US President Donald Trump’s re-election last November sent shock waves through America’s potential enemies, critics and competitors but it also unnerved some US allies and friends.
No one – perhaps not even Mr Trump himself – knows how far his aggressive rhetoric on trade, foreign relations, China, Ukraine, Nato and other matters will become realistic policies. But in the UK, there are already concerns about Mr Trump’s “best pal” Elon Musk and his apparent obsession with what he claims is the terrible state of the UK.
Some of this is almost comical. Other parts are plain inexplicable. Mr Musk suggested that “civil war is inevitable” in the UK. Britain had a civil war in the 17th century. The British people did not enjoy the experience. The country is keen not to repeat it. Beyond Mr Musk’s eccentricities, the serious point is that the beginning of the second Trump presidency has proved a wake-up call for the UK in 2025.
The BBC reports that a small group of senior government ministers, an “inner Cabinet”, is planning how to handle the predictable unpredictability of Trump Mark Two. This could have positive results if it leads to welcome re-evaluations not just of government policies but also of the UK’s stature in the world.
The British public has itself already re-evaluated what it now sees as the significant policy error known as Brexit. Last April, The Economist noted that while it was rare for voters to change their minds soon after referendums, “Brexit seems to be an exception”.
By December, that sense of changing minds led the National Centre for Social Research to report that polling now suggests “voters, including those who backed leaving the EU, are not particularly happy with how Brexit has turned out. Around six in 10 feel it has ‘gone badly’ and over a half of the public think that in hindsight Britain was wrong to vote to leave the EU. Among the public, just over half [51 per cent] think there should be a new referendum within the next five years”.
Uncertainties about Mr Trump combined with further uncertainties about relations with the EU appear to have led a majority of British people to view Brexit as a failed act of political self-harm that could – and should – in time be reversed. Fresh thinking extends to opposition parties, too.
The new leader of the Conservative party, Kemi Badenoch, now says it was wrong for her party to have announced that the UK was leaving the EU without a plan for growth. It’s a start, but more accurately the Conservatives had no real plan for Brexit at all. That’s why it’s such a mess. The former Conservative prime minister David Cameron complacently assumed that Brexit would never happen and that his country would stay in the EU. Ms Badenoch is beginning to accept that serious mistakes were indeed made, tiptoeing to where most voters already are.
The leader of the Liberal Democrats, Ed Davey, is marching more strongly in the same direction. Buoyed by the presence of 72 legislators in Parliament, Mr Davey is now calling for Britain to end the Brexit failure by re-joining the EU customs union by 2030 as part of a larger deal with Europe. This, he hopes, will boost British business, aid growth and end some of the costly post-Brexit bureaucratic blockages for UK-EU trade. Ultimately, it would kill Brexit dead.
The public mood has changed. Ms Badenoch has shifted (a little) in recognising Brexit mistake. The Liberal Democrats Ed Davey reflects the new public mood by advocating rejoining the customs union
These shifts in British politics from the 2016 Brexit “have our cake and eat it” fantasy to the 2025 Brexit reality would have occurred even if Mr Trump’s second term never happened. But the Trump effect is an accelerator.
His inauguration reminds the British public that the UK-US “special relationship” is much less special nowadays, especially with a transactional president hungry to demand the new best deal from his allies. UK diplomats have in the past sometimes witnessed significant disagreements between their prime ministers and US presidents. These are usually downplayed or kept private while publicly both sides strive hard to present a united front.
In July 2019, the UK ambassador in Washington, Kim Darroch, was forced to quit when his scathing assessment of the first Trump presidency was made public. Whether anything very special remains about the “special relationship” in Trump Mark Two, remains to be seen. But what would help would be for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer to cease talking vaguely about “resets” in his policies towards the EU and instead recognise that the British people, and some British politicians, really do want a “reset” with Europe.
The public mood has changed. Ms Badenoch has shifted (a little) in recognising Brexit mistake. Mr Davey reflects the new public mood by advocating rejoining the customs union. Both party leaders’ remarks resemble the witty analysis of the 19th-century French politician Alexandre Ledru-Rollin, who quipped “there go the people. I must follow them – for I am their leader”. But Mr Starmer is Prime Minister, and maybe he needs to lead more clearly, too, by following the people.
A stronger UK in Europe would also be a stronger UK in engaging with its great friends in the US.
Business Insights
- As per the document, there are six filing options, including choosing to report on a realisation basis and transitional rules for pre-tax period gains or losses.
- SMEs with revenue below Dh3 million per annum can opt for transitional relief until 2026, treating them as having no taxable income.
- Larger entities have specific provisions for asset and liability movements, business restructuring, and handling foreign permanent establishments.
MATCH INFO
Manchester City 4 (Gundogan 8' (P), Bernardo Silva 19', Jesus 72', 75')
Fulham 0
Red cards: Tim Ream (Fulham)
Man of the Match: Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City)
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Indoor cricket World Cup:
Insportz, Dubai, September 16-23
UAE fixtures:
Men
Saturday, September 16 – 1.45pm, v New Zealand
Sunday, September 17 – 10.30am, v Australia; 3.45pm, v South Africa
Monday, September 18 – 2pm, v England; 7.15pm, v India
Tuesday, September 19 – 12.15pm, v Singapore; 5.30pm, v Sri Lanka
Thursday, September 21 – 2pm v Malaysia
Friday, September 22 – 3.30pm, semi-final
Saturday, September 23 – 3pm, grand final
Women
Saturday, September 16 – 5.15pm, v Australia
Sunday, September 17 – 2pm, v South Africa; 7.15pm, v New Zealand
Monday, September 18 – 5.30pm, v England
Tuesday, September 19 – 10.30am, v New Zealand; 3.45pm, v South Africa
Thursday, September 21 – 12.15pm, v Australia
Friday, September 22 – 1.30pm, semi-final
Saturday, September 23 – 1pm, grand final
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Six large-scale objects on show
- Concrete wall and windows from the now demolished Robin Hood Gardens housing estate in Poplar
- The 17th Century Agra Colonnade, from the bathhouse of the fort of Agra in India
- A stagecloth for The Ballet Russes that is 10m high – the largest Picasso in the world
- Frank Lloyd Wright’s 1930s Kaufmann Office
- A full-scale Frankfurt Kitchen designed by Margarete Schütte-Lihotzky, which transformed kitchen design in the 20th century
- Torrijos Palace dome
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Mohammed bin Zayed Majlis
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Rankings
ATP: 1. Novak Djokovic (SRB) 10,955 pts; 2. Rafael Nadal (ESP) 8,320; 3. Alexander Zverev (GER) 6,475 ( 1); 5. Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) 5,060 ( 1); 6. Kevin Anderson (RSA) 4,845 ( 1); 6. Roger Federer (SUI) 4,600 (-3); 7. Kei Nishikori (JPN) 4,110 ( 2); 8. Dominic Thiem (AUT) 3,960; 9. John Isner (USA) 3,155 ( 1); 10. Marin Cilic (CRO) 3,140 (-3)
WTA: 1. Naomi Osaka (JPN) 7,030 pts ( 3); 2. Petra Kvitova (CZE) 6,290 ( 4); 3. Simona Halep (ROM) 5,582 (-2); 4. Sloane Stephens (USA) 5,307 ( 1); 5. Karolina Pliskova (CZE) 5,100 ( 3); 6. Angelique Kerber (GER) 4,965 (-4); 7. Elina Svitolina (UKR) 4,940; 8. Kiki Bertens (NED) 4,430 ( 1); 9. Caroline Wozniacki (DEN) 3,566 (-6); 10. Aryna Sabalenka (BLR) 3,485 ( 1)
Company%20Profile
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The five pillars of Islam
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Mohammed bin Zayed Majlis
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
MATCH INFO
Barcelona 2
Suarez (10'), Messi (52')
Real Madrid 2
Ronaldo (14'), Bale (72')
The years Ramadan fell in May
Who is Mohammed Al Halbousi?
The new speaker of Iraq’s parliament Mohammed Al Halbousi is the youngest person ever to serve in the role.
The 37-year-old was born in Al Garmah in Anbar and studied civil engineering in Baghdad before going into business. His development company Al Hadeed undertook reconstruction contracts rebuilding parts of Fallujah’s infrastructure.
He entered parliament in 2014 and served as a member of the human rights and finance committees until 2017. In August last year he was appointed governor of Anbar, a role in which he has struggled to secure funding to provide services in the war-damaged province and to secure the withdrawal of Shia militias. He relinquished the post when he was sworn in as a member of parliament on September 3.
He is a member of the Al Hal Sunni-based political party and the Sunni-led Coalition of Iraqi Forces, which is Iraq’s largest Sunni alliance with 37 seats from the May 12 election.
He maintains good relations with former Prime Minister Nouri Al Maliki’s State of Law Coaliton, Hadi Al Amiri’s Badr Organisation and Iranian officials.
Analysis
Maros Sefcovic is juggling multiple international trade agreement files, but his message was clear when he spoke to The National on Wednesday.
The EU-UAE bilateral trade deal will be finalised soon, he said. It is in everyone’s interests to do so. Both sides want to move quickly and are in alignment. He said the UAE is a very important partner for the EU. It’s full speed ahead - and with some lofty ambitions - on the road to a free trade agreement.
We also talked about US-EU tariffs. He answered that both sides need to talk more and more often, but he is prepared to defend Europe's position and said diplomacy should be a guiding principle through the current moment.
The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
Jordan cabinet changes
In
- Raed Mozafar Abu Al Saoud, Minister of Water and Irrigation
- Dr Bassam Samir Al Talhouni, Minister of Justice
- Majd Mohamed Shoueikeh, State Minister of Development of Foundation Performance
- Azmi Mahmud Mohafaza, Minister of Education and Minister of Higher Education and Scientific Research
- Falah Abdalla Al Ammoush, Minister of Public Works and Housing
- Basma Moussa Ishakat, Minister of Social Development
- Dr Ghazi Monawar Al Zein, Minister of Health
- Ibrahim Sobhi Alshahahede, Minister of Agriculture and Minister of Environment
- Dr Mohamed Suleiman Aburamman, Minister of Culture and Minister of Youth
Out
- Dr Adel Issa Al Tawissi, Minister of High Education and Scientific Research
- Hala Noaman “Basiso Lattouf”, Minister of Social Development
- Dr Mahmud Yassin Al Sheyab, Minister of Health
- Yahya Moussa Kasbi, Minister of Public Works and Housing
- Nayef Hamidi Al Fayez, Minister of Environment
- Majd Mohamed Shoueika, Minister of Public Sector Development
- Khalid Moussa Al Huneifat, Minister of Agriculture
- Dr Awad Abu Jarad Al Mushakiba, Minister of Justice
- Mounir Moussa Ouwais, Minister of Water and Agriculture
- Dr Azmi Mahmud Mohafaza, Minister of Education
- Mokarram Mustafa Al Kaysi, Minister of Youth
- Basma Mohamed Al Nousour, Minister of Culture
The years Ramadan fell in May
The specs
AT4 Ultimate, as tested
Engine: 6.2-litre V8
Power: 420hp
Torque: 623Nm
Transmission: 10-speed automatic
Price: From Dh330,800 (Elevation: Dh236,400; AT4: Dh286,800; Denali: Dh345,800)
On sale: Now
ENGLAND SQUAD
Goalkeepers Pickford (Everton), Pope (Burnley), Henderson (Manchester United)
Defenders Alexander-Arnold (Liverpool), Chilwell (Chelsea), Coady (Wolves), Dier (Tottenham), Gomez (Liverpool), James (Chelsea), Keane (Everton), Maguire (Manchester United), Maitland-Niles (Arsenal), Mings (Aston Villa), Saka (Arsenal), Trippier (Atletico Madrid), Walker (Manchester City)
Midfielders: Foden (Manchester City), Henderson (Liverpool), Grealish (Aston Villa), Mount (Chelsea), Rice (West Ham), Ward-Prowse (Southampton), Winks (Tottenham)
Forwards: Abraham (Chelsea), Calvert-Lewin (Everton), Kane (Tottenham), Rashford (Manchester United), Sancho (Borussia Dortmund), Sterling (Manchester City)
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Zayed Sustainability Prize
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League semi-final, first leg
Bayern Munich v Real Madrid
When: April 25, 10.45pm kick-off (UAE)
Where: Allianz Arena, Munich
Live: BeIN Sports HD
Second leg: May 1, Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid
More on Quran memorisation:
The five pillars of Islam
Defence review at a glance
• Increase defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027 but given “turbulent times it may be necessary to go faster”
• Prioritise a shift towards working with AI and autonomous systems
• Invest in the resilience of military space systems.
• Number of active reserves should be increased by 20%
• More F-35 fighter jets required in the next decade
• New “hybrid Navy” with AUKUS submarines and autonomous vessels
Zayed Sustainability Prize
Company%20profile
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Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – FINAL RECKONING
Director: Christopher McQuarrie
Starring: Tom Cruise, Hayley Atwell, Simon Pegg
Rating: 4/5
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UAE v IRELAND
All matches start at 10am, and will be played in Abu Dhabi
1st ODI, Friday, January 8
2nd ODI, Sunday, January 10
3rd ODI, Tuesday, January 12
4th ODI, Thursday, January 14