Supporters cry hearing the verdict against the former prime minister, Thaksin Shinawatra.
Supporters cry hearing the verdict against the former prime minister, Thaksin Shinawatra.

Thailand's former prime minister loses $1bn in ruling



BANGKOK // Thailand's former prime minister, Thaksin Shinawatra, has vowed to continue to fight for justice after the country's Supreme Court found him guilty of abuse of power and stripped him of assets worth more than US$1 billion.

"No matter where justice lies - in hell or heaven, in Thailand or overseas - I did not receive absolute justice today, so I will continue to seek it," he told his followers in Bangkok, who had gathered to hear the verdict. The crowd at the opposition Peau Thai party headquarters, which Thaksin supports from afar, yelled abuse at the judges as they read their verdict on television. "Thaksin, fight, fight, fight!" they chanted at the end, many of them visibly angry and upset.

Their anger is likely to grow in the coming weeks according to analysts and diplomats and there are growing fears of violence in the near future. The Red Shirts, as they are known because of the colour of their informal uniform, have threatened to amass one million marchers in a few weeks time. At the core of the conflict is the growing division in Thailand between the nation's rural and urban poor, who support Thaksin, pitted against the established ruling elite - including the army - which he challenged during his six years in power.

"The country has never been so bitterly divided as now, and the rifts can only widen while the rural poor continue to feel a very real sense of injustice," said Suranand Vejjajiva, a former Thaksin ally and government spokesman, now a political columnist with the Bangkok Post. Mr Thaksin fled the country in August 2006 while on bail, before a court convicted him for infringing conflict-of-interest laws while he was prime minister and sentenced him to two year's jail in absentia.

The ousted premier, toppled by a military coup in September 2006, called on his supporters by video phone immediately after the verdict was read, to remain calm, and wait for a more appropriate time to resume their protests. "This case is very political," he told his supporters. "The court was used to get rid of a politician. The ruling will be a joke for the world," he said in his televised address.

The court confiscated $1.4bn (Dh5.1bn) in already frozen assets from the fugitive former prime minister after finding him guilty of illegally concealing his ownership of a family telecommunications business and abusing power to benefit the companies he owned; especially the sale of Shin Corporation to the Singapore company Temasek, the profits of which were tax-free. But they also ruled that he could keep the rest of his assets, which had been valued at some $2.4bn dollars in total before the court verdict, on the grounds that "to seize all the money would be unfair as some of it was made before Thaksin became prime minister".

"This is Thai justice," complained Malee Thisoph, 33, from Korat, a major provincial city in the desperately poor north-east of the country, which is Thaksin's main support base. She and her 60-year-old aunt had come to Bangkok to support their hero. "The court is trying to destroy Thaksin, and with it is destroying democracy," she said. "We are not here for Thaksin, we are here for justice." "It is not fair," said another Thaksin sympathiser, Niratchai Sunthonsak, 22, a college student and single mother. "But if the money is used for the country and not siphoned-off into the pockets of other politicians it won't be so bad. Anyway, Thaksin still has enough money tucked away abroad."

There is much speculation about the extent of Thaksin's wealth stashed away overseas. In a recent interview with The Times of London, Thaksin said he still had up to $200 million in assets offshore. Now all eyes are on the red-shirted United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD). Days before the verdict they decided to quietly, as they put it, mourn the death of justice when the court gave its verdict, but have pledged to resume their demonstrations next month with a "million-man march" in Bangkok.

"Our fight for democracy will continue," a Red Shirt leader, Jatuporn Prompan told The National on the eve of the judgement. But already there are signs that there is a battle within the UDD over future strategy. "We will close down the city," the international spokesman for the Red Shirts, Sean Boonpracong told journalists recently. In a statement released to the press on Saturday morning, he is now urging the UDD supporters to respond to the court's decision "with cold, angry silence". But there are others in the movement who are threatening to launch a violent civil war.

"We'll be back in two weeks time to support Thaksin again," said Ms Malee. "And we don't want any money from him. We just want him to come back." Security remains extremely tight in the capital, with extra police on patrol and soldiers stationed out of sight ready to take action if needed. "This is war," the government spokesman Panitan Watanayagorn recently told journalists. "And we are ready, with detailed plans in place, to cope with any outbreak of violence."

"This grimy saga is far from over," Shawn Crispin, the South East Asia editor at Asia Times Online said. He added that it was too early to tell whether the next chapter will start with a bang or just peter out. "The authorities are hoping that the divisions with the UDD will cause it to implode." foreign.desk@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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The White Lotus: Season three

Creator: Mike White

Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell

Rating: 4.5/5

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THE SPECS

2020 Toyota Corolla Hybrid LE

Engine: 1.8 litre combined with 16-volt electric motors

Transmission: Automatic with manual shifting mode

Power: 121hp

Torque: 142Nm

Price: Dh95,900

NO OTHER LAND

Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal

Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham

Rating: 3.5/5

MATCH INFO

Inter Milan 2 (Vecino 65', Barella 83')

Verona 1 (Verre 19' pen)

PREMIER LEAGUE RESULTS

Bournemouth 1 Manchester City 2
Watford 0 Brighton and Hove Albion 0
Newcastle United 3 West Ham United 0
Huddersfield Town 0 Southampton 0
Crystal Palace 0 Swansea City 2
Manchester United 2 Leicester City 0
West Bromwich Albion 1 Stoke City 1
Chelsea 2 Everton 0
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Burnley 1
Liverpool 4 Arsenal 0

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The National's picks

4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young