Just last week, Saad Hariri had presented a vague reform package last week that was rejected by the protesters. EPA
Just last week, Saad Hariri had presented a vague reform package last week that was rejected by the protesters. EPA
Just last week, Saad Hariri had presented a vague reform package last week that was rejected by the protesters. EPA
Just last week, Saad Hariri had presented a vague reform package last week that was rejected by the protesters. EPA

After Saad Hariri resignation, any new Lebanese government would be severely tested


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For almost two weeks, in a near universal rejection of the political class and its mismanagement of the country, well over a million Lebanese have been in the streets. They have demanded the government's resignation, its replacement by apolitical technocrats, an end to austerity as Lebanon faces a major economic crisis and accountability for the profound corruption of the politicians.

On Tuesday their demands bore fruit, when Prime Minister Saad Hariri tendered his resignation – as well as that of the government to President Michel Aoun. Mr Hariri had presented a vague reform package last week that was rejected by the protesters, even if it did show that under pressure the government could find nearly $4 billion it had not thought to tap earlier. Mr Aoun had followed this up with a lethargic address that suggested an old and tired man who was not in charge.

Ironically, the person who most hardened the government’s backbone was the Hezbollah secretary general, Hassan Nasrallah. He had twice made a speech rejecting the departure of the government and expressed purported sympathy for the protesters while refusing to budge on any of their demands. Several days ago, party thugs descended on a downtown protest to hurl rocks and sticks at the demonstrators, injuring several people.

What has stung Hezbollah and its allies in the Amal Movement is that the nationwide protests have spread to Shiite areas, where the parties’ hegemony was thought to be complete. Despite warning against a fall of the government, Nasrallah failed to neutralise the dissatisfaction within his own community, where people have also been suffering from dismal economic conditions.

No one should expect the politicians to readily back a government expected to embody everything that is contrary to their way of doing business

More worrisome for Hezbollah were the possible consequences of the uprising. The party appeared to believe that if any concessions were made to the protesters, this could precipitate the collapse of a political order that Hezbollah carefully helped build up in the last decade to protect its interests and weapons. Worse, if popular pressure could push for change in the political system, the party feared, it might eventually encourage the public to demand Hezbollah’s disarmament, which the party regards as a red line.

Hezbollah’s attitude has provoked much criticism among protesters. But one thing the party already has to take into consideration is that its margin of manoeuvre with regard to a conflict with Israel has disappeared. If Hezbollah is asked to open a front with Israel on Iran’s behalf, this would lead to major Israeli destruction of Lebanon – Shiite areas in particular – and likely provoke an angry backlash from a population at the limits of what it can endure.

Mr Hariri's resignation indicated that Nasrallah's ability to affect outcomes was diminished in this moment of national upheaval. Hezbollah's and Amal's anger with protesters exploded in the hours before Mr Hariri's resignation. Suddenly, Nasrallah transformed his party into a perceived enemy of a majority of the Lebanese population, one defending the failing, corrupt status quo.

Yet any new government would be in for a major challenge. While a government of technocrats might have popular backing, it would have to work against the vested interests of the political forces who control the public administration that implements governmental decisions. The political class would have no interest in seeing such a government succeed; on the contrary.

The consequence of this is a paradox: While the political class has plundered Lebanon mercilessly, it has to be brought along with the measures adopted to salvage the economy so as not to block them. Moreover, its approval is needed to give a parliamentary vote of confidence to any new government. Yet no one should expect the politicians to readily back a government expected to embody everything that is contrary to their way of doing business.

One thing that may compel the political class to act is a more interventionist approach by the donor countries who committed to helping Lebanon at an international conference, known as Cedre, last year. These countries have pleaded with Lebanon to engage in economic reform, an effort the political class has implemented very reluctantly and slowly, fearing that they and their patronage networks and cash cows would be undermined in the process.

With Mr Hariri’s resignation, it is a good time for the Cedre countries to take a stronger line on the introduction of economic reform measures through a new government. The leverage these countries enjoy is considerable, as a collapse of the pound appears inevitable in the wake of the government’s dallying on reform and Lebanon’s urgent need of cash inflows to stabilise its precarious finances.

A bankrupt Lebanon is one that is far more likely to implement real reforms and the donor community has to take advantage of this to impose a specific road map that takes into consideration the protests of recent weeks. Putting all of the financial burden on the Lebanese population would be a disaster, though, and ways should be found to raise revenues from alternative sources. Effectively, it may be useful to place the economy under a sort of international trusteeship.

Will the political class and Hezbollah accept this? Maybe not, but with up to two million people in the streets it will be difficult for anyone to stop genuine economic reform measures. Nor will Hezbollah’s violence prevent the tsunami of recrimination from growing if reform is blocked. Lebanon faces dark days ahead but this time at least the political class may be caught in the middle of that bitter endgame.

Michael Young is editor of Diwan, the blog of the Carnegie Middle East programme, in Beirut

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3/5

 

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Labour dispute

The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.


- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law 

Our legal columnist

Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

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The specs

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Power: 520hp

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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
Key fixtures from January 5-7

Watford v Bristol City

Liverpool v Everton

Brighton v Crystal Palace

Bournemouth v AFC Fylde or Wigan

Coventry v Stoke City

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal

Manchester United v Derby

Forest Green or Exeter v West Brom

Tottenham v AFC Wimbledon

Fleetwood or Hereford v Leicester City

Manchester City v Burnley

Shrewsbury v West Ham United

Wolves v Swansea City

Newcastle United v Luton Town

Fulham v Southampton

Norwich City v Chelsea

FIGHT INFO

Men’s 60kg Round 1:

Ahmad Shuja Jamal (AFG) beat Krisada Takhiankliang (THA) - points 
Hyan Aljmyah (SYR) beat Akram Alyminee (YEM) - retired Round 1
Ibrahim Bilal (UAE) beat Bhanu Pratap Pandit (IND) - TKO Round 1

Men’s 71kg Round 1:
Seyed Kaveh Soleyman (IRI) beat Abedel Rahman (JOR) - RSC round 3.
Amine Al Moatassime (UAE) walk over Ritiz Puri (NEP)

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What can victims do?

Always use only regulated platforms

Stop all transactions and communication on suspicion

Save all evidence (screenshots, chat logs, transaction IDs)

Report to local authorities

Warn others to prevent further harm

Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence

MATCH INFO

Barcelona 5 (Lenglet 2', Vidal 29', Messi 34', 75', Suarez 77')

Valladolid 1 (Kiko 15')

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What the law says

Micro-retirement is not a recognised concept or employment status under Federal Decree Law No. 33 of 2021 on the Regulation of Labour Relations (as amended) (UAE Labour Law). As such, it reflects a voluntary work-life balance practice, rather than a recognised legal employment category, according to Dilini Loku, senior associate for law firm Gateley Middle East.

“Some companies may offer formal sabbatical policies or career break programmes; however, beyond such arrangements, there is no automatic right or statutory entitlement to extended breaks,” she explains.

“Any leave taken beyond statutory entitlements, such as annual leave, is typically regarded as unpaid leave in accordance with Article 33 of the UAE Labour Law. While employees may legally take unpaid leave, such requests are subject to the employer’s discretion and require approval.”

If an employee resigns to pursue micro-retirement, the employment contract is terminated, and the employer is under no legal obligation to rehire the employee in the future unless specific contractual agreements are in place (such as return-to-work arrangements), which are generally uncommon, Ms Loku adds.

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Power: 181hp

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Transmission: 6-speed automatic

Starting price: Dh79,000

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Stars:  Keanu Reeves, Carrie-Anne Moss, Jessica Henwick 

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Power: 727hp

Torque: 1,000Nm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km

On sale: Now

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Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna

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The Perfect Couple

Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor

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Rating: 3/5