Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson stepped down from the scietific advisory group known as Sage over allegations he broke lockdown rules. Reuters
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson stepped down from the scietific advisory group known as Sage over allegations he broke lockdown rules. Reuters
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson stepped down from the scietific advisory group known as Sage over allegations he broke lockdown rules. Reuters
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson stepped down from the scietific advisory group known as Sage over allegations he broke lockdown rules. Reuters

Europe

Coronavirus: UK death toll could have been halved if government acted sooner

Former Whitehall adviser Prof Neil Ferguson says UK lockdown one week earlier would have saved tens of thousands of lives

Arthur Scott-Geddes
Arthur Scott-Geddes

June 10, 2020

  • English
  • Arabic

The UK’s death toll from the coronavirus pandemic could have been halved if lockdown measures were introduced only a week earlier, a leading British epidemiologist said on Wednesday.

Professor Neil Ferguson, a former member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), which plays a central role in shaping the government’s response to the crisis, told British politicians the country had taken the right measures, but had acted too late.

Britain’s official death toll from confirmed cases of Covid-19 is now more than 41,000, making it Europe’s highest. When suspected cases are included, the tally rises to more than 50,000.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson introduced lockdown measures on March 23 but has faced criticism for failing to act quickly enough in the early stages of the country’s outbreak.

"The epidemic was doubling every three to four days before lockdown interventions were introduced. So, had we introduced lockdown measures a week earlier, we would have then reduced the final death toll by at least a half," Mr Ferguson said.

Read More

Swedish coronavirus chief concedes he'd change 'herd immunity' Covid-19 response

Coronavirus: Europe lockdowns saved 3 million lives, say scientists

Together with colleagues at Imperial College London, Mr Ferguson produced an influential model that influenced the government’s response to the outbreak and warned hundreds of thousands of people could have died if the virus were allowed to spread unchecked.

The Imperial College report was widely credited with dissuading the government from pursuing a ‘herd-immunity’ strategy, allowing the virus to spread through the population to enable people to build up resistance to it.

Mr Ferguson’s revised estimate, which came after sweeping lockdown measures were introduced, predicted that around 20,000 might die.

This estimate proved inaccurate because care home residents were not successfully shielded from the outbreak, he said.

Mr Ferguson, who became well-known in the UK after appearing in several daily government briefings on the virus, stepped down from Sage after newspapers reported he had broken lockdown rules to meet a female friend.

Britain, which is suffering Europe’s worst outbreak of the virus, recorded 245 further deaths on Wednesday, for a total of 41,128.

The country is slowly being allowed out of lockdown, with many shops allowed to reopen next week.

The overwhelming majority of parents kept their children at home when schools reopened for younger pupils in England last week, and the government is under renewed pressure to allow pupils of all ages to return to education.

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A woman wearing a face mask rests on a bench at a public park in Beijing amid easing of restrictions enforced to prevent the spread of the coronavirus. AP Photo
A woman wearing a face mask rests on a bench at a public park in Beijing amid easing of restrictions enforced to prevent the spread of the coronavirus. AP Photo
Visitors look at a giraffe at the national zoo in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Reuters
Visitors look at a giraffe at the national zoo in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Reuters
Pedestrians walk in a market in Kathmandu. AFP
Pedestrians walk in a market in Kathmandu. AFP
A woman wearing a protective face mask waits to check her temperature in an Apple store in Shanghai, China. Reuters
A woman wearing a protective face mask waits to check her temperature in an Apple store in Shanghai, China. Reuters
People wearing face masks to protect against the spread of the new coronavirus walk in Yokohama, near Tokyo. AP Photo
People wearing face masks to protect against the spread of the new coronavirus walk in Yokohama, near Tokyo. AP Photo
A woman wearing a face mask to protect against the spread of the coronavirus walks down stone steps at the Ofuna Kannon Buddhist temple in Kamakura, near Tokyo. AP Photo
A woman wearing a face mask to protect against the spread of the coronavirus walks down stone steps at the Ofuna Kannon Buddhist temple in Kamakura, near Tokyo. AP Photo
TV crew wear protective masks as they produce a programme about the coronavirus pandemic in Hanoi, Vietnam. Reuters
TV crew wear protective masks as they produce a programme about the coronavirus pandemic in Hanoi, Vietnam. Reuters
A man wearing a surgical mask walks along the Helix Bridge next to the Marina Bay Sands hotel in Singapore. EPA
A man wearing a surgical mask walks along the Helix Bridge next to the Marina Bay Sands hotel in Singapore. EPA
Students, wearing face masks amid the coronavirus pandemic, sit by a mural depicting the Indonesian flag at an Islamic junior high school in Banda Aceh. AFP
Students, wearing face masks amid the coronavirus pandemic, sit by a mural depicting the Indonesian flag at an Islamic junior high school in Banda Aceh. AFP
A worker checking on a finished motorcycle at an assembly unit of Royal Enfield motorcycle inside its factory in Oragadam, Tami Nadu. AFP
A worker checking on a finished motorcycle at an assembly unit of Royal Enfield motorcycle inside its factory in Oragadam, Tami Nadu. AFP
A municipal corporation worker fumigates a neighbourhood in Mumbai, Maharashtra state, India. AP Photo
A municipal corporation worker fumigates a neighbourhood in Mumbai, Maharashtra state, India. AP Photo
A demonstrator wearing a clown mask and holding a sign that says 'Where is Queiroz?' takes part in a protest against Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro in front of the Superior Electoral Tribunal (TSE), amid the coronavirus disease, in Brasilia, Brazil. Reuters
A demonstrator wearing a clown mask and holding a sign that says 'Where is Queiroz?' takes part in a protest against Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro in front of the Superior Electoral Tribunal (TSE), amid the coronavirus disease, in Brasilia, Brazil. Reuters
Health workers attend a rally in support of Colombian doctor Jose Buelvas Diaz outside the San Ignacio Hospital in Bogota, Colombia. Buelvas Diaz has reportedly received anonymous threats after one of his patients died with Covid-19 in Barranquilla, north of Colombia. EPA
Health workers attend a rally in support of Colombian doctor Jose Buelvas Diaz outside the San Ignacio Hospital in Bogota, Colombia. Buelvas Diaz has reportedly received anonymous threats after one of his patients died with Covid-19 in Barranquilla, north of Colombia. EPA
Migrants, part of a group of 50 Guatemalans deported from the United States, wear face masks as a preventive measure against the coronavirus, as they get into a bus upon landing at the air force base in Guatemala City. AFP
Migrants, part of a group of 50 Guatemalans deported from the United States, wear face masks as a preventive measure against the coronavirus, as they get into a bus upon landing at the air force base in Guatemala City. AFP
A man in line at Christian City, an assisted living home, to cast their ballots after Democratic and Republican primaries were delayed due to coronavirus restrictions in Union City, Georgia. Reuters
A man in line at Christian City, an assisted living home, to cast their ballots after Democratic and Republican primaries were delayed due to coronavirus restrictions in Union City, Georgia. Reuters
Voters wait at Christian City, an assisted living home, to cast their ballots after Democratic and Republican primaries were delayed due to coronavirus restrictions in Union City, Georgia. Reuters
Voters wait at Christian City, an assisted living home, to cast their ballots after Democratic and Republican primaries were delayed due to coronavirus restrictions in Union City, Georgia. Reuters
Clark County election workers talk behind a ballot box set up for primary election amid the coronavirus pandemic in North Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the first time ballots have been mailed to all registered active voters in Nevada's history as the state holds its first-ever election done almost entirely by mail because of the risk of spreading Covid-19. The Clark County registrar said unofficial results of the election will be reported tonight but, final results will not be available until after the last ballots are counted on June 16 or 17. Getty
Clark County election workers talk behind a ballot box set up for primary election amid the coronavirus pandemic in North Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the first time ballots have been mailed to all registered active voters in Nevada's history as the state holds its first-ever election done almost entirely by mail because of the risk of spreading Covid-19. The Clark County registrar said unofficial results of the election will be reported tonight but, final results will not be available until after the last ballots are counted on June 16 or 17. Getty
People who are registering to vote or who need a ballot wait in line outside the Clark County election department, which is serving as both a primary election ballot drop-off point and an in-person voting centre amid the coronavirus pandemic in North Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the first time ballots have been mailed to all registered active voters in Nevada's history. Getty Images
People who are registering to vote or who need a ballot wait in line outside the Clark County election department, which is serving as both a primary election ballot drop-off point and an in-person voting centre amid the coronavirus pandemic in North Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the first time ballots have been mailed to all registered active voters in Nevada's history. Getty Images
MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League semi-final, first leg
Bayern Munich v Real Madrid
When: April 25, 10.45pm kick-off (UAE)
Where: Allianz Arena, Munich
Live: BeIN Sports HD
Second leg: May 1, Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid

The specs

Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8

Power: 640hp

Torque: 760nm

On sale: 2026

Price: Not announced yet

Another way to earn air miles

In addition to the Emirates and Etihad programmes, there is the Air Miles Middle East card, which offers members the ability to choose any airline, has no black-out dates and no restrictions on seat availability. Air Miles is linked up to HSBC credit cards and can also be earned through retail partners such as Spinneys, Sharaf DG and The Toy Store.

An Emirates Dubai-London round-trip ticket costs 180,000 miles on the Air Miles website. But customers earn these ‘miles’ at a much faster rate than airline miles. Adidas offers two air miles per Dh1 spent. Air Miles has partnerships with websites as well, so booking.com and agoda.com offer three miles per Dh1 spent.

“If you use your HSBC credit card when shopping at our partners, you are able to earn Air Miles twice which will mean you can get that flight reward faster and for less spend,” says Paul Lacey, the managing director for Europe, Middle East and India for Aimia, which owns and operates Air Miles Middle East.

Company%20profile
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
While you're here
More from Rashmee Roshan Lall
While you're here
Tomorrow 2021
Jetour T1 specs

Engine: 2-litre turbocharged

Power: 254hp

Torque: 390Nm

Price: From Dh126,000

Available: Now

Habtoor interview
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

The language of diplomacy in 1853

Treaty of Peace in Perpetuity Agreed Upon by the Chiefs of the Arabian Coast on Behalf of Themselves, Their Heirs and Successors Under the Mediation of the Resident of the Persian Gulf, 1853
(This treaty gave the region the name “Trucial States”.)


We, whose seals are hereunto affixed, Sheikh Sultan bin Suggar, Chief of Rassool-Kheimah, Sheikh Saeed bin Tahnoon, Chief of Aboo Dhebbee, Sheikh Saeed bin Buyte, Chief of Debay, Sheikh Hamid bin Rashed, Chief of Ejman, Sheikh Abdoola bin Rashed, Chief of Umm-ool-Keiweyn, having experienced for a series of years the benefits and advantages resulting from a maritime truce contracted amongst ourselves under the mediation of the Resident in the Persian Gulf and renewed from time to time up to the present period, and being fully impressed, therefore, with a sense of evil consequence formerly arising, from the prosecution of our feuds at sea, whereby our subjects and dependants were prevented from carrying on the pearl fishery in security, and were exposed to interruption and molestation when passing on their lawful occasions, accordingly, we, as aforesaid have determined, for ourselves, our heirs and successors, to conclude together a lasting and inviolable peace from this time forth in perpetuity.

Taken from Britain and Saudi Arabia, 1925-1939: the Imperial Oasis, by Clive Leatherdale

WTL%20SCHEDULE
%3Cp%3EDECEMBER%2019%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EKites%20v%20Eagles%0D%3Cbr%3EAliassime%20v%20Kyrgios%0D%3Cbr%3ESwiatek%20v%20Garcia%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Tiesto%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EDECEMBER%2020%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFalcons%20v%20Hawks%0D%3Cbr%3EDjokovic%20v%20Zverev%0D%3Cbr%3ESabalenka%20v%20Rybakina%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Wizkid%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2021%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFalcons%20v%20Eagles%0D%3Cbr%3EDjokovic%20v%20Kyrgios%0D%3Cbr%3EBadosa%20v%20Garcia%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Ne-Yo%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2022%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EHawks%20v%20Kites%0D%3Cbr%3EThiem%20v%20Aliassime%0D%3Cbr%3EKontaveit%20v%20Swiatek%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20deadmau5%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2023%20(2pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EEagles%20v%20Hawks%0D%3Cbr%3EKyrgios%20v%20Zverev%0D%3Cbr%3EGarcia%20v%20Rybakina%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Mohammed%20Ramadan%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2023%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFalcons%20v%20Kites%0D%3Cbr%3EDjokovic%20v%20Aliassime%0D%3Cbr%3ESabalenka%20v%20Swiatek%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Mohammed%20Ramadan%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2024%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFinals%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Armin%20Van%20Buuren%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week
More coverage from the Future Forum
Killing of Qassem Suleimani

 

 

TOP%2010%20MOST%20POLLUTED%20CITIES
%3Cp%3E1.%20Bhiwadi%2C%20India%0D%3Cbr%3E2.%20Ghaziabad%2C%20India%0D%3Cbr%3E3.%20Hotan%2C%20China%0D%3Cbr%3E4.%20Delhi%2C%20India%0D%3Cbr%3E5.%20Jaunpur%2C%20India%0D%3Cbr%3E6.%20Faisalabad%2C%20Pakistan%0D%3Cbr%3E7.%20Noida%2C%20India%0D%3Cbr%3E8.%20Bahawalpur%2C%20Pakistan%0D%3Cbr%3E9.%20Peshawar%2C%20Pakistan%0D%3Cbr%3E10.%20Bagpat%2C%20India%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cem%3ESource%3A%20IQAir%3C%2Fem%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Europa League group stage draw

Group A: Villarreal, Maccabi Tel Aviv, Astana, Slavia Prague.
Group B: Dynamo Kiev, Young Boys, Partizan Belgrade, Skenderbeu.
Group C: Sporting Braga, Ludogorets, Hoffenheim, Istanbul Basaksehir.
Group D: AC Milan, Austria Vienna , Rijeka, AEK Athens.
Group E: Lyon, Everton, Atalanta, Apollon Limassol.
Group F: FC Copenhagen, Lokomotiv Moscow, Sheriff Tiraspol, FC Zlin.
Group G: Vitoria Plzen, Steaua Bucarest, Hapoel Beer-Sheva, FC Lugano.
Group H: Arsenal, BATE Borisov, Cologne, Red Star Belgrade.
Group I: Salzburg, Marseille, Vitoria Guimaraes, Konyaspor.
Group J: Athletic Bilbao, Hertha Berlin, Zorya Luhansk, Ostersund.
Group K: Lazio, Nice, Zulte Waregem, Vitesse Arnhem.
Group L: Zenit St Petersburg, Real Sociedad, Rosenborg, Vardar

Sole survivors
  • Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
  • George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
  • Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
  • Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
Off-roading in the UAE: How to checklist
The specs

Engine: Direct injection 4-cylinder 1.4-litre
Power: 150hp
Torque: 250Nm
Price: From Dh139,000
On sale: Now

Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Mohammed bin Zayed Majlis
While you're here
COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20The%20Cloud%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202018%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20George%20Karam%20and%20Kamil%20Rogalinski%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Hub71%2C%20Abu%20Dhabi%2C%20UAE%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Food%20technology%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunding%20size%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2410m%2B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Middle%20East%20Venture%20Partners%2C%20Olayan%20Financing%2C%20Rua%20Growth%20Fund%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
While you're here
UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

Company%20Profile
%3Cp%3ECompany%20name%3A%20EduPloyment%3Cbr%3EDate%20started%3A%20March%202020%3Cbr%3ECo-Founders%3A%20Mazen%20Omair%20and%20Rana%20Batterjee%3Cbr%3EBase%3A%20Dubai%2C%20UAE%3Cbr%3ESector%3A%20Recruitment%3Cbr%3ESize%3A%2030%20employees%3Cbr%3EInvestment%20stage%3A%20Pre-Seed%3Cbr%3EInvestors%3A%20Angel%20investors%20(investment%20amount%20undisclosed)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The biog

Name: Sari Al Zubaidi

Occupation: co-founder of Cafe di Rosati

Age: 42

Marital status: single

Favourite drink: drip coffee V60

Favourite destination: Bali, Indonesia 

Favourite book: 100 Years of Solitude 

Honeymoonish
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Elie%20El%20Samaan%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENour%20Al%20Ghandour%2C%20Mahmoud%20Boushahri%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
House-hunting

Top 10 locations for inquiries from US house hunters, according to Rightmove

  1. Edinburgh, Scotland 
  2. Westminster, London 
  3. Camden, London 
  4. Glasgow, Scotland 
  5. Islington, London 
  6. Kensington and Chelsea, London 
  7. Highlands, Scotland 
  8. Argyll and Bute, Scotland 
  9. Fife, Scotland 
  10. Tower Hamlets, London 

 

On Women's Day

 

 

 

Joker: Folie a Deux

Starring: Joaquin Phoenix, Lady Gaga, Brendan Gleeson

Director: Todd Phillips 

Rating: 2/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
UAE%20PREMIERSHIP
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EFinal%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dubai%20Hurricanes%20v%20Jebel%20Ali%20Dragons%0D%3Cbr%3E%0DSaturday%2C%208.15pm%2C%20Al%20Ain%20Amblers%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ESemi-final%20results%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDubai%20Exiles%2020-26%20Dubai%20Hurricanes%0D%3Cbr%3EDubai%20Tigers%2032-43%20Jebel%20Ali%20Dragons%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ETable%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3Cbr%3E1%20Dubai%20Tigers%2C%2033%20points%0D%3Cbr%3E2%20Dubai%20Exiles%2C%2024%20points%0D%3Cbr%3E3%20Dubai%20Hurricanes%2C%2018%20points%0D%3Cbr%3E4%20Jebel%20Ali%20Dragons%2C%2014%20points%0D%3Cbr%3E5%20Abu%20Dhabi%20Harlequins%2C%2014%20points%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Company profile

Date started: 2015

Founder: John Tsioris and Ioanna Angelidaki

Based: Dubai

Sector: Online grocery delivery

Staff: 200

Funding: Undisclosed, but investors include the Jabbar Internet Group and Venture Friends

TO A LAND UNKNOWN

Director: Mahdi Fleifel

Starring: Mahmoud Bakri, Aram Sabbah, Mohammad Alsurafa

Rating: 4.5/5

What is the definition of an SME?

SMEs in the UAE are defined by the number of employees, annual turnover and sector. For example, a “small company” in the services industry has six to 50 employees with a turnover of more than Dh2 million up to Dh20m, while in the manufacturing industry the requirements are 10 to 100 employees with a turnover of more than Dh3m up to Dh50m, according to Dubai SME, an agency of the Department of Economic Development.

A “medium-sized company” can either have staff of 51 to 200 employees or 101 to 250 employees, and a turnover less than or equal to Dh200m or Dh250m, again depending on whether the business is in the trading, manufacturing or services sectors. 

On Women's Day
Dubai Women's Tour teams

Agolico BMC
Andy Schleck Cycles-Immo Losch
Aromitalia Basso Bikes Vaiano
Cogeas Mettler Look
Doltcini-Van Eyck Sport
Hitec Products – Birk Sport 
Kazakhstan National Team
Kuwait Cycling Team
Macogep Tornatech Girondins de Bordeaux
Minsk Cycling Club 
Pannonia Regional Team (Fehérvár)
Team Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
Team Ciclotel
UAE Women’s Team
Under 23 Kazakhstan Team
Wheel Divas Cycling Team

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