Chinese President Xi Jinping reviewing the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy fleet in the South China Sea. Li Gang / Xinhua / AP
Chinese President Xi Jinping reviewing the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy fleet in the South China Sea. Li Gang / Xinhua / AP
Chinese President Xi Jinping reviewing the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy fleet in the South China Sea. Li Gang / Xinhua / AP
Chinese President Xi Jinping reviewing the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy fleet in the South China Sea. Li Gang / Xinhua / AP

Despite Xi Jinping's bluster, China is unlikely to move on Taiwan


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President Xi Jinping's speech last week, during which he said that Taiwan "must and will" be reunited with China, and didn't rule out using force to do so, unsurprisingly made the headlines around the world. The language was strident and unequivocal, and to the Western countries that see Taiwan as a successful capitalist democracy, the threat appeared to be levelled against the precise freedoms and way of life they cherish.

Within days tensions appeared to have escalated, as Mr Xi subsequently told China's Central Military Commission that they needed to "strengthen their sense of urgency, crisis and battle" and prepare for armed conflict, while Taiwan's President Tsai Ing Wen called for the international community's support and said that Beijing must "renounce the use of force against us."But Mr Xi’s comments were almost certainly less suggestive of any imminent move, and his insistence on unification is far more justified than imagined by those who view Taiwan as a plucky island nation standing up to a bullying Communist state.

Firstly, any who believe that Taiwan and China are, or ought to be, two separate sovereign countries are in the minority, at least in diplomatic, scholarly and governmental circles. Historically, Taiwan has been part of China since 1683 when it was taken over by the ruling Qing dynasty. Its division from the mainland dates from 1949, when the nationalist Kuomintang party, under Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek, retreated there as it became clear that it was losing the civil war against the Communists led by Mao Zedong. The Kuomintang insisted it continued to be the government of the Republic of China (ROC), which remains Taiwan's official name to this day. The fiction was maintained that the ROC still had sovereignty over the whole of China, including Taiwan, while the Communist People's Republic of China (PRC) makes the same claim.

Although many may not realise this, the idea of “One China” actually has overwhelming international support. The US position is a little ambiguous – it does not recognise the PRC’s right to rule Taiwan – but it pays at least lip service to “One China”, as do the UK, Japan, Canada and others (even if they use words such as “take note of” or “acknowledge” rather than “support” the position). Diplomatically, Taiwan is isolated. Owing to China’s insistence, it is not even a member of the United Nations. So the idea that the island should gain formal independence, while supported officially by the Taiwan’s current Democratic Progressive Party government, is very much an outlier internationally. And even within what is often referred to as “Chinese Taipei” (a terminology that avoids recognising Taiwan as a separate country), the opposition Kuomintang – which last held the presidency from 2008 to 2016 – still supports the idea of “One China”.

There is an argument that when the ROC was established in 1912, with the overthrow of the empire, Taiwan was under Japanese rule, having been ceded after the Sino-Japanese War in 1895. So, technically it was never part of the republic. But this was a distinction that clearly meant little to Chiang Kai-shek when he moved his nationalist forces to the island. And I would certainly argue that none of the “unequal treaties” forced upon China during the “century of humiliation” were legitimate or deserved honouring. Taiwan is part of China – as nearly all informed and legal opinion agrees.

The second reason not to take too bellicose an interpretation of Mr Xi's comments is that his project of "national rejuvenation" has long been more overtly and openly nationalistic. He is less inclined to hide his country's power and success under a bushel, and a more assertive stance on China's key "core interests" is now routine. His speech marked the 40th anniversary of improving ties with Taiwan. He could not possibly be expected to give an inch on such an occasion, and just as with Russia (although less so), the nationalist rhetoric is likely to be ramped up as the economy slows.

At the same time, China has for decades shown huge strategic patience over Taiwan, as it has over other issues such as its border disputes with India. Few believe that the People’s Liberation Army is poised to cross the Taiwan Strait in an act of aggression. In that unlikely event, how would the US – which sells billions of dollars of arms to Taiwan’s armed forces – react? President George W Bush explicitly said that America would have an obligation to defend the Taiwanese against an attack by China, and the Pentagon would surely echo that view today.

But with the isolation-inclined and transactional Donald Trump in the White House, who knows if he could not be persuaded that this was essentially an internal Chinese affair – especially if a few plum trade concessions accompanied a call from President Xi?

The truth is that it would be reckless for Taiwan to press for independence. That would be, as Mr Xi put it, “an adverse current from history and a dead end”. Only a handful of countries still recognise the country diplomatically, and as it is China has been peeling those off, with Burkina Faso, the Dominican Republic and El Salvador breaking ties with Taipei last year alone. Time is not on Taiwan’s side.

It is understandable that Westerners value its democracy and autonomy and fear that both would be at risk if it entered into a “one country, two systems” arrangement with China. Few, however, try to stand in Beijing’s shoes. Why should it tolerate the independence of a renegade province over which it has an undeniable historic claim, when Spain, for instance, is so fearful of independence efforts that it sends its secessionist politicians to jail? There is a double standard applied to China by critics who don’t like its form of government. But that is for the people of China to decide – and no one can doubt that one day those people will include the 23-million strong population of Taiwan, too.

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The specs

Engine: 2.9-litre twin-turbo V6

Power: 540hp at 6,500rpm

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Kerb weight: 1580kg

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The low down on MPS

What is myofascial pain syndrome?

Myofascial pain syndrome refers to pain and inflammation in the body’s soft tissue. MPS is a chronic condition that affects the fascia (­connective tissue that covers the muscles, which develops knots, also known as trigger points).

What are trigger points?

Trigger points are irritable knots in the soft ­tissue that covers muscle tissue. Through injury or overuse, muscle fibres contract as a reactive and protective measure, creating tension in the form of hard and, palpable nodules. Overuse and ­sustained posture are the main culprits in developing ­trigger points.

What is myofascial or trigger-point release?

Releasing these nodules requires a hands-on technique that involves applying gentle ­sustained pressure to release muscular shortness and tightness. This eliminates restrictions in ­connective tissue in orderto restore motion and alleviate pain. ­Therapy balls have proven effective at causing enough commotion in the tissue, prompting the release of these hard knots.

Ferrari 12Cilindri specs

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On sale: Later in 2025 or early 2026, depending on region

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West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur (3.30pm)
Burnley v Huddersfield Town (7pm)
Everton v Bournemouth (7pm)
Manchester City v Crystal Palace (7pm)
Southampton v Manchester United (7pm)
Stoke City v Chelsea (7pm)
Swansea City v Watford (7pm)
Leicester City v Liverpool (8.30pm)

Sunday
Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United (7pm)

Monday
Arsenal v West Bromwich Albion (11pm)

WOMAN AND CHILD

Director: Saeed Roustaee

Starring: Parinaz Izadyar, Payman Maadi

Rating: 4/5

The specs: 2019 Haval H6

Price, base: Dh69,900

Engine: 2.0-litre turbocharged four-cylinder

Transmission: Seven-speed automatic

Power: 197hp @ 5,500rpm

Torque: 315Nm @ 2,000rpm

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In the box: iPad mini, USB-C cable, 20W USB-C power adapter

Price: From Dh2,099

Uefa Nations League: How it works

The Uefa Nations League, introduced last year, has reached its final stage, to be played over five days in northern Portugal. The format of its closing tournament is compact, spread over two semi-finals, with the first, Portugal versus Switzerland in Porto on Wednesday evening, and the second, England against the Netherlands, in Guimaraes, on Thursday.

The winners of each semi will then meet at Porto’s Dragao stadium on Sunday, with the losing semi-finalists contesting a third-place play-off in Guimaraes earlier that day.

Qualifying for the final stage was via League A of the inaugural Nations League, in which the top 12 European countries according to Uefa's co-efficient seeding system were divided into four groups, the teams playing each other twice between September and November. Portugal, who finished above Italy and Poland, successfully bid to host the finals.

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• Scientists estimate there could be as many as 3 million fungal species globally
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The tours 
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The 12

England

Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur

Italy
AC Milan, Inter Milan, Juventus

Spain
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'Tell the Machine Goodnight' by Katie Williams 
Penguin Randomhouse

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8.25pm Handicap (TB) Dh92,500 (D) 1,600m

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WHAT IS A BLACK HOLE?

1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull

2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight

3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge

4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own

5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed

The specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cylturbo

Transmission: seven-speed DSG automatic

Power: 242bhp

Torque: 370Nm

Price: Dh136,814

Essentials

The flights

Emirates and Etihad fly direct from the UAE to Geneva from Dh2,845 return, including taxes. The flight takes 6 hours. 

The package

Clinique La Prairie offers a variety of programmes. A six-night Master Detox costs from 14,900 Swiss francs (Dh57,655), including all food, accommodation and a set schedule of medical consultations and spa treatments.

Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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PSA DUBAI WORLD SERIES FINALS LINE-UP

Men’s:
Mohamed El Shorbagy (EGY)
Ali Farag (EGY)
Simon Rosner (GER)
Tarek Momen (EGY)
Miguel Angel Rodriguez (COL)
Gregory Gaultier (FRA)
Karim Abdel Gawad (EGY)
Nick Matthew (ENG)

Women's:
Nour El Sherbini (EGY)
Raneem El Welily (EGY)
Nour El Tayeb (EGY)
Laura Massaro (ENG)
Joelle King (NZE)
Camille Serme (FRA)
Nouran Gohar (EGY)
Sarah-Jane Perry (ENG)

'Ashkal'
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Specs

Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric

Range: Up to 610km

Power: 905hp

Torque: 985Nm

Price: From Dh439,000

Available: Now

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Naga
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What went into the film

25 visual effects (VFX) studios

2,150 VFX shots in a film with 2,500 shots

1,000 VFX artists

3,000 technicians

10 Concept artists, 25 3D designers

New sound technology, named 4D SRL

 

Results

1. Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) 1hr 32mins 03.897sec

2. Max Verstappen (Red Bull-Honda) at 0.745s

3. Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes) 37.383s

4. Lando Norris (McLaren) 46.466s

5.Sergio Perez (Red Bull-Honda) 52.047s

6. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) 59.090s

7. Daniel Ricciardo (McLaren) 1:06.004

8. Carlos Sainz Jr (Ferrari) 1:07.100

9. Yuki Tsunoda (AlphaTauri-Honda) 1:25.692

10. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin-Mercedes) 1:26.713,

'Skin'

Dir: Guy Nattiv

Starring: Jamie Bell, Danielle McDonald, Bill Camp, Vera Farmiga

Rating: 3.5/5 stars