The DAX Index yield curve displayed on a screen beyond a television with an image of Friedrich Merz, the incoming German chancellor, at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange on Tuesday. Bloomberg
The DAX Index yield curve displayed on a screen beyond a television with an image of Friedrich Merz, the incoming German chancellor, at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange on Tuesday. Bloomberg
The DAX Index yield curve displayed on a screen beyond a television with an image of Friedrich Merz, the incoming German chancellor, at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange on Tuesday. Bloomberg
The DAX Index yield curve displayed on a screen beyond a television with an image of Friedrich Merz, the incoming German chancellor, at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange on Tuesday. Bloomberg


Strap yourselves in – a new era of global economic expansion is upon us


  • English
  • Arabic

March 21, 2025

The era of austerity ends with a bang and not a whimper.

On Tuesday the Bundestag, as the German national legislature is called, voted to allow a huge increase in defence and infrastructure spending, altering its strict debt rules and marking a U-turn for Europe’s beacon of fiscal stability. As a result, a staggering €500 billion ($543 billion) will now be earmarked for infrastructure spending in the next decade.

Analysts expect this to result in the German economy staging a rebound later this year and next year. It also means that we have the most emphatic European response to efforts being made by the administration of US President Donald Trump to ramp up American prosperity by playing a zero-sum game with its biggest economic rivals and partners. From April 2, Mr Trump hopes to make American goods more competitive by imposing trillions of dollars’ worth of tariffs on China, the EU and others.

This is exactly why Europe’s largest economy needed to shape its own destiny and potentially that of the Eurozone and its partners. Not even the prospect of a bond markets tantrum could stop Germany’s incoming chancellor, Friedrich Merz, from doing “whatever it takes”.

Until now, politics in Europe since the 2008 global financial crisis has been focused on maintaining the toxic orthodoxy of pumping as much money as possible into sustaining government debt issuances while reigning in spending elsewhere. And investors have been quick to punish any governments they deemed to be acting against this, labelling them as imprudent. However, now it doesn’t seem as if the prospect of higher borrowing costs will act as a deterrent any longer to more expansive policies.

A worker is seen carrying a box out of the US investment bank Lehman Brothers offices in London in September 2008. Reuters
A worker is seen carrying a box out of the US investment bank Lehman Brothers offices in London in September 2008. Reuters

We should cheer this sea change and wish good riddance to what has been a lost decade and a half. We might even anticipate a renewal of European competitiveness, its edge lost long ago to the US and China as well as more dynamic economies such as the UAE and Singapore.

Last year, in a highly anticipated report, former European Central Bank president Mario Draghi called for additional investments of at least €750 billion to €800 billion each year – or about 4.4 to 4.7 per cent of the EU’s gross domestic product – for decarbonisation, digitalisation and defence, for the bloc to catch up with global competitors such as the US and China.

During a hearing with legislators in Italy on Tuesday, Mr Draghi, previously the country’s prime minister, quipped that Europe had “a single market for toothpaste, but not for artificial intelligence”. A fair point in truth. While the US and China have both offered their generative AI propositions in ChatGPT and DeepSeek, Europe’s is conspicuous in its absence.

The challenge for the EU is “existential”, Mr Draghi said in September, according to The New York Times. If Europe cannot effectively compete and, in turn, provide its people with security and prosperity, he said “it will have lost its reason for being”.

Competitiveness – not austerity – will be the driving force in politics now. Not just in the US and Europe but everywhere. Countries and regions will be increasingly vying to attract investment and talent and spur innovation, not just through spending but with well-communicated regulations and policies.

Why should the effective communication matter? Look at the US today: whether Mr Trump’s policies are well-advised or not, much of their impact is being diminished by the noise and controversies surrounding every decision and order. That might partly be down to the nature of American politics, but it is also being fuelled by the tone and posture taken by the current White House.

“The erratic pace and tone of Trump 2.0 is taking a toll on the stable economy the president inherited, denting growth prospects and leaving Americans more downbeat than they have been in years,” The Washington Post reported this week. Also this week, the Federal Reserve held key interest rates steady and echoed the Post’s sentiment about the outlook.

In an increasingly competitive landscape, the biggest advantage could go to economies that are perceived to be the most stable. This has been a challenge for Europe, much less so for China, for example.

For the UAE, it would be a very good metric to be judged by.

According to the IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2024, the UAE ranked seventh globally. For the third consecutive year, it was top of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor report, recording a rate of 7.7, a record high since the report’s launch. It also ranked first globally in the Quality of Air Transport Infrastructure Index within the 2024 Travel and Tourism Development Index.

According to a report issued by the UN Conference on Trade and Development last June, the UAE ranked second globally after the US in the number of new foreign direct investment projects in 2023, with 1,323 new projects, representing a growth rate of about 33 per cent compared to the previous year.

That is an enviable track record that is underpinned by a journey that has seen policymaking and initiatives constantly updated and tweaked over decades to increase competitiveness and put the Emirates in a very strong position for the years ahead. Other countries should take note.

Pakistan World Cup squad

Sarfraz Ahmed (c), Fakhar Zaman, Imam-ul-Haq, Abid Ali, Babar Azam, Haris Sohail, Shoaib Malik, Mohammad Hafeez(subject to fitness), Imad Wasim, Shadab Khan, Hasan Ali, Faheem Ashraf, Junaid Khan, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Mohammad Hasnain      

Two additions for England ODIs: Mohammad Amir and Asif Ali

Labour dispute

The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.


- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law 

The Gandhi Murder
  • 71 - Years since the death of MK Gandhi, also christened India's Father of the Nation
  • 34 - Nationalities featured in the film The Gandhi Murder
  • 7 - million dollars, the film's budget 
Results:

Men's 100m T34: 1. Walid Ktila (TUN) 15 sec; 2. Rheed McCracken (AUS) 15.40; 3. Mohammed Al Hammadi (UAE) 15.75. Men's 400m T34: 1. Walid Ktila (TUN) 50.56; 2. Mohammed Al Hammadi (UAE) 50.94; 3. Henry Manni (FIN) 52.24.

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

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Pharaoh's curse

British aristocrat Lord Carnarvon, who funded the expedition to find the Tutankhamun tomb, died in a Cairo hotel four months after the crypt was opened.
He had been in poor health for many years after a car crash, and a mosquito bite made worse by a shaving cut led to blood poisoning and pneumonia.
Reports at the time said Lord Carnarvon suffered from “pain as the inflammation affected the nasal passages and eyes”.
Decades later, scientists contended he had died of aspergillosis after inhaling spores of the fungus aspergillus in the tomb, which can lie dormant for months. The fact several others who entered were also found dead withiin a short time led to the myth of the curse.

Book%20Details
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How to apply for a drone permit
  • Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
  • Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
  • Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
  • Submit their request
What are the regulations?
  • Fly it within visual line of sight
  • Never over populated areas
  • Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
  • Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
  • Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
  • Should have a live feed of the drone flight
  • Drones must weigh 5 kg or less
Monster

Directed by: Anthony Mandler

Starring: Kelvin Harrison Jr., John David Washington 

3/5

 

WWE Evolution results
  • Trish Stratus and Lita beat Alicia Fox and Mickie James in a tag match
  • Nia Jax won a battle royal, eliminating Ember Moon last to win
  • Toni Storm beat Io Shirai to win the Mae Young Classic
  • Natalya, Sasha Banks and Bayley beat The Riott Squad in a six-woman tag match​​​​​​​
  • Shayna Baszler won the NXT Women’s title by defeating Kairi Sane
  • Becky Lynch retained the SmackDown Women’s Championship against Charlotte Flair in a Last Woman Standing match
  • Ronda Rousey retained the Raw Women’s title by beating Nikki Bella
Red flags
  • Promises of high, fixed or 'guaranteed' returns.
  • Unregulated structured products or complex investments often used to bypass traditional safeguards.
  • Lack of clear information, vague language, no access to audited financials.
  • Overseas companies targeting investors in other jurisdictions - this can make legal recovery difficult.
  • Hard-selling tactics - creating urgency, offering 'exclusive' deals.

Courtesy: Carol Glynn, founder of Conscious Finance Coaching

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

 

Rock in a Hard Place: Music and Mayhem in the Middle East
Orlando Crowcroft
Zed Books

Five expert hiking tips
    Always check the weather forecast before setting off Make sure you have plenty of water Set off early to avoid sudden weather changes in the afternoon Wear appropriate clothing and footwear Take your litter home with you
The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting

2. Prayer

3. Hajj

4. Shahada

5. Zakat 

The specs

Engine: 6.2-litre V8

Power: 502hp at 7,600rpm

Torque: 637Nm at 5,150rpm

Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto

Price: from Dh317,671

On sale: now

Chatham House Rule

A mark of Chatham House’s influence 100 years on since its founding,  was Moscow’s formal declaration last month that it was an “undesirable
organisation”. 

 

The depth of knowledge and academics that it drew on
following the Ukraine invasion had broadcast Mr Putin’s chicanery.  

 

The institute is more used to accommodating world leaders,
with Nelson Mandela, Margaret Thatcher among those helping it provide
authoritative commentary on world events. 

 

Chatham House was formally founded as the Royal Institute of
International Affairs following the peace conferences of World War One. Its
founder, Lionel Curtis, wanted a more scientific examination of international affairs
with a transparent exchange of information and ideas.  

 

That arena of debate and analysis was enhanced by the “Chatham
House Rule” states that the contents of any meeting can be discussed outside Chatham
House but no mention can be made identifying individuals who commented.  

 

This has enabled some candid exchanges on difficult subjects
allowing a greater degree of free speech from high-ranking figures.  

 

These meetings are highly valued, so much so that
ambassadors reported them in secret diplomatic cables that – when they were
revealed in the Wikileaks reporting – were thus found to have broken the rule. However,
most speeches are held on the record.  

 

Its research and debate has offered fresh ideas to
policymakers enabling them to more coherently address troubling issues from climate
change to health and food security.   

 
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

Film: Raid
Dir: Rajkumar Gupta
Starring: Ajay Devgn, Ileana D'cruz and Saurabh Shukla

Verdict:  Three stars 

The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

UAE squad

Esha Oza (captain), Al Maseera Jahangir, Emily Thomas, Heena Hotchandani, Indhuja Nandakumar, Katie Thompson, Lavanya Keny, Mehak Thakur, Michelle Botha, Rinitha Rajith, Samaira Dharnidharka, Siya Gokhale, Sashikala Silva, Suraksha Kotte, Theertha Satish (wicketkeeper) Udeni Kuruppuarachchige, Vaishnave Mahesh.

UAE tour of Zimbabwe

All matches in Bulawayo
Friday, Sept 26 – First ODI
Sunday, Sept 28 – Second ODI
Tuesday, Sept 30 – Third ODI
Thursday, Oct 2 – Fourth ODI
Sunday, Oct 5 – First T20I
Monday, Oct 6 – Second T20I

THE BIO

BIO:
Born in RAK on December 9, 1983
Lives in Abu Dhabi with her family
She graduated from Emirates University in 2007 with a BA in architectural engineering
Her motto in life is her grandmother’s saying “That who created you will not have you get lost”
Her ambition is to spread UAE’s culture of love and acceptance through serving coffee, the country’s traditional coffee in particular.

Coming 2 America

Directed by: Craig Brewer

Starring: Eddie Murphy, Arsenio Hall, Jermaine Fowler, Leslie Jones

3/5 stars

Under 19 World Cup

Group A: India, Japan, New Zealand, Sri Lanka

Group B: Australia, England, Nigeria, West Indies

Group C: Bangladesh, Pakistan, Scotland, Zimbabwe

Group D: Afghanistan, Canada, South Africa, UAE

 

UAE fixtures

Saturday, January 18, v Canada

Wednesday, January 22, v Afghanistan

Saturday, January 25, v South Africa

MATCH INFO

Real Madrid 2 (Benzema 13', Kroos 28')
Barcelona 1 (Mingueza 60')

Red card: Casemiro (Real Madrid)

Updated: March 22, 2025, 9:46 AM`