The election results are providing a moment of reflection for Democratic activists, organisers and insiders. AP
The election results are providing a moment of reflection for Democratic activists, organisers and insiders. AP
The election results are providing a moment of reflection for Democratic activists, organisers and insiders. AP
The election results are providing a moment of reflection for Democratic activists, organisers and insiders. AP

The lessons US Democrats are - or aren't - learning after Donald Trump's election victory


Ellie Sennett
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Latest updates: Follow our full coverage on the US election

The 2024 election results represent a sea change in America: Donald Trump won the necessary electoral votes for a second term in office, but for the first time, he also clinched the popular vote, and his Republican Party flipped the Senate from Democratic control.

It is a moment of reflection for Democratic activists, organisers and insiders like Alyssa Batchelor-Causey, who was very surprised by Tuesday night's results.

“[Kamala] Harris had the best messaging that we've had … She had policies that resonated with people. She had everything moving in the right direction that I wanted to see from the Democratic Party for a very long time,” the strategist with Hill and State Strategies told The National.

Clearly, though, the Democratic ticket did not craft a message that resonated enough to deliver victories, with losses among key constituencies the party had expected to have resounding support from: including white women and Latino men.

Many are saying the Harris campaign missed the mark and that 2024 showed Democrats have not learnt the lessons of Hillary Clinton's shock loss to Mr Trump in 2016.

Kati Durken, the vice president of Young Democrats for America, says that her party has “a messaging issue”.

“We have not connected with people, I think we've missed some key areas that young voters feel really passionate about,” she told The National.

“A lot of young people walked away with the idea that nobody was really going to fix their problems so why does it matter. That general existential dread about the world did a lot of damage.”

The Republican president-elect made gains with voters aged 18 to 29, up 7 percentage points from 2020, Reuters reported.

Young and progressive voters, in particular, feel angered, accusing the party of ignoring their policy demands and instead catering towards centrist Republicans they believed could be swayed to vote against Mr Trump.

That includes the failure to concretely demand and deliver a ceasefire in Gaza, an insistence on celebrating President Joe Biden's economy against growing financial frustration, and the embrace of figures like Republican former vice president Dick Cheney, an architect of America's war in Iraq.

Gabe Inman, a progressive in Virginia who “thought up until the last moment” that he would vote Democrat and ended up voting third party for Cornel West, seems to agree with that assessment.

“The last 12 years [Democrats have] been trying to play ball with moderate Republicans and its gone nowhere,” he told The National.

“I think the biggest takeaway is that this is America showing itself for what it is and we have hundreds of millions of people so apathetic about their futures.”

Ultimately for Mr Inman, the party “not caring at all” about Palestinians played a major role in his decision to vote third party, and he hopes 2024 represents a wake-up call for the Democrats.

But many Democrats, including pro-Israel Congressman Ritchie Torres, point their fingers at progressives, for whom he said there is “no greater friend” to Mr Trump.

Those remarks stoke the notion for progressives like Mr Inman that Democrats are not genuinely concerned about these movements.

“The people I've seen say, 'If you're a Latino and voted Trump I hope ICE gets you.' I think it's insane that we can look at someone and say I want the fascism to happen to you directly and absolve all blame from the politicians themselves in this election,” he said.

There's a balance to that for Democratic organisers in the Latin and Hispanic-American community, too, who saw increasing members of their community opt for Mr Trump.

Donald Trump and congressional candidate Mayra Flores participate in a roundtable in north Las Vegas, Nevada. Getty Images / AFP
Donald Trump and congressional candidate Mayra Flores participate in a roundtable in north Las Vegas, Nevada. Getty Images / AFP

Support for Mr Trump among Hispanic voters went up 14 percentage points from 2020, according to an Edison Research exit poll.

Bruna Sollod, an organiser with immigration advocacy group United We Dream, says moving forward, there needs to be better outreach and understanding of these voters.

“How do we show up for the people that are scared and lost and voted for Trump? Those people are still important,” she told The National.

“There's a lot of work to be done with voters in our own communities and having tough conversations with them, and I think those are lessons to be taken and to try different things.”

For Ms Batchelor-Causey, all this demonstrates the age-old Democratic Party conundrum: galvanising an enthusiastic coalition is “something very difficult to do in a big tent party”.

Democrats like Mr Torres also disagree with the notion that his party had a “messaging issue”, and instead says there's a “reality problem”.

“Inflation and immigration are not 'messaging problems.' These are realities that produced discontent widespread enough to hand Donald Trump the presidency,” he posted on X.

Ms Durken said there's truth in that assessment, but blames Mr Trump for the economic struggles facing many Americans.

“Economic impacts span years, the direct impact of the Trump economy is still being felt in our economy … I think that Democrats over the next few years are going to have the opportunity to show Donald Trump doesn't care about you, he has no interest in fixing the economy for you,” she said.

There are process concerns, too, after a historic cycle where President Joe Biden stepped aside from leading the ticket months away from the election, and the elevation of his Vice President without an open primary.

Ms Batchelor-Causey played down the notion that this had a major role in the outcome, saying that argument is “very far fetched, that is a Maga Republican mind”.

“The last thing that I wanted and knew would be a fatal nail in the coffin would be to go to some sort of open primary convention-type situation that would have been an absolute disaster,” she said.

But that did have an impact on would-be Democratic voter Mr Inman.

“To just say it's Biden but then after a disaster of a debate say, wait, never mind, trust us this time, it's Harris, was incredibly tone deaf,” he said.

In the weeks to come, Democrats settling into the reality of a swift and strong Republican mandate at the helm, say harm reduction will be the name of the game.

“Preparing, preparing, preparing – informing constituents. If you are an elected representative, state, local, federal, it doesn't matter. You need to be talking to your constituents about what is to come,” said Ms Batchelor-Causey.

There's also an urgency to “push” the lame-duck Biden administration to help immigrant communities, adds Ms Sollod, although she concedes with Mr Trump weeks away from the Oval Office, it will be difficult to ensure lasting protections.

It is also increasingly possible that Mr Trump will enter the White House with a “trifecta” government – a fully Republican Congress, in addition to a conservative-majority Supreme Court.

For Democrats, that means “there will be very little that they can do to stop” a Trump agenda, said Ms Batchelor-Causey.

Ms Durken said the party needs to ramp-up it's down-ballot investments, as it “readjusts to a chaotic political life again”.

“Supporting our local and smaller government institutions so that as they pass policies and achieve progressive goals, those can't be undone by the federal government, so that they feel safe and unthreatened in doing so. If it's not a top priority, we are going to be failing the people that are doing the work to keep us safe right now,” she said.

The hope for Ms Sollod, as an immigrant that experienced the first Trump presidency, is that she knows first-hand the grass roots mobilisation these moments can inspire.

“I came to this movement after the 2016 election. I became a member of United We Dream that very night … So, I know that those are things that are going to happen over the next few days and months, and that we're going to be seeing a lot of new membership and a lot of new leadership,” she said.

In numbers: China in Dubai

The number of Chinese people living in Dubai: An estimated 200,000

Number of Chinese people in International City: Almost 50,000

Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2018/19: 120,000

Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2010: 20,000

Percentage increase in visitors in eight years: 500 per cent

Racecard

6pm: Mina Hamriya – Handicap (TB) $75,000 (Dirt) 1,400m

6.35pm: Al Wasl Stakes – Conditions (TB) $60,000 (Turf) 1,200m

7.10pm: UAE Oaks – Group 3 (TB) $150,000 (D) 1,900m

7.45pm: Blue Point Sprint – Group 2 (TB) $180,000 (T) 1,000m

8.20pm: Nad Al Sheba Trophy – Group 3 (TB) $200,000 (T) 2,810m

8.55pm: Mina Rashid – Handicap (TB) $80,000 (T) 1,600m

The%20specs
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THE BIO

Born: Mukalla, Yemen, 1979

Education: UAE University, Al Ain

Family: Married with two daughters: Asayel, 7, and Sara, 6

Favourite piece of music: Horse Dance by Naseer Shamma

Favourite book: Science and geology

Favourite place to travel to: Washington DC

Best advice you’ve ever been given: If you have a dream, you have to believe it, then you will see it.

UK-EU trade at a glance

EU fishing vessels guaranteed access to UK waters for 12 years

Co-operation on security initiatives and procurement of defence products

Youth experience scheme to work, study or volunteer in UK and EU countries

Smoother border management with use of e-gates

Cutting red tape on import and export of food

RedCrow Intelligence Company Profile

Started: 2016

Founders: Hussein Nasser Eddin, Laila Akel, Tayeb Akel 

Based: Ramallah, Palestine

Sector: Technology, Security

# of staff: 13

Investment: $745,000

Investors: Palestine’s Ibtikar Fund, Abu Dhabi’s Gothams and angel investors

While you're here
F1 The Movie

Starring: Brad Pitt, Damson Idris, Kerry Condon, Javier Bardem

Director: Joseph Kosinski

Rating: 4/5

Top New Zealand cop on policing the virtual world

New Zealand police began closer scrutiny of social media and online communities after the attacks on two mosques in March, the country's top officer said.

The killing of 51 people in Christchurch and wounding of more than 40 others shocked the world. Brenton Tarrant, a suspected white supremacist, was accused of the killings. His trial is ongoing and he denies the charges.

Mike Bush, commissioner of New Zealand Police, said officers looked closely at how they monitored social media in the wake of the tragedy to see if lessons could be learned.

“We decided that it was fit for purpose but we need to deepen it in terms of community relationships, extending them not only with the traditional community but the virtual one as well," he told The National.

"We want to get ahead of attacks like we suffered in New Zealand so we have to challenge ourselves to be better."

Five films to watch

Castle in the Sky (1986)

Grave of the Fireflies (1988)

Only Yesterday (1991)

Pom Poki (1994)

The Tale of Princess Kaguya (2013)

SPECS
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Barbie
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Normal People

Sally Rooney, Faber & Faber
 

The specs

Engine: Direct injection 4-cylinder 1.4-litre
Power: 150hp
Torque: 250Nm
Price: From Dh139,000
On sale: Now

COMPANY%20PROFILE
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What are NFTs?

Are non-fungible tokens a currency, asset, or a licensing instrument? Arnab Das, global market strategist EMEA at Invesco, says they are mix of all of three.

You can buy, hold and use NFTs just like US dollars and Bitcoins. “They can appreciate in value and even produce cash flows.”

However, while money is fungible, NFTs are not. “One Bitcoin, dollar, euro or dirham is largely indistinguishable from the next. Nothing ties a dollar bill to a particular owner, for example. Nor does it tie you to to any goods, services or assets you bought with that currency. In contrast, NFTs confer specific ownership,” Mr Das says.

This makes NFTs closer to a piece of intellectual property such as a work of art or licence, as you can claim royalties or profit by exchanging it at a higher value later, Mr Das says. “They could provide a sustainable income stream.”

This income will depend on future demand and use, which makes NFTs difficult to value. “However, there is a credible use case for many forms of intellectual property, notably art, songs, videos,” Mr Das says.

Conflict, drought, famine

Estimates of the number of deaths caused by the famine range from 400,000 to 1 million, according to a document prepared for the UK House of Lords in 2024.
It has been claimed that the policies of the Ethiopian government, which took control after deposing Emperor Haile Selassie in a military-led revolution in 1974, contributed to the scale of the famine.
Dr Miriam Bradley, senior lecturer in humanitarian studies at the University of Manchester, has argued that, by the early 1980s, “several government policies combined to cause, rather than prevent, a famine which lasted from 1983 to 1985. Mengistu’s government imposed Stalinist-model agricultural policies involving forced collectivisation and villagisation [relocation of communities into planned villages].
The West became aware of the catastrophe through a series of BBC News reports by journalist Michael Buerk in October 1984 describing a “biblical famine” and containing graphic images of thousands of people, including children, facing starvation.

Band Aid

Bob Geldof, singer with the Irish rock group The Boomtown Rats, formed Band Aid in response to the horrific images shown in the news broadcasts.
With Midge Ure of the band Ultravox, he wrote the hit charity single Do They Know it’s Christmas in December 1984, featuring a string of high-profile musicians.
Following the single’s success, the idea to stage a rock concert evolved.
Live Aid was a series of simultaneous concerts that took place at Wembley Stadium in London, John F Kennedy Stadium in Philadelphia, the US, and at various other venues across the world.
The combined event was broadcast to an estimated worldwide audience of 1.5 billion.

Match info

Arsenal 0

Manchester City 2
Sterling (14'), Bernardo Silva (64')

Updated: November 08, 2024, 5:17 PM`