Former Afghan national security adviser Hanif Atmar met in Dubai recently with the opposition Jamiat-e-Islami party to seek backing for a presidential bid next year, The National has learned.
Mr Atmar resigned from his post last week citing concerns over the security situation and political stability in Afghanistan, which will hold parliamentary elections in October and a presidential election next April.
The exact timing of his meeting with Jamiat-e-Islami in Dubai is not clear, but a well connected Afghan political analyst who asked to remain anonymous and sources in the party told The National it was held in the past two months.
Mr Atmar asked Jamiat representatives to support his candidacy in the presidential election, the analyst said. “But he wasn’t happy with the results and couldn’t get the support of Jamiat.”
The Jamiat sources confirmed the meeting took place but did not reveal the agenda or the outcome.
Mr Atmar's background worked against him, according to the analyst. In his youth Mr Atmar, 49, worked with the Soviet-backed government in Afghanistan as a member of KHAD (Khadamat-e-Aetlat-e-Dawlati), the former Afghan intelligence agency that was controlled by the Soviet Union's KGB spy agency.
On the other hand, Jamiat is comprised mostly of former members of the Afghan mujahideen that fought against the Soviet invasion.
“Jamiat members, Dostum and Muhaqiq; they all see him as someone who has tried to kill them,” the analyst said, referring to Rashid Dostum, a former warlord from the Uzbek ethnic minority, and Mohammed Muhaqiq, a leader of the Hazara minority. Both men also fought against Soviet forces and are part of Afghanistan's political opposition. Indeed, Mr Atmar lost a leg while fighting alongside Soviet forces against the mujahideen in Jalalabad in 1987.
However, Mr Atmar’s past affiliations have not stopped him from consolidating political power since his return to Afghanistan from Britain following the US-led invasion in 2001. Starting as a minister for rural development and rehabilitation in Hamid Karzai's transitional government in 2002, he rose in the cabinet despite strong differences with the post-Taliban political elite, becoming education minister in 2006 and interior minister in 2008.
As national security adviser under President Ashraf Ghani since 2014, he was widely considered the second most powerful man in Afghanistan.
“He had greater autonomy in everything as the NSA. Under Mr Atmar, the office of NSA became important to the point that it sparked concerns among the president and his circle,” the analyst said.
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Mr Atmar comes from an aristocratic family in Laghman province and has strong tribal ties, a prerequisite in Afghan politics. He has also cultivated a loyal following within the ranks of the security agencies.
“He was effective. People working for him admire his service. He played a crucial role in appointing all security ministers, except the NDS chief,” the analyst said, referring to the National Directorate of Security, Afghanistan's intelligence agency.
Mr Atmar was known for making his ministries more efficient, said Ejaz Malikzada, a member of the Afghanistan Green Trend grassroots political movement led by former spy chief Amrullah Saleh.
"He is known to have created better systems and management when he was at the ministries. He assembled a team many members of which are now part of the 1400," Mr Malikzada said, referring to the group of Afghan professionals and academics working towards political, social and economic development.
However, Mr Atmar faces several handicaps in a bid for presidency besides his Soviet-era affiliations, including his poor record on security at a time of increasingly brazen attacks by the Taliban and ISIS.
“The public perception of him isn’t very positive. Several grievances and allegations have been raised against him related to the deteriorating security," said Mr Malikzada, recalling protests against Mr Atmar after the deadly May 31 truck bombing in Kabul last year.
And Mr Atmar's relations with the United States, which still holds considerable influence in Afghan politics, are not the strongest. “I also don’t think he is on good terms with the US, despite having signed the Bilateral Security Agreement,” the political analyst said, referring to the strategic document signed in 2014 that allowed the US troops to remain in Afghanistan with a limited role.
According to the analyst, Mr Atmar practised divisive politics in Afghanistan's multi-ethnic society, something that is "not welcomed by the US for obvious reasons”.
Although fate of his presidential bid is uncertain, Mr Atmar will remain a player in Afghan politics in the years to come, the analyst said.
“During the elections, alliances become quite unpredictable. If Ghani needs him and offers him something [a new role], they could become allies again.
“There are more uncertainties and many questions. We need to wait and see who runs for elections eventually."
TOUR DE FRANCE INFO
Dates: July 1-23
Distance: 3,540km
Stages: 21
Number of teams: 22
Number of riders: 198
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
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A MINECRAFT MOVIE
Director: Jared Hess
Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa
Rating: 3/5
THE SPECS
Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine
Power: 420kW
Torque: 780Nm
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Price: From Dh1,350,000
On sale: Available for preorder now
The rules on fostering in the UAE
A foster couple or family must:
- be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
- not be younger than 25 years old
- not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
- be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
- have the ability to support its members and the foster child financially
- undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
- A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
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City's slump
L - Juventus, 2-0
D - C Palace, 2-2
W - N Forest, 3-0
L - Liverpool, 2-0
D - Feyenoord, 3-3
L - Tottenham, 4-0
L - Brighton, 2-1
L - Sporting, 4-1
L - Bournemouth, 2-1
L - Tottenham, 2-1
The specs: 2018 Chevrolet Trailblazer
Price, base / as tested Dh99,000 / Dh132,000
Engine 3.6L V6
Transmission: Six-speed automatic
Power 275hp @ 6,000rpm
Torque 350Nm @ 3,700rpm
Fuel economy combined 12.2L / 100km
BUNDESLIGA FIXTURES
Friday (UAE kick-off times)
Cologne v Hoffenheim (11.30pm)
Saturday
Hertha Berlin v RB Leipzig (6.30pm)
Schalke v Fortuna Dusseldof (6.30pm)
Mainz v Union Berlin (6.30pm)
Paderborn v Augsburg (6.30pm)
Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund (9.30pm)
Sunday
Borussia Monchengladbach v Werder Bremen (4.30pm)
Wolfsburg v Bayer Leverkusen (6.30pm)
SC Freiburg v Eintracht Frankfurt (9on)
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
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At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances