The start of the week brought with it two important milestones for Syria. On Sunday, the parliament in Damascus, loyal to President Bashar Al Assad, announced that presidential elections would be held on May 26. Even after 10 years of an uprising in which half a million died and half the country was displaced, the result is pre-ordained. Mr Al Assad will win.
A day later, Michel Kilo, a long-time dissident, intellectual and political prisoner who pioneered calls for democratic reform under Mr Al Assad’s regime and that of his father Hafez, died in exile in Paris from Covid-19. His death was mourned by a broad swathe of Syrians in exile and opponents of the regime who saw in Kilo a principled voice for freedom.
The alignment of the two events brought into sharp contrast the dire straits in which Syria finds itself. Its traumatic revolution became a civil war, there has been little progress on any of the uprising’s goals for reform and the road ahead appears to be even darker.
Let us start with the elections, which are being held next month under the shadow of the coronavirus pandemic and an economic crisis that appears to have no end in sight. The lack of progress in ongoing talks between Syrian factions in Geneva to achieve a new constitution has meant a dearth of reconstruction funds to rebuild the country. This is due to the intransigence of the regime in making any compromises with the opposition.
The government feels no need to do so because it won the war, but stringent sanctions, particularly by the US under the so-called Caesar Act, have all but arrested the possibility of an economic recovery and the government’s return to the good graces of the international community. Without the prospect of a recovery, in addition to the problem of widespread corruption in a country now run by victorious warlords, Syria’s economy has languished, unemployment has risen, the currency has collapsed and basic goods have become too expensive for people. The underreported toll of the pandemic has also contributed greatly to the population’s suffering, and it is unclear when vaccines may become widely available.
These are the second presidential elections since the war broke out. The first were in 2014, and Mr Al Assad, of course, won them handily, with over 90 per cent of the vote. The difference was, however, that Mr Al Assad’s victory in the war was not so assured back then, and the win was necessary to create a halo of legitimacy and “prove” that he was popular at a time when rebel groups were vying to uproot him. This time, the point is to rub his victory in, as evidenced by the rules of the game, which guarantee that only he can win another seven-year term.
These rules include, among others, that the candidates must have lived in Syria for the past 10 years. That, of course, eliminates the possibility of dissidents running – most of them fled the country during the conflict to avoid torture and death. Another rule requires that candidates win the endorsement of 35 MPs, in a parliament dominated by Baath party apparatchiks, loyalist oligarchs, militia leaders and war profiteers.
This sorry state is not what Kilo had in mind when he was jailed in the 1980s as a pro-democracy activist under Hafez Al Assad, when he took part in the hopeful Damascus Spring reform movement in Bashar’s early years or when he signed the Damascus Declaration in 2005 with 250 opposition figures calling for peaceful, gradual reform, landing him in jail again.
Kilo was an early supporter of the 2011 uprising, and warned against armed resistance to the regime, arguing that it would ultimately lead to civil war. For his troubles, and his focus on dialogue as the primary avenue for change, he was forced into exile, dying far away from home. While the uprising’s military defeat has been sealed for years now, his death, so soon after the announcement of sham elections, seemed to underscore a deeper sense of defeat, as though the very idea of resistance to a regime that brought so much suffering and destruction was itself dying.
As I scrolled through the tributes for Kilo on social media, one translated excerpt of his writings stopped me in my tracks. In it, he recounts an experience in prison, where a guard takes him to another cell where a woman has been living for years with her young boy, who was born in detention. The guard, at great risk, asks Kilo to tell the child a story.
As he begins telling him the first story involving a bird, the boy is bewildered, and Kilo realises he has never seen a bird. He did not know what the Sun or the mountains were either. He did not even have an official name, having not been registered in any records. After some minutes of silence, the guard calls Kilo back to his cell and asks if he managed to tell the boy a story, but his own tears are answer enough.
Kilo’s death, and those of others like him, may now extinguish the prospect of seeing the sunlight outside the prison of tyranny. I hope it doesn’t.
Kareem Shaheen is a veteran Middle East correspondent in Canada and a columnist for The National
Day 5, Dubai Test: At a glance
Moment of the day Given the problems Sri Lanka have had in recent times, it was apt the winning catch was taken by Dinesh Chandimal. He is one of seven different captains Sri Lanka have had in just the past two years. He leads in understated fashion, but by example. His century in the first innings of this series set the shock win in motion.
Stat of the day This was the ninth Test Pakistan have lost in their past 11 matches, a run that started when they lost the final match of their three-Test series against West Indies in Sharjah last year. They have not drawn a match in almost two years and 19 matches, since they were held by England at the Zayed Cricket Stadium in Abu Dhabi in 2015.
The verdict Mickey Arthur basically acknowledged he had erred by basing Pakistan’s gameplan around three seam bowlers and asking for pitches with plenty of grass in Abu Dhabi and Sharjah. Why would Pakistan want to change the method that has treated them so well on these grounds in the past 10 years? It is unlikely Misbah-ul-Haq would have made the same mistake.
if you go
The flights
Fly to Rome with Etihad (www.etihad.ae) or Emirates (www.emirates.com) from Dh2,480 return including taxes. The flight takes six hours. Fly from Rome to Trapani with Ryanair (www.ryanair.com) from Dh420 return including taxes. The flight takes one hour 10 minutes.
The hotels
The author recommends the following hotels for this itinerary. In Trapani, Ai Lumi (www.ailumi.it); in Marsala, Viacolvento (www.viacolventomarsala.it); and in Marsala Del Vallo, the Meliaresort Dimore Storiche (www.meliaresort.it).
RESULT
Manchester United 2 Tottenham Hotspur 1
Man United: Sanchez (24' ), Herrera (62')
Spurs: Alli (11')
About Okadoc
Date started: Okadoc, 2018
Founder/CEO: Fodhil Benturquia
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Healthcare
Size: (employees/revenue) 40 staff; undisclosed revenues recording “double-digit” monthly growth
Funding stage: Series B fundraising round to conclude in February
Investors: Undisclosed
ESSENTIALS
The flights
Emirates flies from Dubai to Phnom Penh via Yangon from Dh2,700 return including taxes. Cambodia Bayon Airlines and Cambodia Angkor Air offer return flights from Phnom Penh to Siem Reap from Dh250 return including taxes. The flight takes about 45 minutes.
The hotels
Rooms at the Raffles Le Royal in Phnom Penh cost from $225 (Dh826) per night including taxes. Rooms at the Grand Hotel d'Angkor cost from $261 (Dh960) per night including taxes.
The tours
A cyclo architecture tour of Phnom Penh costs from $20 (Dh75) per person for about three hours, with Khmer Architecture Tours. Tailor-made tours of all of Cambodia, or sites like Angkor alone, can be arranged by About Asia Travel. Emirates Holidays also offers packages.
MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW
Starring: Ramy Youssef, Steve Carell, Jason Schwartzman
Director: Jesse Armstrong
Rating: 3.5/5
'Worse than a prison sentence'
Marie Byrne, a counsellor who volunteers at the UAE government's mental health crisis helpline, said the ordeal the crew had been through would take time to overcome.
“It was worse than a prison sentence, where at least someone can deal with a set amount of time incarcerated," she said.
“They were living in perpetual mystery as to how their futures would pan out, and what that would be.
“Because of coronavirus, the world is very different now to the one they left, that will also have an impact.
“It will not fully register until they are on dry land. Some have not seen their young children grow up while others will have to rebuild relationships.
“It will be a challenge mentally, and to find other work to support their families as they have been out of circulation for so long. Hopefully they will get the care they need when they get home.”
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
The fake news generation
288,000 – the number of posts reported as hate speech that were deleted by Facebook globally each month in May and June this year
11% – the number of Americans who said they trusted the news they read on Snapchat as of June 2017, according to Statista. Over a quarter stated that they ‘rarely trusted’ the news they read on social media in general
31% - the number of young people in the US aged between 10 and 18 who said they had shared a news story online in the last six months that they later found out was wrong or inaccurate
63% - percentage of Arab nationals who said they get their news from social media every single day.