International policymakers involved in state-building and development in Iraq and Yemen should take a fresh look at their approach to those conflicts, a report by the UK-based Chatham House think tank has said.
The report, titled Between Order and Chaos: A New Approach to Stalled State Transformations in Iraq and Yemen, recommends that policymakers adopt a new approach that aims to strengthen the connection between the bureaucracy and the de facto authorities in the two countries.
Policymakers were also urged to “reframe their involvement” in the two countries and play the role of a “referee”.
The report also criticises intervening powers for backing unpopular political settlements.
Peter Salisbury, a senior consulting fellow at Chatham House, who co-authored the report alongside Renad Mansour, said: “What is innovative about this report is that it really focuses on understanding who actually does things on the ground in Iraq and Yemen and this is what policymakers need to move towards”.
Mr Salisbury explained that policymakers should shift towards “building a policy around those who do, rather than those who should do”.
The report suggests that at times, international policymakers have contributed to the cycles of violent conflict and instability in Iraq and Yemen by stalling efforts to rebuilding and resisting emerging leaders.
States like Iraq and Yemen, the paper argues, are wrongly interpreted by policymakers as being “entirely chaotic”.
Instead, the paper suggests that all states lie on spectrum of stability and instability.
The paper suggests though they may appear dysfunctional, states like Iraq and Yemen contain “pockets of order”.
A survey conducted by Chatham House found that most Iraqis believe a leader should be chosen through free and fair elections.
ICC Intercontinental Cup
UAE squad Rohan Mustafa (captain), Chirag Suri, Shaiman Anwar, Rameez Shahzad, Mohammed Usman, Adnan Mufti, Saqlain Haider, Ahmed Raza, Mohammed Naveed, Imran Haider, Qadeer Ahmed, Mohammed Boota, Amir Hayat, Ashfaq Ahmed
Fixtures Nov 29-Dec 2
UAE v Afghanistan, Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi
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Ireland v Scotland, Dubai International Stadium
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Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
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- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
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- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
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- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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Gothia Cup 2025
4,872 matches
1,942 teams
116 pitches
76 nations
26 UAE teams
15 Lebanese teams
2 Kuwaiti teams
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Moon Music
Artist: Coldplay
Label: Parlophone/Atlantic
Number of tracks: 10
Rating: 3/5
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The flights
Emirates and Etihad fly direct to Nairobi, with fares starting from Dh1,695. The resort can be reached from Nairobi via a 35-minute flight from Wilson Airport or Jomo Kenyatta International Airport, or by road, which takes at least three hours.
The rooms
Rooms at Fairmont Mount Kenya range from Dh1,870 per night for a deluxe room to Dh11,000 per night for the William Holden Cottage.
The team
Videographer: Jear Velasquez
Photography: Romeo Perez
Fashion director: Sarah Maisey
Make-up: Gulum Erzincan at Art Factory
Models: Meti and Clinton at MMG
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MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – FINAL RECKONING
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Starring: Tom Cruise, Hayley Atwell, Simon Pegg
Rating: 4/5
F1 The Movie
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Kareem Shaheen on Canada
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Juventus 1 (Dybala 45')
Lazio 3 (Alberto 16', Lulic 73', Cataldi 90 4')
Red card: Rodrigo Bentancur (Juventus)
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Ferrari 12Cilindri specs
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Power: 819hp
Torque: 678Nm at 7,250rpm
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Available: Now
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Global state-owned investor ranking by size
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United States |
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China |
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UAE |
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Japan |
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Norway |
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Canada |
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Singapore |
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South Korea |
A meeting of young minds
The 3,494 entries for the 2019 Sharjah Children Biennial come from:
435 – UAE
2,000 – China
808 – United Kingdom
165 – Argentina
38 – Lebanon
16 – Saudi Arabia
16 – Bangladesh
6 – Ireland
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3 – France
2 – Sudan
1 – Kuwait
1 – Australia
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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg
