Uproar at the highest levels of government since the Brexit result has led to a warning from Sir Simon Fraser, the former head of Britain's diplomatic service, that the UK could soon forfeit its top-flight status at the United Nations.
In a speech that coincided with the most damaging cabinet crisis since the early 1990s, Mr Fraser said Brexit would result in a loss of prestige. He described European Union membership as a “powerful multiplier” for British diplomacy. “Our bilateral relationships will be structurally weaker, not stronger, after Brexit, and France and Germany will be looking to work together through EU machinery,” he said. “Over time, leaving the EU will raise more eyebrows over our security council veto.”
Britain, the United States, the Russian Federation, France and China, are the five permanent members of the council. It has 10 more, non-permanent, members.
Referring to mounting criticism of foreign secretary Boris Johnson, Mr Fraser said diplomatic standards had slipped. “Successful foreign policy calls for careful analysis and sustained effort, not soundbites and wishful thinking,” he said. “The foreign office is not geared up for the task ahead, and has been disempowered by the short-term reorganisation of Whitehall for Brexit. Whitehall will have to be restructured for the long-term.”
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Dogged by a backlash against loose language regarding the plight of a British-Iranian woman jailed in Iran for five years on unspecified charges, Mr Johnson has come under pressure to resign.
Strolling back to his office on Tuesday, Mr Johnson walked in front of a stone bearing a tribute to his 20th century predecessor, Sir Edward Grey.
“By uprightness of character, wisdom in council and firmness in action, he won the confidence of his countrymen, and helped to carry them through many and great dangers,” it reads.
Few would associate these characteristics with Mr Johnson, who was a successful mayor of London. Accused of implicating Nazinin Zaghari-Ratcliffe in activities punishable by imprisonment in Tehran, Mr Johnson admitted he could have been clearer in his use of language.
His plight was overshadowed on Wednesday by the row over Priti Patel, the international development secretary who conducted diplomacy with Israeli leaders without informing Downing Street.
Theresa May's government has been racked by allegations of sexual harassment. Defence secretary Michael Fallon stood down last week. Mrs May's de facto deputy, Damian Green, was forced to deny allegations at the weekend that extreme pornographic material was found on his work computer in 2008.
Mark Garnier, a Brexit minister, is the subject of a cabinet office enquiry over his treatment of his office manager, and a number of backbench MPs face allegations of abuse.
Mr Fraser, a former chief diplomat, added that Germany and France were well-placed to step into the void left by British weakness. He said the UK had forfeited the concepts of diplomacy used by Tony Blair, the former prime minister, and William Hague, the foreign secretary between 2010 and 2014.
“Brexit weakens our hand on both sides of the Atlantic. For years, we have exploited our role as what Tony Blair called 'the bridge', and Hague calls 'the hinge', between Europe and America. Now our purchase on both will be reduced,” he said. “Washington will look to Berlin because Germany will be strongest in Europe. Under president Macron, France is regaining momentum.”
START-UPS%20IN%20BATCH%204%20OF%20SANABIL%20500'S%20ACCELERATOR%20PROGRAMME
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The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
Oppenheimer
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
Director: Laxman Utekar
Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna
Rating: 1/5