Since the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, a number of journalists, both American and Arab, have asked what the US withdrawal means for the region and for American leadership in the world. They have also wondered aloud which countries may now fill the void left by the US in the scene. These questions probably have been prompted, in no small measure, by the messiness of the withdrawal, the nightmarish and chaotic scenes at the airport, the tragic human stories of those left behind and the speed with which the US-friendly government collapsed as the Taliban’s took the country. That said, in each instance I would caution those who ask these questions to take note of the fact that America’s problems in the Middle East and its environs didn’t begin with the withdrawal. A distinct decline began 20 years earlier, with the reckless, costly and disastrous decisions to invade both Afghanistan and Iraq, followed by the decision to occupy them simultaneously and to attempt to create “democracies” that would support US interests.
These wars were reckless because in both instances the George W Bush administration was advised by experts in the intelligence community and career-level State Department and military officials that these were not wars the US could win or governments Americans could fashion to their liking. In both cases, Mr Bush ignored those who knew Afghanistan and Iraq and listened instead to influential advisers who had become the dominant force in his cabinet. Because these ideologues did not know the culture, makeup or histories of either country, they allowed ideology to trump reality. As a result, these efforts were, from the outset, doomed to failure. Both wars were also costly in lives and treasure for the US, Afghanistan and Iraq. The Afghan and Iraqi losses were incalculable and devastating. And the US lost more than 6,000 troops, with tens of thousands more left physically or psychologically maimed for life. It is also important to note that in each year since the end of active combat in both Afghanistan and Iraq, the US has lost more than 6,000 additional US veterans to suicide — an average of more than 20 per day.
America’s problems in the Middle East and its environs didn’t begin with the Afghan withdrawal
In addition, there are tens of thousands more veterans who’ve joined the ranks of the homeless and those addicted to drugs — in no small part the result of war-induced trauma. The morale of the US military has been affected. These two wars and the medical treatment of veterans has so far cost America more than $3 trillion. This is one key reason why the US military leadership was loath to commit significant ground forces to fight in Syria. And these wars were disastrous because they accomplished none of their goals. Extremism wasn’t defeated. Instead, it has metastasised into more lethal forms and spread to many more countries threatening the security and stability of countries across the Middle East and North Africa, and is taking root in some European countries as well.
Another disastrous byproduct of these wars is the fact that Iran has now become emboldened to meddle into the affairs of others, creating havoc across the region. The prestige of the US has been weakened. And while the goal of these wars’ hawkish architects was to win them decisively, demonstrating American power and resolve and ensuring a century of US hegemony in a unipolar world, instead we now see the emergence of a multipolar world with regional and other global powers playing out their strategic ambitions in country after country across the Middle East. So, whether the US had stayed in Afghanistan or not, a new reality had already taken hold across the Middle East. Other powers are already either replacing Washington or competing with it for influence, and some key regional allies, wearied by American blunders and miscalculations, are pursuing new interests independent of those of the US. As a result, American leverage is more limited than it was. That said, the US cannot be written off as a “has-been” power. It still has influence in the Middle East – economic, military and cultural. It remains the world’s most successful economy, it still has significant deterrent capabilities that can defend allies and its too-often underestimated “soft power” remains its most important asset.
The disastrous nature of the US departure in Afghanistan aside, Washington had no option but to limit its losses there by leaving. And it has little option but to end its active combat role in Iraq. But making these decisions in no way means the US is abandoning the region. It simply means that it now recognises the realities that many in its past leadership tragically ignored. What is needed now is a clearheaded examination of the damage done by both wars and a recalibration of America’s regional posture that realistically matches its needs with its capacities so that the US can best protect its own interests and those of its allies.
Conflict, drought, famine
Estimates of the number of deaths caused by the famine range from 400,000 to 1 million, according to a document prepared for the UK House of Lords in 2024.
It has been claimed that the policies of the Ethiopian government, which took control after deposing Emperor Haile Selassie in a military-led revolution in 1974, contributed to the scale of the famine.
Dr Miriam Bradley, senior lecturer in humanitarian studies at the University of Manchester, has argued that, by the early 1980s, “several government policies combined to cause, rather than prevent, a famine which lasted from 1983 to 1985. Mengistu’s government imposed Stalinist-model agricultural policies involving forced collectivisation and villagisation [relocation of communities into planned villages].
The West became aware of the catastrophe through a series of BBC News reports by journalist Michael Buerk in October 1984 describing a “biblical famine” and containing graphic images of thousands of people, including children, facing starvation.
Band Aid
Bob Geldof, singer with the Irish rock group The Boomtown Rats, formed Band Aid in response to the horrific images shown in the news broadcasts.
With Midge Ure of the band Ultravox, he wrote the hit charity single Do They Know it’s Christmas in December 1984, featuring a string of high-profile musicians.
Following the single’s success, the idea to stage a rock concert evolved.
Live Aid was a series of simultaneous concerts that took place at Wembley Stadium in London, John F Kennedy Stadium in Philadelphia, the US, and at various other venues across the world.
The combined event was broadcast to an estimated worldwide audience of 1.5 billion.
Getting there
Flydubai flies direct from Dubai to Tbilisi from Dh1,025 return including taxes
What the law says
Micro-retirement is not a recognised concept or employment status under Federal Decree Law No. 33 of 2021 on the Regulation of Labour Relations (as amended) (UAE Labour Law). As such, it reflects a voluntary work-life balance practice, rather than a recognised legal employment category, according to Dilini Loku, senior associate for law firm Gateley Middle East.
“Some companies may offer formal sabbatical policies or career break programmes; however, beyond such arrangements, there is no automatic right or statutory entitlement to extended breaks,” she explains.
“Any leave taken beyond statutory entitlements, such as annual leave, is typically regarded as unpaid leave in accordance with Article 33 of the UAE Labour Law. While employees may legally take unpaid leave, such requests are subject to the employer’s discretion and require approval.”
If an employee resigns to pursue micro-retirement, the employment contract is terminated, and the employer is under no legal obligation to rehire the employee in the future unless specific contractual agreements are in place (such as return-to-work arrangements), which are generally uncommon, Ms Loku adds.
Lexus LX700h specs
Engine: 3.4-litre twin-turbo V6 plus supplementary electric motor
Power: 464hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 790Nm from 2,000-3,600rpm
Transmission: 10-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 11.7L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh590,000
What are NFTs?
Are non-fungible tokens a currency, asset, or a licensing instrument? Arnab Das, global market strategist EMEA at Invesco, says they are mix of all of three.
You can buy, hold and use NFTs just like US dollars and Bitcoins. “They can appreciate in value and even produce cash flows.”
However, while money is fungible, NFTs are not. “One Bitcoin, dollar, euro or dirham is largely indistinguishable from the next. Nothing ties a dollar bill to a particular owner, for example. Nor does it tie you to to any goods, services or assets you bought with that currency. In contrast, NFTs confer specific ownership,” Mr Das says.
This makes NFTs closer to a piece of intellectual property such as a work of art or licence, as you can claim royalties or profit by exchanging it at a higher value later, Mr Das says. “They could provide a sustainable income stream.”
This income will depend on future demand and use, which makes NFTs difficult to value. “However, there is a credible use case for many forms of intellectual property, notably art, songs, videos,” Mr Das says.
The%20specs
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
- Priority access to new homes from participating developers
- Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
- Flexible payment plans from developers
- Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
- DLD registration fee can be paid through banks or credit cards at zero interest rates
Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
Range: Up to 610km
Power: 905hp
Torque: 985Nm
Price: From Dh439,000
Available: Now
UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
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War 2
Director: Ayan Mukerji
Stars: Hrithik Roshan, NTR, Kiara Advani, Ashutosh Rana
Rating: 2/5