Narendra Modi. Prakash Singh / AFP
Narendra Modi. Prakash Singh / AFP

How Narendra Modi's foreign policy manages competing strategic interests



It is a year since the United Arab Emirates occupied centre stage at India's Republic Day parade. This year an unprecedented group of ten Southeast Asian leaders assembled in New Delhi on January 26.

The gathering, while celebrating the 69th anniversary of the Indian constitution, also marked 25 years of India’s partnership with Asean (Association of Southeast Asian Nations).

By forging strategic ties with several countries of "West Asia" (as India refers to the Middle East) in recent years and upgrading its relations with the Asean bloc, India has skillfully enacted both its "Think West" and "Act East" diplomatic outreach.

Explaining this approach, the Indian Foreign Secretary, S Jaishankar, said: "If the eastern front is building upon longstanding policy, the western one is relatively more recent conceptually, even if India has had a historical presence in the Gulf…I can confidently predict that 'Act East' would be matched with 'Think West.'"

While PV Narasimha Rao, Indian prime minister from 1991 to 1996, was the architect of the "Look East" policy, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government redefined it in 2015, while also transforming its strategy on the Middle East.

Linking this to the region, it is pertinent to point out that India’s "Think West" policy prudently reciprocates the Gulf countries’ "Look East" initiative of the last two decades.

As part of India's renewed efforts towards the Middle East, Mr Modi visited the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iran, Israel and Turkey. New Delhi has also hosted the leaders of the UAE, Qatar, Turkey and Israel, among others, during the last four years.

The fact that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's visit to India came within a fortnight of New Delhi's UN vote against Washington's recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital, is indicative of India's diplomatic pragmatism. This is reinforced by the fact that Mr Modi is scheduled to become the first Indian prime minister to visit Palestine in February.

Along with the west-east strategies, there is also the "Neighbourhood First Policy" that set the tone for the new government in 2014, with South Asian leaders attending the prime minister’s swearing-in ceremony. Add to it the "Connect Central Asia" policy, and there is a pattern of calibrated proactive Indian diplomacy at play in Asia.

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Together, they demonstrate New Delhi’s ability to simultaneously balance its multiple and sometimes contradictory strategic interests with Russia and the United States, Israel and Palestine, as well as the Gulf Cooperation Council countries and Iran.

While energy, trade and expatriates were the primary consideration for India’s engagement with the Middle East, it has expanded to include a combination of political, economic and more importantly, security cooperation.

Mr Modi's visit to the UAE in 2015 was historic. Coming as it did 34 years after the last visit by an Indian prime minister, it laid the ground for two visits to India by Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed in 2016 and 2017, culminating in the signing of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement.

This momentum will be sustained with India being the guest country at the World Government Summit in the UAE, which Mr Modi will attend next month.

Amid this "Think West" strategy, India doubled up to not just "Look East, but Act East" as well. This redefinition extends India’s interaction beyond Asean and Japan “to encompass the Koreas in the north to Australia and New Zealand in the south, and from neighbouring Bangladesh to Fiji and Pacific Island countries in the Far East”.

As with the Middle East, India has also enjoyed ancient civilisational ties with Southeast Asia and is reimagining and reshaping its diplomacy with the region.

One such long-term project is the highway connecting India, Myanmar and Thailand, which would ultimately link the South and Southeast Asian economies. Similarly, some of the Gulf countries are part of the India-initiated North-South Transport Corridor.

And, like the strategic and defence cooperation ventures with the countries of the Middle East, India is also looking beyond the three Cs – commerce, culture and connectivity – that formed the foundation of India-Asean ties. Here, for example, India is reportedly considering exporting defense equipment to Vietnam.

Another feature of India's West and East Asia policies is the possibility of running against China's interests in both regions. While the occasional public posturing by both countries about stepping on each other's toes is inevitable, the final word on whether the India-China quest for influence will result in cooperation, continue with competition or end in confrontation is far from written.

However, it is important to recognise that by robustly extending India’s outreach within Asia and even to Africa, New Delhi has underlined the importance of the Indian Ocean Rim as a strategic link from the Strait of Hormuz to the Strait of Malacca.

This also underscores New Delhi’s recognition that “India and the Indian Ocean are appropriate halfway points between West and Southeast Asia”.

With US influence waning in India’s sphere of influence, New Delhi’s deft diplomacy is interesting not only in the current context, but is pregnant with possibilities in the realm of future Asian security as well.

Dr N. Janardhan is Senior Research Fellow, Gulf-Asia Programme at the Emirates Diplomatic Academy and Honorary Fellow, University of Exeter

The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

Scorebox

Sharjah Wanderers 20-25 Dubai Tigers (After extra-time)

Wanderers

Tries Gormley, Penalty

Cons Flaherty

Pens Flaherty 2

Tigers

Tries O’Donnell, Gibbons, Kelly

Cons Caldwell 2

Pens Caldwell, Cross

Going grey? A stylist's advice

If you’re going to go grey, a great style, well-cared for hair (in a sleek, classy style, like a bob), and a young spirit and attitude go a long way, says Maria Dowling, founder of the Maria Dowling Salon in Dubai.
It’s easier to go grey from a lighter colour, so you may want to do that first. And this is the time to try a shorter style, she advises. Then a stylist can introduce highlights, start lightening up the roots, and let it fade out. Once it’s entirely grey, a purple shampoo will prevent yellowing.
“Get professional help – there’s no other way to go around it,” she says. “And don’t just let it grow out because that looks really bad. Put effort into it: properly condition, straighten, get regular trims, make sure it’s glossy.”