BERLIN // The fate of Europe lies in her hands, but Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, has refused to wield her power to save the single currency, and she is becoming increasingly isolated in Europe as a result.
Caution is her trademark, and commentators at home have tired of criticising her lack of fist-on-the-table leadership over the years.
There is no point - it is just not her style.
So it has come as a surprise to Germans that Mrs Merkel, who makes her husband's breakfast in the morning and likes to cook potato soup in her free time, is being accused abroad of seeking to stamp a Teutonic identity on Europe and even, according to shrill commentaries in Britain, of trying to create a "Fourth Reich".
Mrs Merkel dismissed the criticism in a speech to parliament yesterday, but reiterated her demand that Europe must tackle the debt crisis by creating a "fiscal union" with binding rules to enforce German-style budget discipline.
"Our guidelines are clear but it is important to me to say that they have nothing to do with fears and concerns one can read or hear at the moment that Germany wants to dominate Europe. That is absurd," she said.
"We are advocating a stability and growth culture in the European spirit of Konrad Adenauer and Helmut Kohl," she added, referring to two former chancellors who promoted European integration.
She also underlined Germany's commitment to Europe, and its gratitude to its EU partners for backing German unification in 1990, saying: "German and European unity were and remain two sides of the same coin and we will never forget it."
Mrs Merkel, 57, can't win. Germany's economic power is triggering resentment and jealousy across Europe, especially in Paris and London, and its failure so far to lead Europe out of the crisis is causing equal anger.
For the first time since the Second World War, Germany, as Europe's biggest and most stable economy, is being called on to flex its muscles and show true leadership.
Radoslaw Sikorski, the Polish foreign minister, referred to his country's troubled history with Germany when he said on Monday: "I will probably be the first Polish foreign minister in history to say so, but here it is: I fear German power less than I am beginning to fear German inactivity."
The nation, and especially Mrs Merkel, is uncomfortable with this new responsibility, and is already getting a taste of how lonely it can be at the top.
Die Welt, a conservative German newspaper, commented on Tuesday that Germany was as isolated now as the US was during the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
"Germany is being confronted with unfulfillable demands," the newspaper wrote. "On the one hand our fellow Europeans expect Germany to show more leadership in solving the crisis. On the other hand our new power is triggering rejection and resentment."
Mrs Merkel's crime in the eyes of the rest of Europe is her refusal to agree to radical measures that would raise the cost to German taxpayers, and could fuel inflation.
Yesterday, she again rejected demands for euro bonds, which would pool European government borrowing and reduce bond interest rates that are now crippling high-debt nations like Spain and Italy.
She is also opposed to large-scale bond purchases by the European Central Bank to bail out troubled countries. Europe, she argues, must avoid measures that would remove the incentive on countries to get their budgets in order.
But Mrs Merkel's solution is a long-term one, and time is running out for Europe.
Politicians, economists and financial markets have said the currency will be doomed unless EU leaders come up with a solution at their summit next week.
Level-headed Mrs Merkel, however, appears unperturbed by the storm raging around her.
Even France, Germany's closest ally in Europe, is exasperated with the unflappable pastor's daughter. Le Monde, the nation's leading newspaper, said "the fear of a German Europe is growing among top French politicians".
The former French president of the European Commission, Jacques Delors, described Mrs Merkel's hesitant leadership at the start of the crisis as "disastrous".
Critics have said she is putting at risk the legacy of former leaders who lived through the war and tried to unite the continent for the sake of peace.
While Mrs Merkel, who was born after the war and grew up in communist East Germany, may not be as passionately pro-European as her predecessors, her detractors are ignoring the fact that she is not as powerful as she might seem.
Her government would collapse if she signed German taxpayers up to major new risks. She is also hamstrung by the constitutional court, which has given the parliament a greater say in future bailouts.
Mrs Merkel's main mistake, analysts say, has been her failure to forcefully convey to Germans that they have benefited far more from the euro than any other nation, because the currency has created a vast export market free of exchange-rate risks.
Accordingly, Germany has most to lose if the euro zone breaks apart. Despite the prophecies of doom, that simple fact should spur Germany to save the currency in the end, many commentators here are saying.
dcrossland@thenational.ae
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- Deliveroo will team up with Pineapple Express to offer customers near JLT a special treat: free banana caramel dessert with all orders on January 26
- Jones the Grocer will have their limited edition Australia Day menu available until the end of the month (January 31)
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Australia squads
ODI: Tim Paine (capt), Aaron Finch (vice-capt), Ashton Agar, Alex Carey, Josh Hazlewood, Travis Head, Nathan Lyon, Glenn Maxwell, Shaun Marsh, Jhye Richardson, Kane Richardson, D’Arcy Short, Billy Stanlake, Marcus Stoinis, Andrew Tye.
T20: Aaron Finch (capt), Alex Carey (vice-capt), Ashton Agar, Travis Head, Nic Maddinson, Glenn Maxwell, Jhye Richardson, Kane Richardson, D’Arcy Short, Billy Stanlake, Marcus Stoinis, Mitchell Swepson, Andrew Tye, Jack Wildermuth.
HWJN
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Primera Liga fixtures (all times UAE: 4 GMT)
Friday
Real Sociedad v Villarreal (10.15pm)
Real Betis v Celta Vigo (midnight)
Saturday
Alaves v Barcelona (8.15pm)
Levante v Deportivo La Coruna (10.15pm)
Girona v Malaga (10.15pm)
Las Palmas v Atletico Madrid (12.15am)
Sunday
Espanyol v Leganes (8.15pm)
Eibar v Athletic Bilbao (8.15pm)
Getafe v Sevilla (10.15pm)
Real Madrid v Valencia (10.15pm)
The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh190,000 (Countryman)
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