People sit along the Georgetown Waterfront on the Potomac River despite off and on rain in Washington, DC, US, 20 June. Samuel Corum / EPA
People sit along the Georgetown Waterfront on the Potomac River despite off and on rain in Washington, DC, US, 20 June. Samuel Corum / EPA
People sit along the Georgetown Waterfront on the Potomac River despite off and on rain in Washington, DC, US, 20 June. Samuel Corum / EPA
People sit along the Georgetown Waterfront on the Potomac River despite off and on rain in Washington, DC, US, 20 June. Samuel Corum / EPA

What Trump stands to lose if Washington DC gains statehood


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The US state of New Hampshire has car number plates which say: “Live Free Or Die.” In Idaho, where there is a big farming community, the state number plates say “Famous Potatoes.” Perhaps all human life is somewhere between New Hampshire’s bloodcurdling demand for liberty and Idaho’s need for Americans to love potatoes, but there is one motto on American number plates which has a bitter twist. The US capital, Washington DC (District of Columbia), is not a state. Number plates in Washington therefore carry a complaint rather than a motto: “Taxation Without Representation.”

It is an echo of the 18th century slogan when King George the third taxed the American colonies even though they had no representation in the British government. But now the US House of Representatives has voted to give Washington DC representation by making the US capital America’s 51st state. It is a symbolic vote only, at least for now. No US territory has become a state since Hawaii and Alaska in 1959.

The population of the US capital is around 700,000, more than the population of existing states like Wyoming and Vermont. DC is overwhelmingly Democrat, and while Democrats in Congress voted for statehood, Republicans oppose it. Since Republicans control the Senate, DC will not become a state – yet. But big changes are in the wind ahead of November’s presidential election.

Opinion polls show that Donald Trump’s support is eroding. Joe Biden is ahead of Trump 50-36 per cent in national polls and more importantly in key states that Trump won in 2016. Biden – the “Not Trump” candidate – appeals to voters disappointed or disgusted by Mr Trump’s mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic and his tin ear to protests about police brutality and racism.

Marie Smith joins a group called "Allies rally against Confederate and police violence," in Texas, US. Ricardo B. Brazziell / AP
Marie Smith joins a group called "Allies rally against Confederate and police violence," in Texas, US. Ricardo B. Brazziell / AP

When Americans go to the polls in November they vote for the president and also for every member of the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate. The House will probably stay Democrat. But Republicans are fearful that Mr Trump’s reign of error means they will lose senators in battleground states – Michigan, North Carolina and Arizona – and potentially lose control of the Senate itself.

That would guarantee statehood for DC, and that would then probably give Democrats two more Senate seats.

As a decade-long DC resident, I would cheer the idea of my former neighbours at last having representation in the government

Mr Trump’s former National Security Adviser John Bolton has warned that a second Trump term would also be disastrous for America’s stature in the world. It is already diminished. In travels from Latin America to the Middle East, Europe to the Far East I have met many people who love the US and quite a few who hate it. But I have rarely met anyone who pities the US as so many seem to do now. And yet American leadership, even in protests, is still a global event.

Who would have guessed that the killing by police of a black man in Minneapolis would lead to statues of slave traders and racists being destroyed in Belgium and the UK, along with Black Lives Matter protests from France to Australia?

In defence and security circles in Europe we complain about American leadership until we see under Mr Trump what lack of American leadership can look like.

Yet nothing can be taken for granted. Republicans may rally around Mr Trump, although the death toll from coronavirus continues to rise, and America domestically is far from being at peace with itself.

A father and son wear masks as they ride their bikes down the Capital Crescent Trail into the Georgetown neighbourhood of Washington, DC, US, on 20 June. Samuel Corum / EPA
A father and son wear masks as they ride their bikes down the Capital Crescent Trail into the Georgetown neighbourhood of Washington, DC, US, on 20 June. Samuel Corum / EPA

An old Republican friend once explained that it is possible for a president to be elected while doing nothing much about race relations but it is difficult for a president to be elected while demonstrating that he does not care at all about race relations. Mr Trump appears to have fallen into that latter category.

And that is why the future statehood of Washington DC itself is so important. We could see by the end of the year voters across the US deciding they have had enough of Mr Trump. That will give a boost to Democrats vying for Senate seats, and that in turn will mean that Washington DC could at last take its place as the 51st state.

A sign on a lamppost in the Georgetown district of Washington, DC on June 22. Mandel Ngan / AFP
A sign on a lamppost in the Georgetown district of Washington, DC on June 22. Mandel Ngan / AFP

As a decade-long DC resident, I would cheer the idea of my former neighbours at last having representation in the government of their nation in a city that I love. I would also cheer the post-Trump Republican party taking a long hard look in the mirror and examining how it ended up with such a disastrous president in such difficult times.

But to win, Joe Biden needs to be more than the Not Trump candidate. He needs to find a vice presidential candidate of stature. He has said it will be a woman, and there are many talented female Democrats to choose from.

Above all the world needs to recognise that the only thing worse than the US throwing its weight around is the last remaining superpower being led by an uninformed president who has prejudices rather than policies, creates problems rather than solves them, and has little weight when it really counts.

Gavin Esler is a journalist, author and presenter

The Africa Institute 101

Housed on the same site as the original Africa Hall, which first hosted an Arab-African Symposium in 1976, the newly renovated building will be home to a think tank and postgraduate studies hub (it will offer master’s and PhD programmes). The centre will focus on both the historical and contemporary links between Africa and the Gulf, and will serve as a meeting place for conferences, symposia, lectures, film screenings, plays, musical performances and more. In fact, today it is hosting a symposium – 5-plus-1: Rethinking Abstraction that will look at the six decades of Frank Bowling’s career, as well as those of his contemporaries that invested social, cultural and personal meaning into abstraction. 

Cricket World Cup League 2

UAE squad

Rahul Chopra (captain), Aayan Afzal Khan, Ali Naseer, Aryansh Sharma, Basil Hameed, Dhruv Parashar, Junaid Siddique, Muhammad Farooq, Muhammad Jawadullah, Muhammad Waseem, Omid Rahman, Rahul Bhatia, Tanish Suri, Vishnu Sukumaran, Vriitya Aravind

Fixtures

Friday, November 1 – Oman v UAE
Sunday, November 3 – UAE v Netherlands
Thursday, November 7 – UAE v Oman
Saturday, November 9 – Netherlands v UAE

FIRST TEST SCORES

England 458
South Africa 361 & 119 (36.4 overs)

England won by 211 runs and lead series 1-0

Player of the match: Moeen Ali (England)

 

Key findings of Jenkins report
  • Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al Banna, "accepted the political utility of violence"
  • Views of key Muslim Brotherhood ideologue, Sayyid Qutb, have “consistently been understood” as permitting “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” and “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
  • Muslim Brotherhood at all levels has repeatedly defended Hamas attacks against Israel, including the use of suicide bombers and the killing of civilians.
  • Laying out the report in the House of Commons, David Cameron told MPs: "The main findings of the review support the conclusion that membership of, association with, or influence by the Muslim Brotherhood should be considered as a possible indicator of extremism."
ATP WORLD No 1

2004 Roger Federer

2005 Roger Federer

2006 Roger Federer

2007 Roger Federer

2008 Rafael Nadal

2009 Roger Federer

2010 Rafael Nadal

2011 Novak Djokovic

2012 Novak Djokovic

2013 Rafael Nadal

2014 Novak Djokovic

2015 Novak Djokovic

2016 Andy Murray

2017 Rafael Nadal

2018 Novak Djokovic

2019 Rafael Nadal

Red flags
  • Promises of high, fixed or 'guaranteed' returns.
  • Unregulated structured products or complex investments often used to bypass traditional safeguards.
  • Lack of clear information, vague language, no access to audited financials.
  • Overseas companies targeting investors in other jurisdictions - this can make legal recovery difficult.
  • Hard-selling tactics - creating urgency, offering 'exclusive' deals.

Courtesy: Carol Glynn, founder of Conscious Finance Coaching

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