Anti-Syrian government protestors clash with police outside the Syrian Embassy in London in February. Leon Neal / AFP
Anti-Syrian government protestors clash with police outside the Syrian Embassy in London in February. Leon Neal / AFP

Syrian diaspora laments opposition's disunity



LONDON // The sectarian and social divisions laid bare by the conflict in Syria are being echoed among the estimated 20,000-strong Syrian community in the UK, with the prospect of unity receding by the day, say Syrian expatriates here.

Practically every Syrian has lost a relative or friend in the civil war back home, straining and even breaking ties between neighbours, friends and families in the diaspora.

Since the uprising against the Syrian president, Bashar Al Assad, started in March last year, a many groups, mostly anti-Assad, have sprung up in the UK, many of them no more than a website or Facebook page. Many members are loath to speak with the press because of fear of reprisals against family in Syria but also because of inexperience in political and media organisations.

"Before the revolution, there was no reason for these groups to clash but now there's no unity or vision and what each group wants is exclusive to that group," said Malik Al Abdeh, a Syrian freelance journalist, who described himself as disillusioned with opposition politics.

His brother, Anas Al Abdeh, is a member of the Syrian National Council coalition of opposition groups and chairman of the Movement for Justice and Development political party that wants democracy in Syria.

"Our relationship has been quite fraught and I've been very critical," said Malik Al Abdeh. "The SNC has lost the plot and is not in a good place. But my feelings aren't probably shared by a large swathe of the community in London who would never admit to any misgivings they might be feeling. I'm probably an odd voice."

One of the best known groups operating in the UK is the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights founded by Rami Abdulrahman, a long-time opposition activist. With the help of a network of about 200 activists in Syria and a few aides in the UK, the group publishes a death toll of casualties considered to be one of the most reliable by international human rights groups.

Mr Abdulrahman, 40, who works from his home in the city of Coventry in the English Midlands, has been attacked on Syrian state television and said his family in Syria and his brother living in the UK would not speak with him for fear of reprisals from Assad sympathisers.

"All of my family in Syria, nobody talks to me because they're scared of the regime," said Mr Abdulrahman, who was arrested several times in Syria because of his pro-democracy activities before he left in 2000.

"But when I see people dying and being killed, I forget everything and it gives me energy to continue," said the father of a six-year-old daughter. "I hope before I die to see democracy in Syria like here in the UK."

His group lists all casualties regardless of whether they were killed by regime or opposition forces but it does not publish names. "If I give the name, the regime will bring out another man with the same name and say, 'look, he is alive'," said Mr Abdulrahman. "We are about human rights, not propaganda."

But other Syrians in the UK have attacked him, accusing him of receiving funds from the British intelligence services, which he denies.

A rival group of Syrians even set up their own group, the Syrian Network for Human Rights, but they were not contactable.

"There are about 20,000 Syrians in the UK and they live all over the country," said Abdulwahab Sayed Omar, a spokesman for British Solidarity for Syria (BSS), which he said represented Syrians of all backgrounds opposed to the Assad regime.

BSS was focused on trying to bring together Syrians to plan for post-conflict reconstruction. "The fight to overthrow Assad is very complicated but post-war Syria will be even more complicated," he said.

The group also organised occasional demonstrations outside the Russian Embassy because Moscow is an important source of support for the Assad regime.

That view was echoed by Chris Doyle, director of the Council for Arab-British Understanding, whose wife is Syrian. "Most Syrians are divided into whether they are pro or anti-regime. There are those who see the army as the solution and those looking for military intervention," he said.

"And then there are a whole array of personal issues exacerbated by rumour and fear of informers acting for the regime who are still active here in the UK and who monitor protests," he said. "I've seen Syrian Arabs and Syrian Kurds who were best friends no longer speaking to each other."

Rashid Ibo, who does media outreach for the Kurdish National Council, which represents several Syrian Kurdish parties, said Syrian Arabs had prevented the flying of the Kurdish flag at demonstrations outside the Syrian Embassy. He believed the opposition was overly dominated by the Muslim Brotherhood. Many of its members fled to the UK after they suffered a brutal crackdown in the Syrian city of Hama in 1982.

"We have suffered so much and have protested at the Syrian Embassy for many years and none of the Arabs attended then," he said. "But we are still with the revolution and we just want self-determination within Syria's borders."

Since the uprising started, a group called the British Syrian Society that was co-chaired by Fawas Akhras, who lives in London and is the father-in-law of Mr Assad, has been lying low. Emails obtained by The Guardian earlier this year showed he offered the Syrian president moral support and advice on how to spin his suppression in the media. A new group, the Syrian Social Club, has arisen to present the pro-reform and pro-government voice.

"The alternative to sticking with the state is total collapse and opening Pandora's box and chaos," said Ammar Waqqaf, a member of the new group. "Many more Syrians are turning against the opposition, against the violence and against the rise of Islamic extremism but we saw that coming. We are in the fog of war."

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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Past winners of the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

2016 Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes-GP)

2015 Nico Rosberg (Mercedes-GP)

2014 Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes-GP)

2013 Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull Racing)

2012 Kimi Raikkonen (Lotus)

2011 Lewis Hamilton (McLaren)

2010 Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull Racing)

2009 Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull Racing)