Keir Starmer delivers bleak winter forecast before things improve in Britain


Thomas Harding
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Britain’s problems are going to take a long time to fix, with the public being warned by the Labour Prime Minister to prepare for “painful” times ahead.

In his first major speech since his election last month, Keir Starmer drew a bleak picture of a country ravaged by riots and scarred by economic inertia.

Britain's problems were such, he suggested, that it would take at least a decade to fix, laying the foundation for unpalatable choices in the near term to win the next election in five years.

Worse before better

By painting the Conservative’s 14 years in power as “a decade of decline” and highlighting an apparent £22 billion black hole in government finances, Mr Starmer is attempting to embed in the public’s mind the chaos of Tory rule.

That claim was made more emblematic in the flowered surroundings of Downing Street’s Rose Garden which became notorious for hosting lockdown parties under Boris Johnson’s rule.

That demonstrated “how far we have fallen” as a country with the fault lines shown not only by the financial shortfalls, he said, but also by the “societal black hole” exposed by the anti-immigration riots across Britain earlier this month. “Things are worse than we ever imagined,” he said.

He did not shy away from telling the British public that their lives are about to be challenged in the coming months as “things are going to get worse before they get better”.

Taxpayers will have to prepare themselves for a “painful” budget at the end of October when it’s expected that taxes will rise and benefits cut.

Anti-immigration protestors set fire to an asylum seekers hotel in Rotherham. Reuters
Anti-immigration protestors set fire to an asylum seekers hotel in Rotherham. Reuters

The new Labour government looks like it is taking a leaf out of former Conservative chancellor George Osborne’s playbook when commencing government in 2010 with a host of painful public spending cuts that heralded the austerity era.

Labour’s plan appears to be similar in making the difficult decisions in its first years before reaping the benefits in the run-up to the next election.

“We will not shy away from unpopular decisions if they are right for the country in the long term,” Mr Starmer said.

Budget pains

Preparing the country for a probable budget of tax rises, public spending cuts and benefits curtailment to balance the budget, he argued that “we have no other choice, given the situation that we’re in”.

“Those with the broadest shoulders should bear the heavier burden,” he warned adding that was “why we’re cracking down on non-doms”, referring to Britons whose homes for tax purposes are outside the UK.

Former British prime minister Rishi Sunak after losing the July 4 election. Bloomberg
Former British prime minister Rishi Sunak after losing the July 4 election. Bloomberg

Referencing the economic hardships already suffered after the Covid-19 lockdowns and ensuing economic woe, he pleaded for a “big ask” of the country “to accept short-term pain for long-term good”.

Mr Starmer also defended the decision to give generous pay increases to doctors and rail unions to end their strikes, stating that the economy would not grow if people could not get to work or see a doctor

Riots and prisons

Most commentators agree that Mr Starmer showed strong leadership in tackling the unrest that swept the UK this month by rapidly moving to arrest and jail rioters.

That swift action, alongside big counter-racism demonstrations, largely curtailed the disturbances but Mr Starmer was again keen to emphasise his predecessor Rishi Sunak’s government’s failings that had allowed prisons to become almost full.

Mr Starmer spoke of his “shock” of sitting in the daily Cobra national emergency meetings with a list of where there were prison places across the country “trying to work out with how we deal with the disorder” with the deterrence of rapid imprisonments.

He added that the riots, which saw asylum seeker hotels set on fire, “didn’t happen in a vacuum” and had exposed “a deeply unhealthy society”.

Britain built to last

With his words sparsely offering optimism, Mr Starmer strove to end with some uplifting language.

While change would not happen “overnight” and issues had to be tackled at their “root” once the reforms had been made, Britain would be a country “built to last”.

The government would focus on growing the economy, which would be helped by fixing Britain’s beleaguered transport system and National Health Service.

However, there is some criticism that Mr Starmer did not highlight Britain’s apparent dire state and the likelihood of greater taxation during the general election campaign.

Although he has a substantial majority, MPs will now have to explain to their constituents why things have to be bad before they become good.

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Common OCD symptoms and how they manifest

Checking: the obsession or thoughts focus on some harm coming from things not being as they should, which usually centre around the theme of safety. For example, the obsession is “the building will burn down”, therefore the compulsion is checking that the oven is switched off.

Contamination: the obsession is focused on the presence of germs, dirt or harmful bacteria and how this will impact the person and/or their loved ones. For example, the obsession is “the floor is dirty; me and my family will get sick and die”, the compulsion is repetitive cleaning.

Orderliness: the obsession is a fear of sitting with uncomfortable feelings, or to prevent harm coming to oneself or others. Objectively there appears to be no logical link between the obsession and compulsion. For example,” I won’t feel right if the jars aren’t lined up” or “harm will come to my family if I don’t line up all the jars”, so the compulsion is therefore lining up the jars.

Intrusive thoughts: the intrusive thought is usually highly distressing and repetitive. Common examples may include thoughts of perpetrating violence towards others, harming others, or questions over one’s character or deeds, usually in conflict with the person’s true values. An example would be: “I think I might hurt my family”, which in turn leads to the compulsion of avoiding social gatherings.

Hoarding: the intrusive thought is the overvaluing of objects or possessions, while the compulsion is stashing or hoarding these items and refusing to let them go. For example, “this newspaper may come in useful one day”, therefore, the compulsion is hoarding newspapers instead of discarding them the next day.

Source: Dr Robert Chandler, clinical psychologist at Lighthouse Arabia

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AI traffic lights to ease congestion at seven points to Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Street

The seven points are:

Shakhbout bin Sultan Street

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Rabdan Street

Umm Yifina Street exit (inbound)

Attacks on Egypt’s long rooted Copts

Egypt’s Copts belong to one of the world’s oldest Christian communities, with Mark the Evangelist credited with founding their church around 300 AD. Orthodox Christians account for the overwhelming majority of Christians in Egypt, with the rest mainly made up of Greek Orthodox, Catholics and Anglicans.

The community accounts for some 10 per cent of Egypt’s 100 million people, with the largest concentrations of Christians found in Cairo, Alexandria and the provinces of Minya and Assiut south of Cairo.

Egypt’s Christians have had a somewhat turbulent history in the Muslim majority Arab nation, with the community occasionally suffering outright persecution but generally living in peace with their Muslim compatriots. But radical Muslims who have first emerged in the 1970s have whipped up anti-Christian sentiments, something that has, in turn, led to an upsurge in attacks against their places of worship, church-linked facilities as well as their businesses and homes.

More recently, ISIS has vowed to go after the Christians, claiming responsibility for a series of attacks against churches packed with worshippers starting December 2016.

The discrimination many Christians complain about and the shift towards religious conservatism by many Egyptian Muslims over the last 50 years have forced hundreds of thousands of Christians to migrate, starting new lives in growing communities in places as far afield as Australia, Canada and the United States.

Here is a look at major attacks against Egypt's Coptic Christians in recent years:

November 2: Masked gunmen riding pickup trucks opened fire on three buses carrying pilgrims to the remote desert monastery of St. Samuel the Confessor south of Cairo, killing 7 and wounding about 20. IS claimed responsibility for the attack.

May 26, 2017: Masked militants riding in three all-terrain cars open fire on a bus carrying pilgrims on their way to the Monastery of St. Samuel the Confessor, killing 29 and wounding 22. ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack.

April 2017Twin attacks by suicide bombers hit churches in the coastal city of Alexandria and the Nile Delta city of Tanta. At least 43 people are killed and scores of worshippers injured in the Palm Sunday attack, which narrowly missed a ceremony presided over by Pope Tawadros II, spiritual leader of Egypt Orthodox Copts, in Alexandria's St. Mark's Cathedral. ISIS claimed responsibility for the attacks.

February 2017: Hundreds of Egyptian Christians flee their homes in the northern part of the Sinai Peninsula, fearing attacks by ISIS. The group's North Sinai affiliate had killed at least seven Coptic Christians in the restive peninsula in less than a month.

December 2016A bombing at a chapel adjacent to Egypt's main Coptic Christian cathedral in Cairo kills 30 people and wounds dozens during Sunday Mass in one of the deadliest attacks carried out against the religious minority in recent memory. ISIS claimed responsibility.

July 2016Pope Tawadros II says that since 2013 there were 37 sectarian attacks on Christians in Egypt, nearly one incident a month. A Muslim mob stabs to death a 27-year-old Coptic Christian man, Fam Khalaf, in the central city of Minya over a personal feud.

May 2016: A Muslim mob ransacks and torches seven Christian homes in Minya after rumours spread that a Christian man had an affair with a Muslim woman. The elderly mother of the Christian man was stripped naked and dragged through a street by the mob.

New Year's Eve 2011A bomb explodes in a Coptic Christian church in Alexandria as worshippers leave after a midnight mass, killing more than 20 people.

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

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Starring: Jeremy Allen White, Odessa Young, Jeremy Strong

Rating: 4/5

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Esperance: Belaili 38’
Guadalajara: Sandoval 5’

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Islamophobia definition

A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.

Strait of Hormuz

Fujairah is a crucial hub for fuel storage and is just outside the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route linking Middle East oil producers to markets in Asia, Europe, North America and beyond.

The strait is 33 km wide at its narrowest point, but the shipping lane is just three km wide in either direction. Almost a fifth of oil consumed across the world passes through the strait.

Iran has repeatedly threatened to close the strait, a move that would risk inviting geopolitical and economic turmoil.

Last month, Iran issued a new warning that it would block the strait, if it was prevented from using the waterway following a US decision to end exemptions from sanctions for major Iranian oil importers.

Price, base / as tested From Dh173,775 (base model)
Engine 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo, AWD
Power 249hp at 5,500rpm
Torque 365Nm at 1,300-4,500rpm
Gearbox Nine-speed auto
Fuel economy, combined 7.9L/100km

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Updated: August 27, 2024, 2:28 PM