"When you see some people here dressed in American-style clothes, you are seeing the bullets of the West," the leading ideologue of a violent Iranian vigilante group told this reporter 10 years ago.
But the bearded zealot was most vitriolic about reformist students he believed were being used by "American and Zionist" agents to destabilise the Islamic republic.
Today, as Iran grapples with its worst, self-inflicted crisis in three decades, the regime has embellished this lurid narrative to blame foreign powers - in particular Britain and the United States - for the unrest spawned by June's disputed re-election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as the president.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, recently proclaimed that Iran was in the throes of a "soft war" with enemies abroad. These, he claimed, were using a "mixture of cultural means and advanced communication equipment to spread lies and rumours and cause doubt and divisions among the people".
Iran last week banned contact with more than 60 "subversive" international organisations it accused of conspiring against the state. Among them were think tanks, academic institutions and leading non-governmental organisations from the United States and Europe. The list included the BBC, Voice of America and other media organisations that beam Farsi-language programmes into Iran. "The regime sees the BBC and VoA as part of a cold war," said a senior analyst in Tehran, who declined to be named. "The regime, meanwhile, views the role of its own media being to counter what foreign outlets are saying, rather than providing information."
In trying to use the West as a lightning rod to deflect popular anger, the regime relies on most Iranians giving credibility to conspiracy theories. They have good historic reasons to do so because their country has been the victim of genuine conspiracies plotted by foreigners that thwarted their democratic aspirations.
Today, however, the opposition says those same aspirations have been blocked by their own regime, which they accuse of an "electoral coup" to re-install Mr Ahmadinejad. The opposition, in other words, argues that Iranians are now victims of a conspiracy hatched by their own rulers.
"I don't think the allegations of western involvement will be bought by many people," said Ali Ansari, a professor of Iranian history at St Andrews University in Scotland. "Blaming others is a standard line in Iran and this will probably only assure the already converted."
Embarrassingly for the government, polls indicate that most Iranians favour better relations with the United States, which their rulers demonise as "the Great Satan".
It is, however, unclear how far the regime genuinely believes its claims that foreign enemies are responsible for Iran's political turbulence, or whether their accusations are merely a cynical attempt to discredit the opposition by portraying them as lackeys of adversarial powers with no indigenous support. Expert opinion is nuanced and mixed.
The regime may not be serious in claiming that the West has sent people to foment unrest, but it certainly appears to believe foreign powers are indirectly complicit, a European senior former diplomat to Tehran said. Ayatollah Khamenei and senior hardliners have often expressed a belief that foreign enemies are encouraging Iranian journalists, academics and lawyers to undermine the Islamic republic from within.
"Khamenei believes there's a cultural war that is being waged and which requires very strong action by the Islamic republic to protect itself," the former diplomat said in an interview.
Other analysts say the regime's conspiracy theory is aimed mostly at its own constituency.
"The show trials and everything else are trying to convince the grass roots of their own movement that they're right, that there actually is a conspiracy going on and they were justified in using all this force and brutality," said Trita Parsi, the president of the National Iranian American Council. He views the list of 60 or so proscribed organisations as an Iranian government "publicity stunt" designed to portray the entire protest movement as foreign-inspired and foreign-controlled. The list looked like something "an intern has put together", he said.
Some organisations have been named twice. Others "have been involved in the type of people-to-people exchanges that the Iranian government itself said it favoured," Mr Parsi said.
Nor, he added, did the blacklist include a lot of Iranian organisations abroad.
"That would defeat the purpose of saying this [opposition movement] is foreign."
Mr Parsi acknowledged, however, that there were people within the "most paranoid elements of the security apparatus" who may actually believe some of the Iranian government's claims that the West is hell bent on fomenting a soft or "velvet" revolution.
Those caught up in the post-election crackdown have been stunned by the paranoia gripping the cosseted, elite forces of repression that the regime relies on for its survival.
"Until my imprisonment I had never fully appreciated the corrosive suspicion that is rotting the Islamic republic from within," wrote Maziar Bahari, a Newsweek journalist who spent 118 days behind bars.
His interrogation revealed that "the [Revolutionary] Guards see real enemies all around them - reformists within the country, hundreds of thousands of US troops outside."
Even worse, Bahari, an Iranian-Canadian, added, "are the shadows - supposed agents of Britain, the United States and Israel - upon whom they impose their own fearful logic and their reinvented history".
Millions of Iranians who believe Mr Ahamadinejad's election was "stolen", reject the regime's conspiratorial narrative. Many ask why their rulers tentatively discussed Iran's nuclear programme with countries it claims are trying to topple it.
"If anything, in their relations with the West, they [Iran's rulers] will be accused of hypocrisy," Prof Ansari said.
Mir Hossein Mousavi, the opposition's main figurehead, recently scoffed that, unlike Mr Ahmadinejad, he had not sent a congratulations card to Barack Obama on his election as president last year.
The Iranian authorities suffered acute embarrassment in November during an official anti-US rally marking the 30th anniversary of the storming of the US Embassy. Among the ritual chants of "Death to America" and dissident calls of "Death to [Iran's] Dictators", a new chant was heard: "Death to Nobody."
mtheodoulou@thenational.ae
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
Started: 2021
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
Based: Tunisia
Sector: Water technology
Number of staff: 22
Investment raised: $4 million
Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
Test
Director: S Sashikanth
Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan
Star rating: 2/5
COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Revibe%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202022%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Hamza%20Iraqui%20and%20Abdessamad%20Ben%20Zakour%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20UAE%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Refurbished%20electronics%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunds%20raised%20so%20far%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2410m%20%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFlat6Labs%2C%20Resonance%20and%20various%20others%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
The bio
Date of Birth: April 25, 1993
Place of Birth: Dubai, UAE
Marital Status: Single
School: Al Sufouh in Jumeirah, Dubai
University: Emirates Airline National Cadet Programme and Hamdan University
Job Title: Pilot, First Officer
Number of hours flying in a Boeing 777: 1,200
Number of flights: Approximately 300
Hobbies: Exercising
Nicest destination: Milan, New Zealand, Seattle for shopping
Least nice destination: Kabul, but someone has to do it. It’s not scary but at least you can tick the box that you’ve been
Favourite place to visit: Dubai, there’s no place like home
How to help or find other cats to adopt
Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
The five pillars of Islam
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Tightening the screw on rogue recruiters
The UAE overhauled the procedure to recruit housemaids and domestic workers with a law in 2017 to protect low-income labour from being exploited.
Only recruitment companies authorised by the government are permitted as part of Tadbeer, a network of labour ministry-regulated centres.
A contract must be drawn up for domestic workers, the wages and job offer clearly stating the nature of work.
The contract stating the wages, work entailed and accommodation must be sent to the employee in their home country before they depart for the UAE.
The contract will be signed by the employer and employee when the domestic worker arrives in the UAE.
Only recruitment agencies registered with the ministry can undertake recruitment and employment applications for domestic workers.
Penalties for illegal recruitment in the UAE include fines of up to Dh100,000 and imprisonment
But agents not authorised by the government sidestep the law by illegally getting women into the country on visit visas.
FORSPOKEN
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Luminous%20Productions%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Square%20Enix%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20PS5%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20January%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Company%20of%20Heroes%203
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Relic%20Entertainment%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20SEGA%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20PS5%2C%20XSX%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20February%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Star%20Wars%20Jedi%3A%20Survivor
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Respawn%20Entertainment%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Electronic%20Arts%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20PS5%2C%20XSX%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20March%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Suicide%20Squad%3A%20Kill%20the%20Justice%20League
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Rocksteady%20Studios%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Warner%20Bros%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20PS5%2C%20XSX%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20May%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Final%20Fantasy%20XVI
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Square%20Enix%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Square%20Enix%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PS5%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20June%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Street%20Fighter%206
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Capcom%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Capcom%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PS5%2C%20XSX%2C%20PC%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20June%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Diablo%20IV
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Blizzard%20Entertainment%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Blizzard%20Entertainment%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20PS5%2C%20XSX%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20June%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Baldur's%20Gate%203
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Larian%20Studios%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Larian%20Studios%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20August%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The%20Legend%20of%20Zelda%3A%20Tears%20of%20The%20Kingdom
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Nintendo%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Nintendo%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20Nintendo%20Switch%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20September%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Marvel's%20Spider-Man%202
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Insomniac%20Games%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20PlayStation%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PS5%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%20Fall%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Assassin's%20Creed%20Mirage
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Ubisoft%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Ubisoft%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20PS5%2C%20XSX%2C%20Amazon%20Luna%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%202023%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Starfield
%3Cp%3EDeveloper%3A%20Bethesda%20Game%20Studios%0D%3Cbr%3EPublisher%3A%20Bethesda%20Softworks%0D%3Cbr%3EConsole%3A%20PC%2C%20Xbox%0D%3Cbr%3ERelease%20date%3A%202023%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
