This undated photo provided by the Schalit family shows Cpl Gilad Schalit at an unknown location in Israel. Israel has tried to tie any deal on opening the Gaza crossings to a deal for the release of Cpl Shalit, who was captured in a cross-border raid in June 2006.
This undated photo provided by the Schalit family shows Cpl Gilad Schalit at an unknown location in Israel. Israel has tried to tie any deal on opening the Gaza crossings to a deal for the release of Show more

Fate of soldier looms amid Israel's election



RAMALLAH // Just two days before Israelis go to the polls to elect a new government, a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas in Gaza is still very much in the balance, while the fate of Cpl Gilad Shalit, an Israeli soldier captured in 2006, looms large. Israel has tried to tie any deal on opening the Gaza crossings to a deal for the release of Cpl Shalit, who was captured in a cross-border raid in June 2006. Hamas has refused any such linkage, and Hamas officials say Cpl Shalit will only be released in the context of a prisoner exchange.

Nevertheless, Israeli press reports yesterday suggested a deal may be close. Turkey and Qatar, countries that have improving and close ties to Hamas, are reportedly mediating an agreement with the Hamas leadership in Damascus, even as Egypt is trying to broker a ceasefire with the Hamas leadership in Gaza. The two will not happen independently of each other. Israeli ministers have staked too much on their war in Gaza to enter into a ceasefire agreement that critics will point out could have been reached without the devastating offensive. The release of Cpl Shalit would provide a last-minute boost for the sitting coalition, which is facing an Israeli electorate that is increasingly tilting to the right.

Ehud Barak, the Israeli defence minister who is running for prime minister as head of the Labor Party, said on Friday that Israel's leadership was making "supreme" efforts to bring Cpl Shalit back home. "Supreme efforts are being made in order to hurry the moment when Gilad Shalit will come home," Mr Barak told Israel's Channel 1. "We know that he is well, alive, breathing and OK, but we need to bring him here from there."

With one eye on a future political comeback, there can be little doubt that Ehud Olmert, the Israeli prime minister who is not running for re-election, would also be very keen to tie up a deal to secure Cpl Shalit's release before he leaves office. However, Hamas officials have repeatedly rejected any suggestion that a deal for Cpl Shalit could happen in the absence of a prisoner exchange agreement, which, in turn, is unlikely without a ceasefire agreement.

Hamas has reportedly asked for the release of 1,400 Palestinian prisoners from Israeli jails, including all imprisoned Hamas parliamentarians, over 40 of whom were rounded up by Israel in the months after Hamas won parliamentary elections in 2006, as well as Marwan Barghouti, the prominent Fatah leader and a potential leadership rival to Mahmoud Abbas, the head of Fatah. Israel has baulked at those demands, but there is clearly room for compromise, though not as long as Gaza remains besieged.

"The issue of Shalit is a separate issue [from a ceasefire agreement]," Ayman Taha, a Hamas spokesman and a member of the Hamas delegation negotiating a ceasefire agreement in Egypt, said last week. "Once we have a ceasefire agreement that includes our main demands to end the siege on Gaza, then we can discuss other issues." Little has been leaked about the progress of ceasefire talks in Cairo. Yesterday, Mahmoud Zahar, one of the most senior Hamas leaders in Gaza, came out of hiding for the first time since the Israeli offensive and headed to Cairo, suggesting talks have reached a crucial stage.

Reports indicate that ceasefire talks are now focusing on the kind of goods Israel will allow into Gaza should crossings open. For Hamas to agree to any such limitations, it will in return ask for cast-iron guarantees that crossings will not be closed at a whim, guarantees that it will be down to Cairo to provide and which may only concern the Rafah crossing. And while Hamas officials publicly say they are not concerned about the outcome of Israeli elections on Tuesday, they privately acknowledge that any agreement will be harder to reach should Benjamin Netanyahu, the right-wing head of the Likud Party and the current front-runner, secure victory.

There is certainly a common interest for both the current Israeli government and Hamas to secure a deal on a ceasefire and a prisoner exchange before Tuesday. But as has happened before, notably when the last ceasefire lapsed, common interests do not always lead to predictable outcomes. okarmi@thenational.ae

Company%20Profile
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2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, (Leon banned).

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

COMPANY PROFILE

Name: Qyubic
Started: October 2023
Founder: Namrata Raina
Based: Dubai
Sector: E-commerce
Current number of staff: 10
Investment stage: Pre-seed
Initial investment: Undisclosed 

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Real Madrid 3 (Kroos 4', Ramos 30', Marcelo 37')

Eibar 1 (Bigas 60')

PROFILE

Name: Enhance Fitness 

Year started: 2018 

Based: UAE 

Employees: 200 

Amount raised: $3m 

Investors: Global Ventures and angel investors 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Fixtures
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Director: Mohammed Saeed Harib

Stars: Shadi Alfons,  Marwan Abdullah, Doaa Mostafa Ragab 

Two stars out of five 

THE SPECS

Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine 

Power: 420kW

Torque: 780Nm

Transmission: 8-speed automatic

Price: From Dh1,350,000

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Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

Honeymoonish
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The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting

2. Prayer

3. Hajj

4. Shahada

5. Zakat 

Married Malala

Malala Yousafzai is enjoying married life, her father said.

The 24-year-old married Pakistan cricket executive Asser Malik last year in a small ceremony in the UK.

Ziauddin Yousafzai told The National his daughter was ‘very happy’ with her husband.

Generation Start-up: Awok company profile

Started: 2013

Founder: Ulugbek Yuldashev

Sector: e-commerce

Size: 600 plus

Stage: still in talks with VCs

Principal Investors: self-financed by founder

FROM%20THE%20ASHES
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