is then injected into the body.

"The body will recognise it and form antibodies but because it is inactive, we will need more than one dose. The body will not develop immunity with one dose," she said.

"You have to be exposed more than one time to what we call the antigen."

The vaccine should offer protection for at least months, but no one knows how long beyond that.

Dr Al Kaabi said early vaccine volunteers in China were given shots last spring and still have antibodies today.

“Since it is inactivated, it will not last forever," she said.

Women%E2%80%99s%20T20%20World%20Cup%20Qualifier
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Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh190,000 (Countryman)
Four motivational quotes from Alicia's Dubai talk

“The only thing we need is to know that we have faith. Faith and hope in our own dreams. The belief that, when we keep going we’re going to find our way. That’s all we got.”

“Sometimes we try so hard to keep things inside. We try so hard to pretend it’s not really bothering us. In some ways, that hurts us more. You don’t realise how dishonest you are with yourself sometimes, but I realised that if I spoke it, I could let it go.”

“One good thing is to know you’re not the only one going through it. You’re not the only one trying to find your way, trying to find yourself, trying to find amazing energy, trying to find a light. Show all of yourself. Show every nuance. All of your magic. All of your colours. Be true to that. You can be unafraid.”

“It’s time to stop holding back. It’s time to do it on your terms. It’s time to shine in the most unbelievable way. It’s time to let go of negativity and find your tribe, find those people that lift you up, because everybody else is just in your way.”