Contador 'needs a good day'



LOURDES, France // Bjarne Riis, the Saxo Bank team's manager, concedes that Alberto Contador must have at least one good day in the mountains soon if he is to have any chance of defending his Tour de France crown.

Contador came into the race with high hopes of becoming only the second rider since Marco Pantani in 1998 to achieve the Giro d'Italia-Tour de France double, having won the Italian race in May.

However, since the start of his campaign, Spain's three-time champion has encountered misfortune on nearly every stage.

The climbing specialist lost over a minute to his rivals due to a spill on the opening stage and then proceeded to hit the deck three more times in a crash-marred first week of racing.

During those crashes he has picked up a knee injury.

On the first day in the high mountains on Thursday, Contador's knee lasted the pace, but the Spaniard lost 33 seconds to Frank Schleck and 13 to two other yellow-jersey rivals, Andy Schleck and Cadel Evans.

Going into today's 14th stage, when the peloton rides to a second high mountaintop finish at Plateau de Beille, Contador is four minutes behind the leader, Thomas Vockler of Europcar.

Crucially, he is 2:11 behind Frank Schleck, 1:54 behind Evans and 1:43 behind Andy Schleck.

With yesterday's stage finishing downhill in Lourdes, the 168.5km stage from Saint-Gaudens to Beille today is expected to host another attacking frenzy from the Schleck brothers.

Riis admits much could depend on the state of Contador's knee, but he said the Spaniard can afford to lose a little more time before the panic starts to set in.

"If Alberto had a bad day [Thursday], when the good day comes then I believe that the whole Tour can change again, and he can suddenly be in the game," Riis said before yesterday's stage.

"But he needs a good day."

Riis denied that Contador's bid for a sixth consecutive victory in a Grand Tour would be over if he was again left trailing today.

He would "still be in the game", Riis said.

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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”