Dubai's property bubble far from bursting, real estate experts say


Patrick Ryan
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Dubai’s property boom is not going to slow down anytime soon, real estate experts have said.

A rising population, minimal taxes and the global economic climate are chief among the reasons for continued optimism when it comes to the emirate’s property sector.

Another major factor is that the price of property is still low compared to other major cities such as London and Hong Kong, despite the fact that costs continue to rise.

The rapid growth of the Dubai property sector had led many to speculate if the housing bubble would burst.

“Dubai's property boom is not due to slow down anytime soon,” Lewis Allsopp, chief executive of real estate firm Allsopp & Allsopp told The National.

Dubai's price is definitely affected by its population growth. It is the typical law of supply and demand
Lewis Allsopp,
chief executive of Allsopp & Allsopp

“This is due to Dubai’s rapid population growth, global economic factors and limited taxation.

“Income tax is non-existent and corporate tax has been only introduced this month, being one of the lowest in the world at only 9 per cent.”

'Surging prices still comparatively low'

The value of real estate transactions in Dubai grew by 87 per cent on an annual basis in May, said a report by real estate listings website Property Finder.

The aggregate value of deals in the emirate last month was Dh34 billion ($9.3 billion).

Part of the emirate’s appeal is how it compares to other global hubs for property prices, he added.

“The price to get a two-bedroom in a central location in London is around Dh10 million,” said Mr Allsopp.

“You can buy a two-bedroom in Business Bay for Dh1.5m and in prime areas like Downtown for around Dh2.5m and that is without considering the actual space, which goes without saying is way more generous here in Dubai.”

Lewis Allsopp, chief executive of Allsopp & Allsopp, said Dubai properties compare favourably to London. Reem Mohammed / The National
Lewis Allsopp, chief executive of Allsopp & Allsopp, said Dubai properties compare favourably to London. Reem Mohammed / The National

While it might seem obvious that a market as developed as London's would demand higher prices on premium properties, the comparison with Dubai was still a fair one, insisted Mr Allsopp.

"Dubai continues to establish itself as an international destination and a comparison with prices in other global centres like London is timely as many young professionals, families and businesses are moving themselves to Dubai," he said.

Increasing popularity

Dubai’s population surpassed the 3.5 million mark in April, powered by a rise in migration.

The emirate’s government plans to ensure the population rate continues to soar, with plans in place for 5.8 million to call Dubai home by 2040, necessitating a major expansion.

“The challenge is, the launches that are happening this year will not be complete for three years, but the influx of people coming into Dubai is happening at the present time,” said Mr Allsopp.

In recent years a trend has emerged with many Dubai residents looking to the suburbs for somewhere to call home, due to rising prices in more central areas.

This has led to many moving to areas such as Arabian Ranches 2, Jumeirah Village Circle, Town Square and Mira.

Going off-plan

The shortage of properties currently available has also led to a surge of interest in off-plan properties, another expert said.

“The (current) supply of housing falls short of meeting demand, which explains the surge in new off-plan property launches, including notable projects like Palm Jebel Ali and Expo City,” said Matthew Gregory, branch director at Betterhomes.

“Developers are keenly aware of the opportunities presented by this growth and are striving to offer competitively priced properties.”

Even with a new supply of properties, the market is unlikely to experience a crash, he added.

Matthew Gregory, branch director with Betterhomes, said the full impact of Chinese investors has yet to be realised. Photo: Betterhomes
Matthew Gregory, branch director with Betterhomes, said the full impact of Chinese investors has yet to be realised. Photo: Betterhomes

“However, as the population continues to expand and the housing supply becomes more abundant, we can expect prices to stabilise rather than experience a sudden crash,” said Mr Gregory.

In fact, he said prices could continue to rise with an influx from one market in particular.

“As China resumes international travel, there is the potential for them to exert their investment power, resulting in another wave of investments pouring into the city and further fuelling the market,” said Mr Gregory.

He also echoed sentiments around the comparatively cheap property available in Dubai when looking at other markets.

“Dubai’s prime real estates are seven times lower than those in Hong Kong and five and a half times lower than in London,” said Mr Gregory.

“Dubai offers one of the most favourable investment yields globally.

“These price differentials between it and the other two cities will continue to draw the attention of investors, individuals and families seeking a distinctive lifestyle that Dubai has to offer.”

'Better lifestyle'

The overall quality of life for residents of Dubai remains a key factor for the emirate’s continued popularity, said another real estate expert.

The UAE was named as the sixth-best country for expatriates to live and work in by a report released last year by global network InterNations – moving up 12 places from the previous year.

“Clients don’t just look at the price per square foot when making a decision – aspects such as safety, leadership, tax benefits and the general way of life can make a city feel ‘cheap’ or ‘expensive’,” said Charlie Bannan, sales director with Haus & Haus real estate.

“Now, more than ever, I speak with people from the UK who are taking the leap and relocating themselves and their families for a better lifestyle.”

Chinese investors buying Dubai properties – in pictures

The specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo

Power: 247hp at 6,500rpm

Torque: 370Nm from 1,500-3,500rpm

Transmission: 10-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 7.8L/100km

Price: from Dh94,900

On sale: now

The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo

The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
Price, base / as tested: Dh182,178
Engine: 3.7-litre V6
Power: 350hp @ 7,400rpm
Torque: 374Nm @ 5,200rpm
Transmission: Seven-speed automatic
​​​​​​​Fuel consumption, combined: 10.5L / 100km

The specs

Price, base / as tested Dh12 million

Engine 8.0-litre quad-turbo, W16

Gearbox seven-speed dual clutch auto

Power 1479 @ 6,700rpm

Torque 1600Nm @ 2,000rpm 0-100kph: 2.6 seconds 0-200kph: 6.1 seconds

Top speed 420 kph (governed)

Fuel economy, combined 35.2L / 100km (est)

The specs
 
Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder turbo
Power: 398hp from 5,250rpm
Torque: 580Nm at 1,900-4,800rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed auto
Fuel economy, combined: 6.5L/100km
On sale: December
Price: From Dh330,000 (estimate)
Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

If you go

Flying

Despite the extreme distance, flying to Fairbanks is relatively simple, requiring just one transfer in Seattle, which can be reached directly from Dubai with Emirates for Dh6,800 return.

 

Touring

Gondwana Ecotours’ seven-day Polar Bear Adventure starts in Fairbanks in central Alaska before visiting Kaktovik and Utqiarvik on the North Slope. Polar bear viewing is highly likely in Kaktovik, with up to five two-hour boat tours included. Prices start from Dh11,500 per person, with all local flights, meals and accommodation included; gondwanaecotours.com 

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Updated: June 15, 2023, 10:52 AM`