Syrian refugees inside a tent at an informal tented settlement near the Syrian border on the outskirts of Mafraq, Jordan. Muhammed Muheisen / AP Photo
Syrian refugees inside a tent at an informal tented settlement near the Syrian border on the outskirts of Mafraq, Jordan. Muhammed Muheisen / AP Photo

It’s time the West understood why Syria matters



Federica Mogherini, the EU’s foreign policy chief, argued this week that the Iran nuclear agreement was a “disaster” for ISIL. Her point was that it showed cooperation between the West and the Muslim world. Indeed, Ms Mogherini may even be short-changing the potentials of the deal. The signatories go beyond West and Iran. They include China and Russia, two of the world’s most significant global players. Their presence creates the potential for further discussions on other issues. That’s not a foregone conclusion, by any means – but it does establish avenues to be explored that did not exist hitherto.

For the moment, let us compare the agreement against populist narratives in the centre of the Muslim world. For most supporters of Iran, the P5+1 didn’t enter into some kind of arrangement to begin an alliance of civilisations. When considering much of the suspicion of the deal in the region, the agreement was similarly not interpreted as beginning a new pact with the Muslim world. On the contrary, it was interpreted as a prioritising of the Iranian agenda over the Arab one.

If we look at the disaster that the deal is meant to be for ISIL, the scene looks murky. This is a group that thrives on sectarianism and uses it as a tool for recruitment. Part of the strategy against ISIL has to be the interruption of its recruitment capabilities.

In Iraq, ISIL has played the sectarian card effectively against Baghdad, with many Iraqi members of ISIL perceiving themselves as being part of a Sunni uprising against an oppressive Shia government.

Perhaps, more importantly, across the border in Syria, the Assad regime utilised sectarianism as a tool from the outset, drawing in Shia militia forces from Lebanon and elsewhere. Those fighting the regime from among the Sunni Syrian population know this well – and they are the most vulnerable to ISIL recruitment. In the extremist narrative, Sunnis are fighting against the "Crusader West" and the "Shia oppressors" – and the two groups now appear closer. That is not a disaster for ISIL – on the contrary, its narrative will use the deal as a means for further recruitment.

There is another scenario in which the deal could, indeed, be a deathblow for ISIL. Iranian activists who seek a more progressive future for Iran could be emboldened by this agreement.

If the more moderate elements in Iran do have a stronger role, do they have another plan for Syria that involves recognising the legitimate desires of the 2011 uprising?

As an analyst and academic, I support the deal. But a better deal would have taken positive movement in Syria into account.

It is the Syrian catastrophe that powers the political narrative of ISIL and its supporters. Without it, ISIL would, doubtless, be a lot less able to recruit.

Ms Mogherini is correct in affirming that an “an alliance of civilisations can be our most powerful weapon in the fight against terror”. A true and genuine alliance can only be built on a common understanding of basic principles. The Muslim world and the P5+1 are not such separate and distinct civilisations, so the task should be easier.

When I wrote a book on the historical interchange between Europe and the Muslim world, which argued against the clash of civilisations thesis, I had a plethora of works on which to base my writings: scholars such as Columbia University professor Richard Bulliet, who wrote The Case for Islamo-Christian Civilisation paved the way years before.

The issue isn’t whether there is sufficient precedent in our history – as Muslims and Christians, Jews and others, as Europeans, Arabs and more, as westerners and those living in Muslim majority states – to establish an alliance of civilisations based on common principles. That is a struggle in and of itself against the rise of extremism in different parts of the world – but political will can overcome that.

The real question is whether or not we will recognise the political imperatives that are derived from the impetus of such an alliance. That requires the international community to recognise the possibility and benefits of an alliance. But it also requires the recognition of the right of autonomy of Syrians to seek their own future, without the threat of death and destruction from the likes of Assad’s regime. As long as their autonomy ceases to be taken for granted, ISIL will have an extra pool of recruits. No deal with Iran can be a substitute for that.

Dr HA Hellyer is an associate fellow in international security studies at the Royal United Services Institute in London, and the Centre for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC

On Twitter: @hahellyer

The alternatives

• Founded in 2014, Telr is a payment aggregator and gateway with an office in Silicon Oasis. It’s e-commerce entry plan costs Dh349 monthly (plus VAT). QR codes direct customers to an online payment page and merchants can generate payments through messaging apps.

• Business Bay’s Pallapay claims 40,000-plus active merchants who can invoice customers and receive payment by card. Fees range from 1.99 per cent plus Dh1 per transaction depending on payment method and location, such as online or via UAE mobile.

• Tap started in May 2013 in Kuwait, allowing Middle East businesses to bill, accept, receive and make payments online “easier, faster and smoother” via goSell and goCollect. It supports more than 10,000 merchants. Monthly fees range from US$65-100, plus card charges of 2.75-3.75 per cent and Dh1.2 per sale.

2checkout’s “all-in-one payment gateway and merchant account” accepts payments in 200-plus markets for 2.4-3.9 per cent, plus a Dh1.2-Dh1.8 currency conversion charge. The US provider processes online shop and mobile transactions and has 17,000-plus active digital commerce users.

• PayPal is probably the best-known online goods payment method - usually used for eBay purchases -  but can be used to receive funds, providing everyone’s signed up. Costs from 2.9 per cent plus Dh1.2 per transaction.

A MINECRAFT MOVIE

Director: Jared Hess

Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa

Rating: 3/5

SPECS
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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The White Lotus: Season three

Creator: Mike White

Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell

Rating: 4.5/5

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Airev
Started: September 2023
Founder: Muhammad Khalid
Based: Abu Dhabi
Sector: Generative AI
Initial investment: Undisclosed
Investment stage: Series A
Investors: Core42
Current number of staff: 47
 
Company%20profile
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Specs

Engine: Duel electric motors
Power: 659hp
Torque: 1075Nm
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Price: On request

Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
  • Create new "instrument" providing €150 billion of loans to member countries for defence investment
  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital
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Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

NO OTHER LAND

Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal

Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham

Rating: 3.5/5

Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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Specs

Engine: 51.5kW electric motor

Range: 400km

Power: 134bhp

Torque: 175Nm

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At a glance

- 20,000 new jobs for Emiratis over three years

- Dh300 million set aside to train 18,000 jobseekers in new skills

- Managerial jobs in government restricted to Emiratis

- Emiratis to get priority for 160 types of job in private sector

- Portion of VAT revenues will fund more graduate programmes

- 8,000 Emirati graduates to do 6-12 month replacements in public or private sector on a Dh10,000 monthly wage - 40 per cent of which will be paid by government

MATCH INFO

France 3
Umtiti (8'), Griezmann (29' pen), Dembele (63')

Italy 1
Bonucci (36')

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The bio

Who inspires you?

I am in awe of the remarkable women in the Arab region, both big and small, pushing boundaries and becoming role models for generations. Emily Nasrallah was a writer, journalist, teacher and women’s rights activist

How do you relax?

Yoga relaxes me and helps me relieve tension, especially now when we’re practically chained to laptops and desks. I enjoy learning more about music and the history of famous music bands and genres.

What is favourite book?

The Perks of Being a Wallflower - I think I've read it more than 7 times

What is your favourite Arabic film?

Hala2 Lawen (Translation: Where Do We Go Now?) by Nadine Labaki

What is favourite English film?

Mamma Mia

Best piece of advice to someone looking for a career at Google?

If you’re interested in a career at Google, deep dive into the different career paths and pinpoint the space you want to join. When you know your space, you’re likely to identify the skills you need to develop.