Donald Trump has promised a “forceful” response to the nerve gas attack on Saturday in which dozens of people died in the besieged rebel enclave of Douma. Mr Trump says the United States has “lots of options” to strike back at the Syrian armed forces and has cancelled a trip to Latin America because of the crisis.
This is far from the first use of chemical weapons against the Syrian rebels but it comes at a pivotal time. The Assad regime, with the support of Russia and Iran and by using ruthless tactics of bombardment and starvation, is slowly driving away the rebels away from the capital and other strategically important locations.
It is too soon to speak of victory for the Assad regime – it is a long way, even several years, away from controlling the whole territory of Syria. But since the fall of the rebel-held part of the city of Aleppo at the end of 2016, the story of the war has been one of the divided rebel groups suffering one defeat after another.
And even if the end is not nigh, the welcome given by neighbouring countries to Syrian refugees is wearing thin. The 2.5 million Syrian refugees who have made their home in Turkey, sent their children to school there and opened businesses are being given to understand that they should think of returning. Their first stop is likely to be the patch of territory in northern Syria which is controlled by Turkish troops.
Two key questions arise from the latest chemical weapons crisis. The first is, why did the Syrian armed forces use what appear to be banned nerve agents when it looks as if the battle for Douma is almost won? The use of poison gas was bound to enrage Americans and Europeans at a time when the regime’s best option was to hope they turned a blind eye while the remaining rebels were crushed or neutralised.
The answer is simple. The spearhead of the army attack, the so-called Tiger Forces, are so few in number that they cannot afford the losses incurred when advancing into rebel-held towns, even with overwhelming air support. For all their success, they are not strong enough to take charge of the territory they allegedly control.
The second element is that the regime has grown to discount western leaders’ promises of military intervention. In 2013 Barack Obama called off a missile attack on Syria in return for a promise from Vladimir Putin to ensure that all Syria’s chemical weapons were destroyed (a promise not followed through); in 2017, Mr Trump unleashed 59 cruise missiles on a Syrian air base from which a chemical weapons attack was launched but it had no discernible effect on the progress of the war.
With Mr Trump declaring a week ago that US forces would leave Syria soon to let “other people” take care of the situation, Damascus might easily have concluded that US military credibility was shot to bits. All that, of course, presupposes that Bashar Al Assad is actually in control of the military, which is far from proven.
So what action will the US – and perhaps France and Britain – take? The first choice is action to show that the use of chemical weapons will always be met with some retaliation. There is some merit in taking action against the use of chemical weapons – but not all that much. Blasting an airfield with cruise missiles has failed to deter the Syrian regime once already.
The second option is a blow so punishing that it transforms the battlefield. This is beset with dangers as such a strike might kill some Russians, opening the way for an even greater rift between the Washington and the Kremlin, perhaps even a real war. But with most of the battlefronts in Syria calm – except for where the regime is mopping up the rebel remnants – who will benefit from re-escalating the war? The unspoken view among Europeans is that a temporary accommodation with the “monster” in Damascus is the best way to reduce the loss of life in Syria in the hope that future diplomacy can effect a political transition.
There were moments when decisive action in support of the rebels could have changed the course of the war. But all actions have unpredictable reactions: when Mr Obama supplied anti-tank weapons to the rebels, it led to Russia’s entry on the side of the regime. For the prestige of Russia and himself, Vladimir Putin is not going to let Syria fall into the hands of the rebels, however much the Kremlin despairs of Mr Al Assad as a leader.
The history of the past seven years is that Damascus has allies who are steadfast and enemies who are half-hearted or divided among themselves. That seems unlikely to change. After the failure of the United Nations Security Council to reach agreement on Tuesday, some form of military action is inevitable. Russian envoy Vasily Nebenzia pleaded with Americans not to engage in any “illegal military adventure”.
For all his promises of a forceful response, Mr Trump has not abandoned his belief that putting boots on the ground in the Middle East does not win wars. The US has the firepower to wipe out all the ground attack aircraft in Syria’s much-depleted air force. But presumably the fighter-bombers will be hidden away or protected in Russia’s airbase at Khmeimim.
In the end, the response is likely to be more forceful than last year’s but well short of upending the balance for forces on the ground. It will reinforce America’s somewhat ragged credibility, if nothing more.
It is worth recalling what Mr Obama said about US credibility: “Dropping bombs on someone to prove that you’re willing to drop bombs on someone is just about the worst reason to use force.” But that is where we are today.
Essentials
The flights
Emirates, Etihad and Malaysia Airlines all fly direct from the UAE to Kuala Lumpur and on to Penang from about Dh2,300 return, including taxes.
Where to stay
In Kuala Lumpur, Element is a recently opened, futuristic hotel high up in a Norman Foster-designed skyscraper. Rooms cost from Dh400 per night, including taxes. Hotel Stripes, also in KL, is a great value design hotel, with an infinity rooftop pool. Rooms cost from Dh310, including taxes.
In Penang, Ren i Tang is a boutique b&b in what was once an ancient Chinese Medicine Hall in the centre of Little India. Rooms cost from Dh220, including taxes.
23 Love Lane in Penang is a luxury boutique heritage hotel in a converted mansion, with private tropical gardens. Rooms cost from Dh400, including taxes.
In Langkawi, Temple Tree is a unique architectural villa hotel consisting of antique houses from all across Malaysia. Rooms cost from Dh350, including taxes.
Test
Director: S Sashikanth
Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan
Star rating: 2/5
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Blackpink World Tour [Born Pink] In Cinemas
Starring: Rose, Jisoo, Jennie, Lisa
Directors: Min Geun, Oh Yoon-Dong
Rating: 3/5
Team Angel Wolf Beach Blast takes place every Wednesday between 4:30pm and 5:30pm
Hili 2: Unesco World Heritage site
The site is part of the Hili archaeological park in Al Ain. Excavations there have proved the existence of the earliest known agricultural communities in modern-day UAE. Some date to the Bronze Age but Hili 2 is an Iron Age site. The Iron Age witnessed the development of the falaj, a network of channels that funnelled water from natural springs in the area. Wells allowed settlements to be established, but falaj meant they could grow and thrive. Unesco, the UN's cultural body, awarded Al Ain's sites - including Hili 2 - world heritage status in 2011. Now the most recent dig at the site has revealed even more about the skilled people that lived and worked there.
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THE BIO
Favourite car: Koenigsegg Agera RS or Renault Trezor concept car.
Favourite book: I Am Pilgrim by Terry Hayes or Red Notice by Bill Browder.
Biggest inspiration: My husband Nik. He really got me through a lot with his positivity.
Favourite holiday destination: Being at home in Australia, as I travel all over the world for work. It’s great to just hang out with my husband and family.
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
Range: Up to 610km
Power: 905hp
Torque: 985Nm
Price: From Dh439,000
Available: Now
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Profile
Co-founders of the company: Vilhelm Hedberg and Ravi Bhusari
Launch year: In 2016 ekar launched and signed an agreement with Etihad Airways in Abu Dhabi. In January 2017 ekar launched in Dubai in a partnership with the RTA.
Number of employees: Over 50
Financing stage: Series B currently being finalised
Investors: Series A - Audacia Capital
Sector of operation: Transport
NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
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The specs
Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel
Power: 579hp
Torque: 859Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh825,900
On sale: Now
The specs: 2019 Subaru Forester
Price, base: Dh105,900 (Premium); Dh115,900 (Sport)
Engine: 2.5-litre four-cylinder
Transmission: Continuously variable transmission
Power: 182hp @ 5,800rpm
Torque: 239Nm @ 4,400rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 8.1L / 100km (estimated)
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
Started: 2021
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
Based: Tunisia
Sector: Water technology
Number of staff: 22
Investment raised: $4 million
The White Lotus: Season three
Creator: Mike White
Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell
Rating: 4.5/5
Living in...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young
A MINECRAFT MOVIE
Director: Jared Hess
Starring: Jack Black, Jennifer Coolidge, Jason Momoa
Rating: 3/5
Why it pays to compare
A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.
Route 1: bank transfer
The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.
Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount
Total received: €4,670.30
Route 2: online platform
The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.
Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction
Total received: €4,756
The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.