Supporters cheer as India's main opposition prime ministerial candidate, the Bharatiya Janata Party' s Narendra Modi, (not pictured) attends a public rally in Jammu, Kashmir.  Jaipal Singh / EPA
Supporters cheer as India's main opposition prime ministerial candidate, the Bharatiya Janata Party' s Narendra Modi, (not pictured) attends a public rally in Jammu, Kashmir. Jaipal Singh / EPA

‘Cyber-Hindus’, India’s new breed of political activists



NEW DELHI/BANGALORE // Four men chatting in a Delhi cafe are not, by their own admission, natural buddies.

The young professionals in their 20s and 30s come from vastly different regions of India and varied backgrounds.

They first “met” on Twitter, spotting each other on the site where they voiced a common desire: to see Hindu nationalist leader Narendra Modi become the next prime minister.

After online introductions, they met face-to-face on their own initiative, and, finding they had plenty in common, gather monthly in the nation’s capital to talk about life, work, and, most importantly, how to make a difference in India’s upcoming election. The men insisted they paid for their own expenses, and only one of them was associated with Mr Modi’s party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).

Tiny cells of friends like this one are being created up and down the country, they say - a rare instance of India’s politically apathetic urban middle class getting drawn into activism. Many come together of their own volition, others with a nudge from BJP.

It’s another arrow in his quiver ahead of a general election that must be held within six months, and opinion polls are already predicting he and the BJP will win more seats than the ruling Congress party.

The young pro-Modi activists are being dubbed “cyber-Hindus”. When online, they spread Mr Modi’s message, counter newspaper criticism of him and question reporters’ integrity, or mock the Gandhi dynasty that runs the Congress party and has dominated Indian politics since independence in 1947.

At party rallies, where the more traditional cadres are also at hand, the tech-savvy volunteers tweet, or produce live-streaming of speeches.

“I think he has proven himself,” says Nitin Kashyap, a financial services executive who took a six-month sabbatical from work to volunteer for the campaign.

The brand consultant sitting next to him, who gives only his Twitter handle because he is concerned his political views could affect his business, calls Mr Modi a “uniting force”.

“That guy has worked his way up from being a tea boy to becoming an aspiring prime minister of India,” he says of Mr Modi, who has played on his humble roots during a gruelling pre-election tour of the country that has electrified Indian politics in the past 10 weeks.

“That’s a big deal for the country. He’s relating to an IT guy, he’s relating to somebody in the desert, somebody up north in the hills, everybody.”

While the numbers of these cyber-Hindus are a drop in the ocean of an electorate of 770 million, tech-savvy activists believe that, with the aid of social media, they can mobilise millions of like-minded Indians to vote for Mr Modi and the BJP in the elections.

The BJP even appears to be making inroads into the poor rural vote and that of an emerging middle class living in small towns, even though both groups benefit from Congress handouts to farmers, underlining how Mr Modi’s pro-business credentials are striking a chord.

Rise of technology

The rise of the cyber-Hindus marks a shift for the BJP and for Indian politics as a whole.

The party has long been associated with its ideological parent, the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), a voluntary right-wing group that preaches “Hindutva”, a hardline brand of Hindu nationalism.

Clad in baggy khaki shorts, RSS members still meet in parks across India to salute, exercise, sing patriotic songs and discuss the greatness of their nation.

But now, the BJP’s message comes increasingly from a swell of aspirational, right-leaning Indians angry about endemic corruption they blame on Congress and eager to protect the rights of a Hindu majority.

Mr Modi, who joined the RSS as a teenager, flits between both worlds. Since 2001, he has been chief minister of Gujarat, where he touts an economic success story he wants to apply to India to lift it from economic torpor.

It was under his watch there in 2002 that Hindu mobs killed at least 1,000 people, most of them Muslims, and Mr Modi has been accused of turning a blind eye, or even encouraging the riots.

He denies any wrongdoing, and says he has been unfairly targeted by Congress, which boasts a secular, inclusive agenda.

India’s 1.2 billion people are mostly Hindu with Muslims a 14 per cent minority. Sikhs, Christians and Buddhists make up the rest.

Mr Modi has called himself “techno-savvy”. He has nearly three million Twitter followers, and addressed four rallies at a time using holographic technology last year.

Congress, meanwhile, has been slow to develop a cyber strategy, amid disagreement among senior figures about how much effect it will have on the election outcome.

Mr Modi sees technology as a particularly good way of connecting with India’s burgeoning youth, there are expected to be more than 150 million first-time voters in 2014. The percentage of the population using the internet has jumped from around 0.5 per cent in 2000 to 12.5 per cent in 2012, according to the International Telecommunication Union.

“Technology is our DNA,” says Arvind Gupta, the head of Mr Modi’s Delhi-based IT cell. He sees social media as a way both to tell and to listen, or, as he calls it, “a two-way street”.

At Gupta’s state-of-the-art IT operation, a team of young volunteers works at computers to spread the BJP message, knock down negative articles or comments and delve into corruption scandals that could taint opponents. At huge Mr Modi rallies across India, local IT outfits numbering up to 100 volunteers also stream speeches live and tweet and blog words and images.

“It’s not hype, he has a proven track record,” said Anil Chalageri, 33, as he helped livestream Mr Modi’s November rally in Bangalore, where he addressed a crowd of some 300,000 people.

“They want to see Gujarat across the nation,” said Mr Chalageri, the founder of QualiBrisk, a human resources firm.

Votes, not Tweets

Back in the Delhi cafe, Mr Kashyap and his friends see social media as a means of empowerment – getting their message to hundreds, if not thousands of people.

What they want, they say, is real change.

“I feel a responsibility on my shoulders,” says Ankit Jain, 26, a diamond dealer with about 8,600 Twitter followers.

“Twitter will not change anything. Voter registration is very important. Every vote counts.”

Shreshtha Sharma, the fourth member of the group and founder of a software development company, shares his friends’ excitement about Mr Modi, whose popularity among young, right-wing Indians borders on a personality cult.

But he is reluctant to predict outright victory for the BJP, which needs to make huge gains from 2009 to prevail in 2014.

“That will depend on whether this generation has obtained the critical mass,” says Mr Sharma, 28. “But the generation after us, they will be able to shift it. If Modi isn’t able to do it now, then he will definitely be able to do it later on.”

* Reuters

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

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Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

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