Imagine 2027, a time when AI is expected to outperform doctors. A patient walks into a clinic. The doctor learns their history, performs an examination and orders tests. He or she feeds the data into an AI system that creates a diagnosis and a treatment plan. The doctor uses both to treat the patient.
We return to 2024. A doctor reviews the diagnosis and plan from the AI system before treating the patient because the AI-generated output is not as accurate or reliable as the human output.
In 2027, will a doctor review the AI-generated diagnosis and management plan before treatment? Would human intervention be unethical when we might worsen the AI output? A doctor’s fundamental ethical obligation is “first, do no harm”.
It is important to consider AI’s performance of a doctor’s five key roles.
First and foremost, doctors diagnose – and recent evidence shows that AI’s diagnostic effectiveness is improving.
A 2023 Harvard Medical School study demonstrated a vision-language model that outperformed doctors with challenging medical cases. A study this year at the University of California, Los Angeles demonstrated that when diagnosing prostate cancer, AI was 17 per cent more accurate than doctors. These are a few examples of AI’s improving diagnostic success.
In 2027, will we view using AI to diagnose a disease the same way we view using a calculator to subtract? When that day comes, what will the role of a doctor be? Perhaps we should see this future as an opportunity to use this new “calculator” to be better doctors.
Next, doctors are supposed to be carers. In the 1800s, Dr Edward Livingston Trudeau described their mission as: “To cure sometimes, to relieve often, to comfort always.” Today, patients are more likely to see doctors’ mission as: “To cure and relieve often, to comfort always.”
Can technology help doctors “comfort always”? The answer depends on whether technology is capable of sentience and sapience, and whether humans can accept care from amoral machines.
Today, scientists continue to develop AI with self-awareness, but their success has so far been limited. There are precedents for using robots for companionship, comfort and cognitive support. But what is the doctor’s role in these scenarios? How do educators prepare medical students? The hope is that AI will enhance the value of the humanistic aspects of medicine.
AI systems assist with the implementation of evidence-based treatments that increase safety and effectiveness. For example, AI systems can inform doctors in “real time” when a patient’s treatment is no longer effective. These doctors can then encourage patients to, for instance, make healthy-eating decisions.
Beyond individual patients, doctors advocate for the improvement of the health of entire communities. During pandemics, doctors mobilise populations to increase vaccination adoption with readily accessible data. Their intervention supports the integrity and authenticity of AI-generated data, as well as the detection and prevention of bias.
Doctors are also educators, and they educate medical students by sharing their skills and knowledge. But skills are constantly changing, and knowledge is increasingly interdisciplinary and includes non-medical disciplines. Few of today’s educators have knowledge of every medical specialty or those disciplines outside of medicine. AI systems can be valuable learning companions supporting multi-disciplinary learning.
With competing search engines and an information explosion, students will need to quickly analyse complex data. Doctor-educators must shift from being professors to “pathfinders” to show students how to find the path to the optimum medical and ethical answer. That way, doctors will remain central to the transformation of aptitudes and mindsets to avoid the dehumanisation of care and education.
Another role of doctors is to generate medical improvements from patient data. As AI collects large datasets and subjects them to powerful algorithms, information is collected, synthesised and disseminated instantly.
Even with AI as a knowledge-generation catalyst, doctors will remain essential for research and data collection. The majority of doctors will increasingly take on the researcher role in the AI context. It will be vital, then, for developers to mitigate the risk of humans tampering with AI-generated data. They must be aware of the ethical principles that guide doctors, including beneficence, non-maleficence, autonomy and confidentiality, which are especially relevant to the use of generative AI.
Humans cannot compete with AI’s capacity and speed. This means that AI is likely to replace humans in jobs faster than humans can transition between jobs. This is not a moment to fear. Instead, doctor-educators must embrace this freedom to discover opportunities and for students to learn, not for the sake of doing, but for the sake of understanding.
While guided by data, doctors in the AI world will solve complex problems by asking, not answering. Harnessing AI, doctors will have the freedom to ask effective questions and the time to identify the best answers, scientifically and morally. When asking these questions, the values of equity, social justice and human rights will guide them and they will become effective scientists, data guardians and vigilant protectors of humanity.
There is no need to fear 2027.
Chen Zhi Xiong is assistant dean in the Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine at the National University of Singapore
Tikki Pangestu is a visiting professor in the Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine at the National University of Singapore
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
What is the FNC?
The Federal National Council is one of five federal authorities established by the UAE constitution. It held its first session on December 2, 1972, a year to the day after Federation.
It has 40 members, eight of whom are women. The members represent the UAE population through each of the emirates. Abu Dhabi and Dubai have eight members each, Sharjah and Ras al Khaimah six, and Ajman, Fujairah and Umm Al Quwain have four.
They bring Emirati issues to the council for debate and put those concerns to ministers summoned for questioning.
The FNC’s main functions include passing, amending or rejecting federal draft laws, discussing international treaties and agreements, and offering recommendations on general subjects raised during sessions.
Federal draft laws must first pass through the FNC for recommendations when members can amend the laws to suit the needs of citizens. The draft laws are then forwarded to the Cabinet for consideration and approval.
Since 2006, half of the members have been elected by UAE citizens to serve four-year terms and the other half are appointed by the Ruler’s Courts of the seven emirates.
In the 2015 elections, 78 of the 252 candidates were women. Women also represented 48 per cent of all voters and 67 per cent of the voters were under the age of 40.
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre turbo 4-cyl
Transmission: eight-speed auto
Power: 190bhp
Torque: 300Nm
Price: Dh169,900
On sale: now
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Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
- Priority access to new homes from participating developers
- Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
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Gran Gala del Calcio 2019 winners
Best Player: Cristiano Ronaldo (Juventus)
Best Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini (Atalanta)
Best Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Best Goal: Fabio Quagliarella (Sampdoria vs Napoli)
Best Team: Atalanta
Best XI: Samir Handanovic (Inter); Aleksandar Kolarov (Roma), Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus), Kalidou Koulibaly (Napoli), Joao Cancelo (Juventus*); Miralem Pjanic (Juventus), Josip Ilicic (Atalanta), Nicolo Barella (Cagliari*); Fabio Quagliarella (Sampdoria), Cristiano Ronaldo (Juventus), Duvan Zapata (Atalanta)
Serie B Best Young Player: Sandro Tonali (Brescia)
Best Women’s Goal: Thaisa (Milan vs Juventus)
Best Women’s Player: Manuela Giugliano (Milan)
Best Women’s XI: Laura Giuliani (Milan); Alia Guagni (Fiorentina), Sara Gama (Juventus), Cecilia Salvai (Juventus), Elisa Bartoli (Roma); Aurora Galli (Juventus), Manuela Giugliano (Roma), Valentina Cernoia (Juventus); Valentina Giacinti (Milan), Ilaria Mauro (Fiorentina), Barbara Bonansea (Juventus)
History's medical milestones
1799 - First small pox vaccine administered
1846 - First public demonstration of anaesthesia in surgery
1861 - Louis Pasteur published his germ theory which proved that bacteria caused diseases
1895 - Discovery of x-rays
1923 - Heart valve surgery performed successfully for first time
1928 - Alexander Fleming discovers penicillin
1953 - Structure of DNA discovered
1952 - First organ transplant - a kidney - takes place
1954 - Clinical trials of birth control pill
1979 - MRI, or magnetic resonance imaging, scanned used to diagnose illness and injury.
1998 - The first adult live-donor liver transplant is carried out
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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The Birkin bag is made by Hermès.
It is named after actress and singer Jane Birkin
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Cyber warfare - Shaped by geopolitical tension, hostile actors seek to infiltrate and compromise national infrastructure, using one country’s systems as a springboard to launch attacks on others.
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