Donald Trump's 2024 US election win: What do the charts and numbers tell us?


Fadah Jassem
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Latest updates: Follow our full coverage on the US election

Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

Trump made gains on all fronts

Donald Trump gained votes in nearly every state compared with the 2020 election, when he lost to Joe Biden. Mr Trump's strongest performances in 2024 were in states where he had significant support, further consolidating his base. In Florida and Utah, his margins over his Democratic rival Vice President Kamala Harris increased substantially, with his base strengthening its support.

Mr Trump’s campaign recaptured swing states, which were key to his victory. He won in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, maintaining a lead across all seven major battlegrounds. In 2020, Mr Biden managed to win six out of the seven swing states, with only North Carolina going to Mr Trump. The results of this election highlight a shift in voter sentiment, particularly in states traditionally known as the “blue wall”.

Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes, was crucial to Ms Harris's hopes of winning. Mr Trump was declared the winner in the state with 51 per cent of the vote, compared with 48 per cent for Ms Harris.

He also made important inroads in traditional democratic strongholds such as New York, where he closed the gap with Ms Harris by 12 points. These improvements in deep blue states suggest his outreach extended beyond traditional Republican regions.

Minorities swing to Trump

In another remarkable turn, the Republican Party received more votes from Hispanic, Asian and black voters than in 2020. Ms Harris only increased her vote share among over-65s and white college-educated women.

Support for Mr Trump increased more than 10 points among the Hispanic groups compared with 2020, particularly Hispanic men – up 18 points from 2020. In Florida’s Hispanic-majority counties, he increased his vote share by almost eight points compared with the election four years earlier.

The US black voter demographic, which consistently voted Democrat in the past, also leant slightly right. In this election, Mr Trump secured about 20 per cent of the black vote, according to an exit poll by AP, while in 2020, he only got 12 per cent of that vote.

In Dearborn, Michigan, Mr Trump seems to have won over many Arab-American voters, taking a traditionally safe Democratic bloc with 42.28 per cent going to Mr Trump, 36.26 per cent going to Ms Harris and 18.7 per cent going to third-party candidate Jill Stein. In a county where 55 per cent of the residents are of Middle Eastern heritage, the war in Gaza and Lebanon was a key issue, but Ms Harris tried to dodge it during her election campaign.

While minority support for Mr Trump surged, his largest voter bloc remained white men and women, especially non-college-educated white men, who constituted nearly 40 per cent of his base. This core demographic continues to provide him with substantial support.

Women voters on Trump

Despite early national exit polls showing Ms Harris won the support of 54 per cent of women, it is still lower than Mr Biden's tally in 2020, when he had the support of 57 per cent of women.

Mr Trump’s campaign secured incremental gains with women, especially among white and non-college-educated women, which contributed to his success in rural and suburban areas. The Democratic campaign hoped to gain more support from women, especially since this was the first election after the Supreme Court overturned the Roe v Wade ruling, ending a woman’s right to terminate a pregnancy, something Mr Trump and his party celebrated.

Generational divide narrows

A majority of younger voters across the US backed Ms Harris, but in the battleground state of Michigan, the Democrats lost significant backing from voters aged 18 to 29, the latest exit poll figures show.

In 2020, 61 per cent of Michigan voters in this age range supported Mr Biden, whereas only 46 per cent voted for Ms Harris, indicating some erosion of the Democratic hold on younger voters. Generation X ranked highest for Mr Trump – 54 per cent of voters aged 45 to 64 cast their ballot for Mr Trump.

But the Republican lost some support among older voters. In Wisconsin, he lost 11 percentage points in support from voters aged above 65, compared with 2020, while in Michigan, he lost six percentage points in support from that demographic.

Senate flips

The election also shifted the balance of power in the US Senate, with Republicans regaining control after four years of Democratic leadership. Of the 33 Senate seats contested, Republicans needed to flip just two to win a majority. They flipped three.

The five pillars of Islam
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Profile

Company: Libra Project

Based: Masdar City, ADGM, London and Delaware

Launch year: 2017

Size: A team of 12 with six employed full-time

Sector: Renewable energy

Funding: $500,000 in Series A funding from family and friends in 2018. A Series B round looking to raise $1.5m is now live.

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

 

Who has been sanctioned?

Daniella Weiss and Nachala
Described as 'the grandmother of the settler movement', she has encouraged the expansion of settlements for decades. The 79 year old leads radical settler movement Nachala, whose aim is for Israel to annex Gaza and the occupied West Bank, where it helps settlers built outposts.

Harel Libi & Libi Construction and Infrastructure
Libi has been involved in threatening and perpetuating acts of aggression and violence against Palestinians. His firm has provided logistical and financial support for the establishment of illegal outposts.

Zohar Sabah
Runs a settler outpost named Zohar’s Farm and has previously faced charges of violence against Palestinians. He was indicted by Israel’s State Attorney’s Office in September for allegedly participating in a violent attack against Palestinians and activists in the West Bank village of Muarrajat.

Coco’s Farm and Neria’s Farm
These are illegal outposts in the West Bank, which are at the vanguard of the settler movement. According to the UK, they are associated with people who have been involved in enabling, inciting, promoting or providing support for activities that amount to “serious abuse”.

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The specs

Engine: 0.8-litre four cylinder

Power: 70bhp

Torque: 66Nm

Transmission: four-speed manual

Price: $1,075 new in 1967, now valued at $40,000

On sale: Models from 1966 to 1970

The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting 

2. Prayer 

3. Hajj 

4. Shahada 

5. Zakat 

The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting

2. Prayer

3. Hajj

4. Shahada

5. Zakat 

Six large-scale objects on show
  • Concrete wall and windows from the now demolished Robin Hood Gardens housing estate in Poplar
  • The 17th Century Agra Colonnade, from the bathhouse of the fort of Agra in India
  • A stagecloth for The Ballet Russes that is 10m high – the largest Picasso in the world
  • Frank Lloyd Wright’s 1930s Kaufmann Office
  • A full-scale Frankfurt Kitchen designed by Margarete Schütte-Lihotzky, which transformed kitchen design in the 20th century
  • Torrijos Palace dome
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Dust and sand storms compared

Sand storm

  • Particle size: Larger, heavier sand grains
  • Visibility: Often dramatic with thick "walls" of sand
  • Duration: Short-lived, typically localised
  • Travel distance: Limited 
  • Source: Open desert areas with strong winds

Dust storm

  • Particle size: Much finer, lightweight particles
  • Visibility: Hazy skies but less intense
  • Duration: Can linger for days
  • Travel distance: Long-range, up to thousands of kilometres
  • Source: Can be carried from distant regions
War and the virus
FA Cup fifth round draw

Sheffield Wednesday v Manchester City
Reading/Cardiff City v Sheffield United
Chelsea v Shrewsbury Town/Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion v Newcastle United/Oxford United
Leicester City v Coventry City/Birmingham City
Northampton Town/Derby County v Manchester United
Southampton/Tottenham Hotspur v Norwich City
Portsmouth v Arsenal 

Long read

Mageed Yahia, director of WFP in UAE: Coronavirus knows no borders, and neither should the response

The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

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The Bio

Amal likes watching Japanese animation movies and Manga - her favourite is The Ancient Magus Bride

She is the eldest of 11 children, and has four brothers and six sisters.

Her dream is to meet with all of her friends online from around the world who supported her work throughout the years

Her favourite meal is pizza and stuffed vine leaves

She ams to improve her English and learn Japanese, which many animated programmes originate in

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

Electoral College Victory

Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate. 

 

Popular Vote Tally

The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.

Updated: November 08, 2024, 3:20 AM`