Luigi Di Maio, Italy's deputy prime minister. The euro is under pressure after Rome resubmitted its budget plan. Bloomberg
Luigi Di Maio, Italy's deputy prime minister. The euro is under pressure after Rome resubmitted its budget plan. Bloomberg

Italy doesn’t budge in clash with EU over budget deficit



Italy’s populist government maintained its controversial 2.4 per cent budget deficit in responding to EU demands for changes, but made tweaks during a late-night cabinet meeting Tuesday, including adding plans to sell off some government real estate.

Deputy Prime Minister Luigi Di Maio told reporters in Rome that the government was not changing the ambitious social spending plans in its draft budget because "it is our conviction that this manoeuvre is what the country needs to relaunch".

The government has insisted that the spending is necessary to promote growth after years of austerity.

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A letter to Brussels being prepared by Economy Minister Giovanni Tria would outline plans to raise cash through the sale of secondary real estate, which Mr Di Maio said would have an impact on Italy's stubbornly high public debt. He didn't specify what would be sold, but said it would not include "the family jewels".

Mr Di Maio also suggested there would not be a safeguard clause that would trigger spending cuts in the event that the deficit target was overshot, as Italian media had reported. He said the government was committed to staying within the 2.4 per cent of GDP deficit target.

“We won’t play sly foxes with the deficit,” he said. “But at the same time we will maintain commitments to Italians made in the government contract. There will be all the cuts of waste, cuts of useless military spending and there are the social measures to give back social rights to Italians.”

European officials have staunchly opposed the 2.4 per cent deficit, which is more than three times the target of the previous government, and at a level that would keep Italy from reducing its debt load as it had promised.

Italy's debt is currently about 130 per cent of GDP, far above the EU limit of 60 per cent and the second highest in Europe after Greece. The big concern is that doubts about Italy's debt could rekindle financial turmoil, as well as questions about the future of the euro.

The EU rejected Italy’s draft budget, saying it broke the rules, and gave the government until midnight Tuesday to submit a new version. The Italian government could face sanctions if it does not comply.

The plan to sell real estate was unlikely to persuade Brussels, especially since the positive impact is not assured. Selling government properties was also a hallmark of the technical government of Mario Monti, which had forecast in 2011 raising as much as €30 billion by 2020 with the sale of government properties.

The stand-off has unsettled investors, who have sold off Italian debt in recent months, pushing up the country’s borrowing rates. That could be dangerous because higher rates can hurt Italy’s public finances, reinforcing investor concerns, in a vicious cycle.

Such a scenario could require the government to make cuts during a moment of economic uncertainty. "This could transform a slowdown into a recession," the International Monetary Fund said in its report, a regular review of the Italian economy released on Tuesday.

It recommends Italy tighten its public finances instead and predicts that the government will miss its own targets, with the deficit hitting an estimated 2.7 per cent next year.

The IMF warned the Italian government that its plan to sharply increase spending carries “substantial” risks and would leave the country vulnerable to market turmoil. It urged Italy “to put to rest any concern about public debt sustainability, which recently has resurfaced”.

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At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

THE BIO

Age: 33

Favourite quote: “If you’re going through hell, keep going” Winston Churchill

Favourite breed of dog: All of them. I can’t possibly pick a favourite.

Favourite place in the UAE: The Stray Dogs Centre in Umm Al Quwain. It sounds predictable, but it honestly is my favourite place to spend time. Surrounded by hundreds of dogs that love you - what could possibly be better than that?

Favourite colour: All the colours that dogs come in

LA LIGA FIXTURES

Thursday (All UAE kick-off times)

Sevilla v Real Betis (midnight)

Friday

Granada v Real Betis (9.30pm)

Valencia v Levante (midnight)

Saturday

Espanyol v Alaves (4pm)

Celta Vigo v Villarreal (7pm)

Leganes v Real Valladolid (9.30pm)

Mallorca v Barcelona (midnight)

Sunday

Atletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid (4pm)

Real Madrid v Eibar (9.30pm)

Real Sociedad v Osasuna (midnight)

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The biog

Place of birth: Kalba

Family: Mother of eight children and has 10 grandchildren

Favourite traditional dish: Al Harees, a slow cooked porridge-like dish made from boiled cracked or coarsely ground wheat mixed with meat or chicken

Favourite book: My early life by Sheikh Dr Sultan bin Muhammad Al Qasimi, the Ruler of Sharjah

Favourite quote: By Sheikh Zayed, the UAE's Founding Father, “Those who have no past will have no present or future.”

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