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Tim Fox

Tim Fox

Dubai
Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

Articles

In Turkey, the lira had been getting close to a rate of 5 to the US dollar on May 23 before the central bank intervened and implemented an emergency 300bps hike to its late liquidity window. Chris McGrath/Getty Images
A stronger dollar and firmer oil prices threaten capital flows to emerging markets

After outperforming global equity markets for two years, emerging market equities have underperformed since the start of 2018

MoneyMay 28, 2018
The dollar's resurgence comes as investors fret over rising interest rates, cuts to oil production and uncertainty about geopolitics. Photo: Bloomberg
Dollar weakness replaced by dollar strength but how long will it last?

The greenback made a comeback after concerns about protectionism and geopolitics eased last month

MoneyMay 06, 2018
On Friday President Donald Trump tweeted "Looks like OPEC is at it again."Kevin Lamarque / Reuters
Trump’s rant on Opec output deal is unlikely to have a lasting effect

While the US president's Twitter message may have caused a reaction, it will be oil's strength that will bring about change

MoneyApril 23, 2018
The Tadawul is up 10 per cent so far this year. Simon Dawson / Bloomberg
Regional equities fare well as they look to attract foreign investors

Including Saudi stocks into popular indices, such as the FTSE Emerging Market index, is a boon for the economy

MarketsApril 08, 2018
The idea that the sell-off was relatively healthy fits neatly into the narrative that it was mostly caused by technical factors. Richard Drew/AP
A healthy correction may not be the end result of the global market rout

A confluence of factors point to a heating economy

EconomyFebruary 11, 2018
The dollar index is down more than 13.5 per cent since the start of 2017, and 3.5 per cent this month alone, reaching its lowest level in three years. Thomas White/Reuters
Trump politics is hurting the dollar

Mixed messages from the white house and threats of protectionism are impacting the greenback

MoneyJanuary 29, 2018
US outgoing Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. The Fed's rate rises in 2017 were in line with its forecasts for the first time in several years. Jonathan Ernst / Reuters
Markets can no longer ignore Fed's bullish rate rise rhetoric

Another question to consider is what will happen to the long end of the US rate curve

MoneyDecember 17, 2017
Demonstrators against the US tax reform bill hold a protest rally in Washington, DC. Now that the bill has been passed, it may have effects on growth and monetary policy. Saul Loeb / AFP
Three key events that will help shape the financial markets in 2018

Opec's extension on oil cuts, the US tax reform bill and the Muller investigation will have

MoneyDecember 03, 2017
Bank of England governor Mark Carney announcing the increase in interest rates at the Bank of England in London last week. Andy Rain / EPA
Central banks take the driving seat on monetary policy normalisation

While the Bank of England has raised rates for the first time in 10 years, Donald Trump announced Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair

MoneyNovember 05, 2017
Traders gather on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York. In the first nine months of 2017, global equity markets have outperformed other asset classes. Brendan McDermid / Reuters
Equities have outperformed other assets classes in 2017

While the equity markets are looking stable thanks to hopes of tax cuts in the US, the road ahead is not entirely clear of challenges

MoneyOctober 23, 2017
The markets are jittery about who will take Janet Yellen's place as chair of the US Federal Reserve. Ty Wright/Bloomberg
Uncertainty over the Fed chair's future leaves markets on edge

Janet Yellen's term is due to finish in February and markets are nervous about who will take her place and what President Trump wants from the new Fed leader

MoneyOctober 08, 2017
European Union flags outside the headquarters of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany. Ralph Orlowski/Reuters
Newly proactive central banks get markets thinking

New stance by prominent state lenders has caught markets a little bit off guard

BusinessSeptember 24, 2017
Ocean Drive in South Beach as Hurricane Irma arrives at south Florida, in Miami Beach, Florida. Markets may be set for turbulence. Carlos Barria/ Reuters
Stormy global situation sets scene for markets

Period of uncertainty among investors, corporations and consumers likely to be extended

MarketsSeptember 10, 2017
Janet Yellen, chairman of the US Federal Reserve System, left, and Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. David Paul Morris/Bloomberg
What Yellen and Draghi did not say speaks volumes

US speeches took aim at global leaders rather than addressing the concerns of the financial markets

EconomyAugust 27, 2017
The Federal Reserve’s chairwoman, Janet Yellen, after the benchmark rate rose on 14 June to 1 to 1.25 per cent. Richard Drew / AP Photo
Market analysis: Trump and Brexit hint at volatility

The US Federal Reserve stuck to its forecast for another hike this year and for more rises to come in 2018 and 2019.

MarketsJune 18, 2017
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