Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. Sergei Chirikov / EPA  
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. Sergei Chirikov / EPA  

Russia should walk away from Iran or risk regional escalation, say experts



Russia must realign its Middle East interests and divorce itself from Iran’s regional ambitions or risk possible escalation in Syria, experts said.

Speaking at the Beirut Institute in Abu Dhabi, experts said President Vladimir Putin and the United States share similar interests in the region, but increasingly differ in their approach to Iran’s growing regional influence.

Dr Elliot Abrams, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, said US President Donald Trump’s view of Russia as a competitor in Middle East is almost exclusively based on his Russian counterpart’s partnership with Iran.

“US-Iran relations clash, because Iran is trying to overturn the Middle East," said Dr Abrams. "That is going to lead to a confrontation, so will Putin decide against Iran’s project in the Middle East and pull back? If he does, the American administration can align interests with Russia in the region.”

Dr Abrams believes that breaking relations with Iran would improve Russia's relations with the West while also being perceived as more genuinely invested in promoting Arab interests.

Russia’s end goal in Syria is not to support President Bashar Al Assad, added Dr Abrams, but to use Moscow's growing influence in the Arab world to ensure its access to the Mediterranean Sea.

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“Russia doesn’t need Assad, Russia’s goal is a unified Syria. Its goal is to ensure a successful government that makes peace with everyone, especially with the Sunni majority, and one that allows Russia to keep its bases,” he said.

But, for Iran, that goal does not suffice.

Iran is looking to “control Syria,” according to Konstantin Truevstev, a senior researcher at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences. It’s an ambition that is not shared by his home country, Russia.

“We have the problem of Iranian influence, which is growing. The election in Lebanon was the last example,” he said referring to Iran-backed Hezbollah and its allies winning more seats than ever before in Lebanon’s elections earlier this month.

He said Russia’s foreign policy in the Middle East is to avoid a long-term military engagement in the region. Instead, Moscow wants to ensure stability in Syria without interfering with the Trump administration’s renewed regional involvement.

But the US, with its partners in Saudi Arabia and Israel, is unlikely to co-operate with Russia as long as it continues to support Tehran.

Washington must therefore support its regional alliances by maintaining its presence in Syria and pushing back on Iranian influence. This presence has in past lead to clashes with Russia, and could do so again.

US-Iran sour relations - and Washington’s disdain for Russian support of Tehran - was reiterated in President Trump’s recent decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal.

Global reactions to Washington backtracking on the deal served as a metric to understanding regional players' stances on Iran. It also provides Russia with an opportunity to scale down its partnership with Tehran and make co-operation with Washington more likely.

“Clearly, the decision by the US administration on JCPOA [the Iran Nuclear deal], is an important one. We have not seen the full extent of Iranian reaction, regionally or otherwise,” said Ambassador Ramzy Ezzeldin Ramzy, the UN’s deputy special envoy to Syria.

“But there is a full array of reactions they can take, and Syria is an arena for possible escalation.”

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PRO BASH

Thursday’s fixtures

6pm: Hyderabad Nawabs v Pakhtoon Warriors

10pm: Lahore Sikandars v Pakhtoon Blasters

Teams

Chennai Knights, Lahore Sikandars, Pakhtoon Blasters, Abu Dhabi Stars, Abu Dhabi Dragons, Pakhtoon Warriors and Hyderabad Nawabs.

Squad rules

All teams consist of 15-player squads that include those contracted in the diamond (3), platinum (2) and gold (2) categories, plus eight free to sign team members.

Tournament rules

The matches are of 25 over-a-side with an 8-over power play in which only two fielders allowed outside the 30-yard circle. Teams play in a single round robin league followed by the semi-finals and final. The league toppers will feature in the semi-final eliminator.

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

A MINECRAFT MOVIE

Director: Jared Hess

Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa

Rating: 3/5

NO OTHER LAND

Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal

Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham

Rating: 3.5/5

If you go

The flights Etihad (www.etihad.com) and Spice Jet (www.spicejet.com) fly direct from Abu Dhabi and Dubai to Pune respectively from Dh1,000 return including taxes. Pune airport is 90 minutes away by road. 

The hotels A stay at Atmantan Wellness Resort (www.atmantan.com) costs from Rs24,000 (Dh1,235) per night, including taxes, consultations, meals and a treatment package.
 

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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THE BIO

Favourite holiday destination: Whenever I have any free time I always go back to see my family in Caltra, Galway, it’s the only place I can properly relax.

Favourite film: The Way, starring Martin Sheen. It’s about the Camino de Santiago walk from France to Spain.

Personal motto: If something’s meant for you it won’t pass you by.

At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

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Profile

Company: Justmop.com

Date started: December 2015

Founders: Kerem Kuyucu and Cagatay Ozcan

Sector: Technology and home services

Based: Jumeirah Lake Towers, Dubai

Size: 55 employees and 100,000 cleaning requests a month

Funding:  The company’s investors include Collective Spark, Faith Capital Holding, Oak Capital, VentureFriends, and 500 Startups. 

Famous left-handers

- Marie Curie

- Jimi Hendrix

- Leonardo Di Vinci

- David Bowie

- Paul McCartney

- Albert Einstein

- Jack the Ripper

- Barack Obama

- Helen Keller

- Joan of Arc

Empire of Enchantment: The Story of Indian Magic

John Zubrzycki, Hurst Publishers