Sheikh Abdullah meets Chinese leader


Daniel Bardsley
  • English
  • Arabic

BEIJING // Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed, the Minister of Foreign Affairs, met the Chinese president Hu Jintao yesterday, and the pair expressed their enthusiasm for strengthening bilateral relations. Sheikh Abdullah, in China to take part in the China-Arab Co-operation Forum, which ended yesterday, hailed the "growing relations" between the two countries, according to a statement released by the state news agency WAM.

During his meeting in Beijing with the Chinese president, Sheikh Abdullah conveyed regards from Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed, President of the UAE and Ruler of Abu Dhabi, and wished both Mr Hu and the Chinese people good health, according to WAM. Mr Hu said China was keen to promote trade and investment ties with the UAE. Chinese state media reported that Mr Hu also reiterated his support for the Middle East peace process and for the efforts of Arab states looking to secure their "legitimate national rights".

The opening session of the forum, held on Thursday in Tianjin - a half-hour high-speed train journey from the capital - was attended by Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier. He met Arab officials from the more than 20 countries involved in the forum, which is held every two years. dbardsley@thenational.ae

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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg