Myanmar's security forces have been attacked by the Arakan Army, a rebel group seeking greater autonomy for the Rakhine's Buddhist-majority population. AFP
Myanmar's security forces have been attacked by the Arakan Army, a rebel group seeking greater autonomy for the Rakhine's Buddhist-majority population. AFP

Myanmar's Rakhine unrest prompts fear of mass displacement



A growing Buddhist insurgency against the Myanmar government in Rakhine state, from which hundreds of thousands of Rohingya were driven out in 2017, is raising fears of another mass displacement.

The Arakan Army, a rebel group seeking greater autonomy for the state’s Buddhist-majority population, killed 13 policemen and injured nine in attacks on police posts across Rakhine State on Sunday, the Myanmar government said.

The attack was on Myanmar’s independence day and observers say it has probably provoked a major military response. This turmoil restarted last month as the small insurgent group launched hit-and-run attacks on Myanmar troops.

In 2017, attacks by Rohingya rebels were used as a pretext to ethnically cleanse about 700,000 of the mostly Muslim ethnic minority from Rakhine.

The coastal Arakan Kingdom was separate from Burma until the 18th century.

Rakhine Buddhists are a separate ethnic group from Myanmar’s dominant Bamar, with a distinct dialect and culture.

The state was also historically home to the Rohingya ethnic group, which in the second half of the 20th century the Myanmar government characterised as recent interlopers from Bangladesh.

Many groups in Myanmar’s border states are fighting in the name of minority rights, the Arakan Army among them.

The current conflict has displaced about 4,500 people since last month, UN figures show.

The leader of Myanmar’s government, Aung San Suu Kyi, discussed the insurgent attacks with the head of the military on Monday, Reuters reported, with her administration calling on the army to crush the rebels.

The head of the UN in Myanmar, Knut Ostby, yesterday said he was “deeply concerned about the situation” and urged “all sides to ensure the protection of all civilians”.

A displaced Rohingya man living in a camp between Rakhine state and Bangladesh said he was scared that Rohingya could be caught in the crossfire.

“Rohingya people who remain in Myanmar are being threatened by Myanmar authorities,” who accuse them of being linked to the Arakan rebellion, Dil Mohammed told The National.

Fighting was continuing 20 kilometres from the camp, Mr Mohammed said, with a large number of Myanmar troops in the area.

While he was fearful that the Rohingya might become collateral victims of the trouble, he said the current conflict did not involve them directly.

“We will never link with the Buddhist Rakhine because our Rohingya communities have been expelled from our own land by both Rakhine people and the Myanmar army,” Mr Mohammed said.

Rohingya populations still living in Rakhine were particularly vulnerable, said an activist with the Free Rohingya Coalition. "If there is fighting near the Rohingya villages, the Rohingya will have to flee to Bangladesh to save their lives," Ro Nay San Lwin told The National.

The situation was “really worrying,” he said.

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Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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January 24 – First T20, Lahore

January 25 – Second T20, Lahore

January 27 – Third T20, Lahore

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