Berlusconi to resign over Italian debt crisis



Silvio Berlusconi last night promised to resign as prime minister after the Italian parliament passes economic reforms demanded by the European Union to save Italy from becoming further engulfed in Europe's debt crisis.

His offer followed a parliamentary revolt over a bill on public finances that showed Mr Berlusconi had little choice.

Amid growing anxiety on the money markets, Italian legislators approved the bill - but abstentions, which included some centre-right coalition partners, exceeded pro-government votes, showing the beleaguered 75-year-old premier to have lost majority support.

Mr Berlusconi was said to be "incredulous" and furious with the "betrayal" of former supporters who defected.

Greece for once took second billing in the financial calamities confronting Europe.

An interim government of unity was thought close to formation, though assurances were being sought by both the EU and Lucas Papademos, the former vice president of the European Central Bank (ECB) tipped to replace George Papandreou as prime minister.

Greece's woes are dwarfed, in purely numerical terms, by those of Italy. With up to €1.9 trillion (Dh9.64 trillion) of debts, or 120 per cent of annual economic output, Italy's borrowings amount to more than the combined total for other troubled economies, Greece, Portugal and the Irish Republic.

International Monetary Fund officials are due to visit Rome in the coming days to inspect the government. But last night's vote threatened another period of uncertainty as Mr Berlusconi pondered the prospects of another fight for survival.

Earlier, the yield on Italian 10-year bonds had risen to 6.74 per cent, record interest rates on Italian borrowing since before the euro was launched 12 years ago. The rate eased fractionally but remained dangerously close to the 7 per cent threshold at which Italy, like other ailing EU states before it, may need to seek a bailout.

On the streets of Rome and the provinces, and in the view of many political and financial analysts, the end of the Berlusconi era is not only near but offers the country its best hope of finding solutions to its present predicament.

The prime minister, who has survived dozens of previous confidence motions, began the day clinging to his "no surrender" stance, determined not to go without a fight.

His own allies confirmed that he embarked on a frantic round of consultations in an attempt to drum up support.

But although opponents stopped short of voting down the budget, which could have brought dire consequences for the day-to-day running of the country, his position was seen by many observers as untenable.

"I think by now it is inevitable that his government will come to an end," James Walston, professor of international relations at the American University of Rome told the BBC. "It may not be today, or even tomorrow, but it will be very soon."

In a Twitter message, Edward Lucas, international editor of The Economist, likened the country to a "rich man who works part-time, has credit-card debts and has lost his wallet. Illiquid not insolvent".

The immediate question after last night's vote was whether the clear loss of parliamentary support - especially if followed by a confidence motion - would persuade the prime minister of the extent to which he is seen as central to the Italian malaise.

Markets rose on Monday amid rumours that Mr Berlusconi had agreed to step down, only to slump again when he used Facebook to deny the stories.

Calls for Mr Berlusconi's resignation extended yesterday to his main coalition partner, the Northern League, as belief grows that only with his departure can the mammoth task of rebuilding confidence begin. This was interpreted in some media reports from Rome as potentially "a mortal blow".

But opponents are unlikely to be convinced that one suggested replacement, Angelino Alfano, secretary of Mr Berlusconi's PDL party and a former justice minister, would be accepted as representing Italy's need for change.

In Brussels, euroz one finance ministers, in yet another session of crisis talks, agreed to to boost the rescue fund for threatened member countries by the end of this month. But the Italian debt burden is almost twice the biggest contingency fund so far envisaged.

A decision on Greece's new unity government was expected as early as last night. Mr Papademos was reported to be insisting on continued membership of the EU. Having led his country into the 27-nation bloc, he has made clear that he will not be the man who takes it out again.

France is also feeling the weight of economic gloom and the president, Nicolas Sarkozy, was quick yesterday to defend a new round of austerity measures as an "absolute necessity" if the country was to reach its target of a zero deficit by 2015.

Mr Sarkozy rejected criticism from the left and also some on the right that he was putting growth at risk.

He described as populist a pledge by his socialist presidential rival, François Hollande, to show an example by cutting the head of state's salary by 30 per cent. And he attacked attempts to depict the international markets or credit ratings agencies as "witches from the Middle Ages", saying: "It is the accumulation of debt and deficits which makes a country lose its independence."

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The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

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Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

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“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

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The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Our legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

The Orwell Prize for Political Writing

Twelve books were longlisted for The Orwell Prize for Political Writing. The non-fiction works cover various themes from education, gender bias, and the environment to surveillance and political power. Some of the books that made it to the non-fiction longlist include: 

  • Appeasing Hitler: Chamberlain, Churchill and the Road to War by Tim Bouverie
  • Some Kids I Taught and What They Taught Me by Kate Clanchy
  • Invisible Women: Exposing Data Bias in a World Designed for Men by Caroline Criado Perez
  • Follow Me, Akhi: The Online World of British Muslims by Hussein Kesvani
  • Guest House for Young Widows: Among the Women of ISIS by Azadeh Moaveni

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Blockchain is a form of distributed ledger technology, a digital system in which data is recorded across multiple places at the same time. Unlike traditional databases, DLTs have no central administrator or centralised data storage. They are transparent because the data is visible and, because they are automatically replicated and impossible to be tampered with, they are secure.

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets