This weekend marks US President Joe Biden’s first month in the Oval Office, which means it is still early days for any concrete foreign policy decisions to have been taken. Thus far, Mr Biden has limited himself to feel-good postures on complex global issues. On February 19, he will deliver a virtual address at the Munich Security Conference on the “importance of our transatlantic ties and the need for the United States and Europe to take on global challenges”. For the moment, such posturing does the job of soothing frayed nerves.
All too soon though, a harder metric will be employed. Mr Biden's performance will be measured against his promises, not least the bold pledge that America has returned to the world stage as a values-driven leader. But will the world and Europe, in particular, buy it?
Is the world even willing to follow America’s marching orders?
Much will depend on what sort of leadership Mr Biden proposes. The usual term for American presidents is "leader of the free world". But that is a relic of the Cold War era and a categorisation ripe for retirement. Which phrase, if any, could Mr Biden replace it with?
Not too long ago, former US President Barack Obama, an evocative writer, suggested that America reinvent its engagement with the world because “what was lost during the Trump presidency” was the US administration’s ability to “set the agenda” at summits and so on. Now, in this multipolar world, said Mr Obama, the US can’t walk into a room and demand everyone fall into line. Instead, it has to understand the interests of the key players, lead by example, and play the roles of “convener … persuader”.
US President Joe Biden (R) and US Vice President Kamala Harris meet with governors and mayors in the Oval Office in Washington, DC, US, on 12 February. EPA
But even to serve as convener of the free world, Mr Biden would have to keep in mind three cold, hard facts.
First, while Europe is relieved to have a more dependable partner in the White House, the experience of the Trump years has shifted strategic thinking towards a new vision of "European sovereignty".
Second, the so-called “Washington Consensus” – the international institutions and alliances that helped shape global politics for much of the 20th century – needs to be reimagined.
There is a welcome sense of realism in official briefings about Mr Biden's hopes and plans
Third, part of the reinvention must include the retooling of the global economy. Much will depend on the outcome of ongoing efforts to agree on the efficient taxation of multinational companies, digital services taxes (DST) and international trade rules that return to their original purpose of raising living standards across the board. This is where Mr Biden could play a crucial role. American involvement in shaping viable proposals would reassure the hesitant and nudge the recalcitrant. Its support for a global consensus would help set the tone for collaboration rather than conflict. As Mr Obama noted in his pitch for America to take up the role of world-convener: “if we didn’t set the agenda, nobody else had the combination of technical skill, bandwidth, diplomatic experience, relationships, trust and power to be able to stitch together various interests to arrive at something like a Paris accord.”
One month into the Biden administration, is there any sign it will take up the somewhat humbler task of convener – not leader – of the world? Will Mr Biden’s America lead, as he has promised, “not by the example of our power, but by the power of our example”?
There are some encouraging developments. Days ago, Mr Biden's administration reversed Mr Trump's block on the appointment of Nigerian-born US national Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala as director-general of the World Trade Organisation (WTO). The seven-month leadership void at the 164-country global trade body was finally filled on February 15.
There are welcome indications too that the US and the EU want to collaborate on getting the WTO’s dispute settlement system back in business, particularly on the issue of state subsidies. In December 2019, the Trump administration crippled the WTO with a two-year effort to block judicial appointments to its trades-disputes court. Meanwhile, Brussels, Washington and Tokyo are said to be open to working on a joint proposal to tighten subsidy rules.
The US has also signalled interest in negotiating taxation of multinational companies with Mr Biden’s treasury secretary Janet Yellen telling the US Senate at her January 19 confirmation hearing that it is better to “avoid a race to the bottom in corporate taxation”. She also indicated a willingness to consult on digital taxes. The Biden treasury department also recently appointed three scholars of international tax policy, which suggests a new seriousness about dealing with US tax rules for multinational corporations and negotiating international tax policy changes at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). That said, it’s thought the complexity and controversial nature of the DST issue means it is unlikely to be resolved by multilateral consensus by mid-2021, the point at which several OECD countries are set to enforce the charges.
Finally, there is a welcome sense of realism in official briefings about Mr Biden's hopes and plans. For instance, before his first phone call as president with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, an unnamed American official confessed that Mr Biden's strategy would be driven by awareness that "the lion's share of the history of the 21st century is going to be written in the Asia-Pacific".
Despite it all, there are occasional flashes of scepticism bordering on cynicism overseas about Mr Biden’s intentions. In The Netherlands, some are calling Mr Biden “Trump with manners” simply because he toughened “Buy American” procurement rules and seems to be overwhelmingly focused on the domestic crises that beset the US right now.
But this is a precipitate judgment. It’s just too soon to tell.
Rashmee Roshan Lall is a columnist for The National
The Birkin bag is made by Hermès.
It is named after actress and singer Jane Birkin
Noone from Hermès will go on record to say how much a new Birkin costs, how long one would have to wait to get one, and how many bags are actually made each year.
'Laal Kaptaan'
Director: Navdeep Singh
Stars: Saif Ali Khan, Manav Vij, Deepak Dobriyal, Zoya Hussain
Rating: 2/5
If you go...
Fly from Dubai or Abu Dhabi to Chiang Mai in Thailand, via Bangkok, before taking a five-hour bus ride across the Laos border to Huay Xai. The land border crossing at Huay Xai is a well-trodden route, meaning entry is swift, though travellers should be aware of visa requirements for both countries.
Flights from Dubai start at Dh4,000 return with Emirates, while Etihad flights from Abu Dhabi start at Dh2,000. Local buses can be booked in Chiang Mai from around Dh50
8.15pm: Al Shindagha Sprint (TB) Group 3 | $200,000 (D) | 1,200m
8.50pm: Handicap (TB) | $175,000 (D) | 1,600m
9.25pm: Handicap (TB) | $175,000 (T) | 2,000m
10pm: Handicap (TB) | $135,000 (T) | 1,600m
'THE WORST THING YOU CAN EAT'
Trans fat is typically found in fried and baked goods, but you may be consuming more than you think.
Powdered coffee creamer, microwave popcorn and virtually anything processed with a crust is likely to contain it, as this guide from Mayo Clinic outlines:
Baked goods - Most cakes, cookies, pie crusts and crackers contain shortening, which is usually made from partially hydrogenated vegetable oil. Ready-made frosting is another source of trans fat.
Snacks - Potato, corn and tortilla chips often contain trans fat. And while popcorn can be a healthy snack, many types of packaged or microwave popcorn use trans fat to help cook or flavour the popcorn.
Fried food - Foods that require deep frying — french fries, doughnuts and fried chicken — can contain trans fat from the oil used in the cooking process.
Refrigerator dough - Products such as canned biscuits and cinnamon rolls often contain trans fat, as do frozen pizza crusts.
Creamer and margarine - Nondairy coffee creamer and stick margarines also may contain partially hydrogenated vegetable oils.
If you go
The Flights
Emirates and Etihad fly direct to Johannesburg from Dubai and Abu Dhabi respectively. Economy return tickets cost from Dh2,650, including taxes.
The trip
Worldwide Motorhoming Holidays (worldwidemotorhomingholidays.co.uk) operates fly-drive motorhome holidays in eight destinations, including South Africa. Its 14-day Kruger and the Battlefields itinerary starts from Dh17,500, including campgrounds, excursions, unit hire and flights. Bobo Campers has a range of RVs for hire, including the 4-berth Discoverer 4 from Dh600 per day.
5pm: Wadi Nagab – Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (Turf) 1,200m; Winner: Al Falaq, Antonio Fresu (jockey), Ahmed Al Shemaili (trainer)
5.30pm: Wadi Sidr – Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,200m; Winner: AF Majalis, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel
6pm: Wathba Stallions Cup – Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (T) 2,200m; Winner: AF Fakhama, Fernando Jara, Mohamed Daggash
6.30pm: Wadi Shees – Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 2,200m; Winner: Mutaqadim, Antonio Fresu, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami
7pm: Arabian Triple Crown Round-1 – Listed (PA) Dh230,000 (T) 1,600m; Winner: Bahar Muscat, Antonio Fresu, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami
7.30pm: Wadi Tayyibah – Maiden (TB) Dh80,000 (T) 1,600m; Winner: Poster Paint, Patrick Cosgrave, Bhupat Seemar
Specs
Engine: Duel electric motors Power: 659hp Torque: 1075Nm On sale: Available for pre-order now Price: On request
What sanctions would be reimposed?
Under ‘snapback’, measures imposed on Iran by the UN Security Council in six resolutions would be restored, including:
An arms embargo
A ban on uranium enrichment and reprocessing
A ban on launches and other activities with ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, as well as ballistic missile technology transfer and technical assistance
A targeted global asset freeze and travel ban on Iranian individuals and entities
Authorisation for countries to inspect Iran Air Cargo and Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines cargoes for banned goods
Closing the loophole on sugary drinks
As The National reported last year, non-fizzy sugared drinks were not covered when the original tax was introduced in 2017. Sports drinks sold in supermarkets were found to contain, on average, 20 grams of sugar per 500ml bottle.
The non-fizzy drink AriZona Iced Tea contains 65 grams of sugar – about 16 teaspoons – per 680ml can. The average can costs about Dh6, which would rise to Dh9.
Drinks such as Starbucks Bottled Mocha Frappuccino contain 31g of sugar in 270ml, while Nescafe Mocha in a can contains 15.6g of sugar in a 240ml can.
Flavoured water, long-life fruit juice concentrates, pre-packaged sweetened coffee drinks fall under the ‘sweetened drink’ category
Not taxed:
Freshly squeezed fruit juices, ground coffee beans, tea leaves and pre-prepared flavoured milkshakes do not come under the ‘sweetened drink’ band.
Date started: June 2016
Founders: Gregor Amon and Kevin Czok
Based: Dubai
Sector: Travel Tech
Size: 10 employees
Funding: $350,000 (Dh1.3 million)
Investors: five angel investors (undisclosed except for Amar Shubar)
Directors: Madeline Sharafian, Domee Shi, Adrian Molina
Rating: 4/5
Low turnout
Two months before the first round on April 10, the appetite of voters for the election is low.
Mathieu Gallard, account manager with Ipsos, which conducted the most recent poll, said current forecasts suggested only two-thirds were "very likely" to vote in the first round, compared with a 78 per cent turnout in the 2017 presidential elections.
"It depends on how interesting the campaign is on their main concerns," he told The National. "Just now, it's hard to say who, between Macron and the candidates of the right, would be most affected by a low turnout."
