Imagine 2027, a time when AI is expected to outperform doctors. A patient walks into a clinic. The doctor learns their history, performs an examination and orders tests. He or she feeds the data into an AI system that creates a diagnosis and a treatment plan. The doctor uses both to treat the patient.
We return to 2024. A doctor reviews the diagnosis and plan from the AI system before treating the patient because the AI-generated output is not as accurate or reliable as the human output.
In 2027, will a doctor review the AI-generated diagnosis and management plan before treatment? Would human intervention be unethical when we might worsen the AI output? A doctor’s fundamental ethical obligation is “first, do no harm”.
It is important to consider AI’s performance of a doctor’s five key roles.
First and foremost, doctors diagnose – and recent evidence shows that AI’s diagnostic effectiveness is improving.
A 2023 Harvard Medical School study demonstrated a vision-language model that outperformed doctors with challenging medical cases. A study this year at the University of California, Los Angeles demonstrated that when diagnosing prostate cancer, AI was 17 per cent more accurate than doctors. These are a few examples of AI’s improving diagnostic success.
In 2027, will we view using AI to diagnose a disease the same way we view using a calculator to subtract? When that day comes, what will the role of a doctor be? Perhaps we should see this future as an opportunity to use this new “calculator” to be better doctors.
Next, doctors are supposed to be carers. In the 1800s, Dr Edward Livingston Trudeau described their mission as: “To cure sometimes, to relieve often, to comfort always.” Today, patients are more likely to see doctors’ mission as: “To cure and relieve often, to comfort always.”
Can technology help doctors “comfort always”? The answer depends on whether technology is capable of sentience and sapience, and whether humans can accept care from amoral machines.
Today, scientists continue to develop AI with self-awareness, but their success has so far been limited. There are precedents for using robots for companionship, comfort and cognitive support. But what is the doctor’s role in these scenarios? How do educators prepare medical students? The hope is that AI will enhance the value of the humanistic aspects of medicine.
AI systems assist with the implementation of evidence-based treatments that increase safety and effectiveness. For example, AI systems can inform doctors in “real time” when a patient’s treatment is no longer effective. These doctors can then encourage patients to, for instance, make healthy-eating decisions.
Beyond individual patients, doctors advocate for the improvement of the health of entire communities. During pandemics, doctors mobilise populations to increase vaccination adoption with readily accessible data. Their intervention supports the integrity and authenticity of AI-generated data, as well as the detection and prevention of bias.
Doctors are also educators, and they educate medical students by sharing their skills and knowledge. But skills are constantly changing, and knowledge is increasingly interdisciplinary and includes non-medical disciplines. Few of today’s educators have knowledge of every medical specialty or those disciplines outside of medicine. AI systems can be valuable learning companions supporting multi-disciplinary learning.
With competing search engines and an information explosion, students will need to quickly analyse complex data. Doctor-educators must shift from being professors to “pathfinders” to show students how to find the path to the optimum medical and ethical answer. That way, doctors will remain central to the transformation of aptitudes and mindsets to avoid the dehumanisation of care and education.
Another role of doctors is to generate medical improvements from patient data. As AI collects large datasets and subjects them to powerful algorithms, information is collected, synthesised and disseminated instantly.
Even with AI as a knowledge-generation catalyst, doctors will remain essential for research and data collection. The majority of doctors will increasingly take on the researcher role in the AI context. It will be vital, then, for developers to mitigate the risk of humans tampering with AI-generated data. They must be aware of the ethical principles that guide doctors, including beneficence, non-maleficence, autonomy and confidentiality, which are especially relevant to the use of generative AI.
Humans cannot compete with AI’s capacity and speed. This means that AI is likely to replace humans in jobs faster than humans can transition between jobs. This is not a moment to fear. Instead, doctor-educators must embrace this freedom to discover opportunities and for students to learn, not for the sake of doing, but for the sake of understanding.
While guided by data, doctors in the AI world will solve complex problems by asking, not answering. Harnessing AI, doctors will have the freedom to ask effective questions and the time to identify the best answers, scientifically and morally. When asking these questions, the values of equity, social justice and human rights will guide them and they will become effective scientists, data guardians and vigilant protectors of humanity.
There is no need to fear 2027.
Chen Zhi Xiong is assistant dean in the Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine at the National University of Singapore
Tikki Pangestu is a visiting professor in the Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine at the National University of Singapore
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Little Brown Book Group
Lexus LX700h specs
Engine: 3.4-litre twin-turbo V6 plus supplementary electric motor
Power: 464hp at 5,200rpm
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Transmission: 10-speed auto
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Director: Laxman Utekar
Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna
Rating: 1/5
Specs
Engine: 51.5kW electric motor
Range: 400km
Power: 134bhp
Torque: 175Nm
Price: From Dh98,800
Available: Now
The specs
Engine: 6.2-litre V8
Power: 502hp at 7,600rpm
Torque: 637Nm at 5,150rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto
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Fringe@Four Line-up
October 1 - Phil Nichol (stand-up comedy)
October 29 - Mandy Knight (stand-up comedy)
November 5 - Sinatra Raw (Fringe theatre)
November 8 - Imah Dumagay & Sundeep Fernandes (stand-up comedy)
November 13 - Gordon Southern (stand-up comedy)
November 22 - In Loyal Company (Fringe theatre)
November 29 - Peter Searles (comedy / theatre)
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
The five pillars of Islam
The five pillars of Islam
KILLING OF QASSEM SULEIMANI
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Small Victories: The True Story of Faith No More by Adrian Harte
Jawbone Press
The National's picks
4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
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6.20pm: West Acre
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8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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What sanctions would be reimposed?
Under ‘snapback’, measures imposed on Iran by the UN Security Council in six resolutions would be restored, including:
- An arms embargo
- A ban on uranium enrichment and reprocessing
- A ban on launches and other activities with ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, as well as ballistic missile technology transfer and technical assistance
- A targeted global asset freeze and travel ban on Iranian individuals and entities
- Authorisation for countries to inspect Iran Air Cargo and Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines cargoes for banned goods
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Champions League Last 16
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Sporting Lisbon (POR) v Manchester City (ENG)
Benfica (POR) v Ajax (NED)
Chelsea (ENG) v Lille (FRA)
Atletico Madrid (ESP) v Manchester United (ENG)
Villarreal (ESP) v Juventus (ITA)
Inter Milan (ITA) v Liverpool (ENG)
Paris Saint-Germain v Real Madrid (ESP)
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Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
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Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh190,000 (Countryman)
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm
Transmission: 9-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh117,059
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GAC GS8 Specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
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Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km
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RACE SCHEDULE
All times UAE ( 4 GMT)
Friday, September 29
First practice: 7am - 8.30am
Second practice: 11am - 12.30pm
Saturday, September 30
Qualifying: 1pm - 2pm
Sunday, October 1
Race: 11am - 1pm
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Pharaoh's curse
British aristocrat Lord Carnarvon, who funded the expedition to find the Tutankhamun tomb, died in a Cairo hotel four months after the crypt was opened.
He had been in poor health for many years after a car crash, and a mosquito bite made worse by a shaving cut led to blood poisoning and pneumonia.
Reports at the time said Lord Carnarvon suffered from “pain as the inflammation affected the nasal passages and eyes”.
Decades later, scientists contended he had died of aspergillosis after inhaling spores of the fungus aspergillus in the tomb, which can lie dormant for months. The fact several others who entered were also found dead withiin a short time led to the myth of the curse.