The Gulf can play a leading role in the distribution of humanitarian aid and a better world can be born from the “ashes” of global conflict, an Abu Dhabi forum heard on Monday.
Leaders in humanitarian aid gathered in the capital for the Aid Foresight Programme, a series of masterclasses on the UAE's humanitarian leadership presented by globally renowned experts, launched at the Zayed Foundation.
Public policy experts warned that geopolitical disruption, demographic shifts and collapsing trade norms are forcing nations to rethink how they give aid, build new alliances and defend humanitarian values
“This world is changing very fast,” Bart Fonteyne, a senior adviser in development and humanitarian aid at Hyphen, told The National. “What we thought 10 years ago is now completely different.”
He described the election of US President Donald Trump as “the biggest geopolitical disruption of this era”, adding that it marked the end of the US's role as the “beneficial hegemon” that once upheld the post-Cold War order.
How have times changed?
Mr Fonteyne said that the US used to be the “driver of the international world order” but that now Mr Trump is “withdrawing hard power” and is less interested in the “well-being of the world”. He added that European powers have to “become more strategic and geopolitical” or they risk not having a “seat at the table”.
On Gaza, he was clear in his condemnation of the unfolding humanitarian catastrophe, yet insisted there is still room for long-term optimism. “It is unbelievable, a total war-crime scene, and the whole world is watching,” said Mr Fonteyne.
“[But] the world has only got better over the last 200 years. Out of the ashes of world wars, a better world was built. I can only hope the same for the crises in Sudan and Gaza – that finally the Palestinian people will get their future … Humankind has always shown the ability to overcome. Don’t despair. In the end, it does get better. I have faith in humanity.”
How can the UAE contribute?
There is also hope, Mr Fonteyne said, because Gulf states have proved their huge potential to lead global diplomatic efforts − seen most notably in the Emirates and Qatar with recent crises in mind.
He urged the UAE to continue to “forge partnerships in development aid with Western countries where capital is shifting to defence” while creating “partnerships of equality with developing countries”.
Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, a trade policy expert and senior fellow at the London School of Economics' Trade Policy Hub, agreed and noted the growing importance of the Gulf on the international stage. “The region, and especially the UAE, is becoming more important than ever,” he said. “That also means there are great responsibilities.”
He added that GCC states “need to balance co-operation with the US” while making new partners elsewhere. Mr Lee-Makiyama also pointed to China’s Belt and Road Initiative as forward planning “to make sure that there will be new customers in the future”, citing Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and sub-Saharan Africa as potential growth regions.
“The world is actually coming to the UAE,” he added. “It has positioned itself as one of the most interesting countries in the region. There is a reason why the European Union has decided to negotiate a free-trade agreement with the UAE as the first Gulf country.”
How can aid distribution be improved?
Earlier this year, the Trump administration moved to cut $5 billion in foreign aid. Cuts include some $3 billion allocated in funding for USAID and $900 million in State Department funds. Some $800 million allocated for international peacekeeping operations and more than $300 million to encourage democratic values in other countries were also among the cuts.
The fallout from this highlighted the need, perhaps more than ever before, to maintain a strong international structure for aid agencies to operate in.
Barry McManus, a defence expert who has advised leaders across the UK, US and Nato for more than 40 years, said the UAE has the potential to forge a new role for itself in the changing global landscape.
He described the Emirates as “one of the few places, not just in the region, but around the world, where there is an active approach to developing new ways of doing business, new thoughts, new innovative approaches to bring government better together in its approach to the nation and to the region”.
He said the country’s aid philosophy treats assistance as “a start part to a future process of improvement” focused on “long-term resilience for those people who are getting aid”.
Traditional approaches, he noted, “have been almost transactional”, whereas the UAE integrates government ministries, NGOs and international partners to deliver “a more integrated package of support”.
An important element, Mr McManus added, is the inclusion of defence capabilities. “Defence entities have unique abilities to not just provide aid, but to do development work – medical, engineering, logistics, communications, teaching,” he said.
“The approach here is to rethink how defence works with foreign affairs, education and health to deliver an aid package that is not just relief but something longer term.”
The Aid Foresight Programme was announced recently by the International Humanitarian and Philanthropic Council, the Office of Development Affairs and the Presidential Court.
The five-day programme covers a wide range of topics, including innovation and leadership, innovation in government, data and analytics in development and humanitarian aid, developments in Africa, East Asia and Latin America, partnerships and resources, climate and health diplomacy, innovative financing and the impact of geopolitical shifts on aid.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The alternatives
• Founded in 2014, Telr is a payment aggregator and gateway with an office in Silicon Oasis. It’s e-commerce entry plan costs Dh349 monthly (plus VAT). QR codes direct customers to an online payment page and merchants can generate payments through messaging apps.
• Business Bay’s Pallapay claims 40,000-plus active merchants who can invoice customers and receive payment by card. Fees range from 1.99 per cent plus Dh1 per transaction depending on payment method and location, such as online or via UAE mobile.
• Tap started in May 2013 in Kuwait, allowing Middle East businesses to bill, accept, receive and make payments online “easier, faster and smoother” via goSell and goCollect. It supports more than 10,000 merchants. Monthly fees range from US$65-100, plus card charges of 2.75-3.75 per cent and Dh1.2 per sale.
• 2checkout’s “all-in-one payment gateway and merchant account” accepts payments in 200-plus markets for 2.4-3.9 per cent, plus a Dh1.2-Dh1.8 currency conversion charge. The US provider processes online shop and mobile transactions and has 17,000-plus active digital commerce users.
• PayPal is probably the best-known online goods payment method - usually used for eBay purchases - but can be used to receive funds, providing everyone’s signed up. Costs from 2.9 per cent plus Dh1.2 per transaction.
The bio
Date of Birth: April 25, 1993
Place of Birth: Dubai, UAE
Marital Status: Single
School: Al Sufouh in Jumeirah, Dubai
University: Emirates Airline National Cadet Programme and Hamdan University
Job Title: Pilot, First Officer
Number of hours flying in a Boeing 777: 1,200
Number of flights: Approximately 300
Hobbies: Exercising
Nicest destination: Milan, New Zealand, Seattle for shopping
Least nice destination: Kabul, but someone has to do it. It’s not scary but at least you can tick the box that you’ve been
Favourite place to visit: Dubai, there’s no place like home
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Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cylinder turbo
Power: 240hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 390Nm at 3,000rpm
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Price: from Dh122,745
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Business Insights
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- SMEs with revenue below Dh3 million per annum can opt for transitional relief until 2026, treating them as having no taxable income.
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ENGLAND SQUAD
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Wicked: For Good
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A Long Way Home by Peter Carey
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Tuesday's fixtures
Kyrgyzstan v Qatar, 5.45pm
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Washmen Profile
Date Started: May 2015
Founders: Rami Shaar and Jad Halaoui
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Laundry
Employees: 170
Funding: about $8m
Funders: Addventure, B&Y Partners, Clara Ventures, Cedar Mundi Partners, Henkel Ventures
Schedule for Asia Cup
Sept 15: Bangladesh v Sri Lanka (Dubai)
Sept 16: Pakistan v Qualifier (Dubai)
Sept 17: Sri Lanka v Afghanistan (Abu Dhabi)
Sept 18: India v Qualifier (Dubai)
Sept 19: India v Pakistan (Dubai)
Sept 20: Bangladesh v Afghanistan (Abu Dhabi) Super Four
Sept 21: Group A Winner v Group B Runner-up (Dubai)
Sept 21: Group B Winner v Group A Runner-up (Abu Dhabi)
Sept 23: Group A Winner v Group A Runner-up (Dubai)
Sept 23: Group B Winner v Group B Runner-up (Abu Dhabi)
Sept 25: Group A Winner v Group B Winner (Dubai)
Sept 26: Group A Runner-up v Group B Runner-up (Abu Dhabi)
Sept 28: Final (Dubai)
88 Video's most popular rentals
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Sholay: a 1975 Indian action-adventure film. It follows the adventures of two criminals hired by police to catch a vagabond. The film was panned on release but is now considered a classic.
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Red flags
- Promises of high, fixed or 'guaranteed' returns.
- Unregulated structured products or complex investments often used to bypass traditional safeguards.
- Lack of clear information, vague language, no access to audited financials.
- Overseas companies targeting investors in other jurisdictions - this can make legal recovery difficult.
- Hard-selling tactics - creating urgency, offering 'exclusive' deals.
Courtesy: Carol Glynn, founder of Conscious Finance Coaching
No Shame
Lily Allen
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Stage 3 results
1 Adam Yates (GBR) Mitchelton-Scott 4:42:33
2 Tadej Pocagar (SLO) UAE Team Emirates 0:01:03
3 Alexey Lutsenko (KAZ) Astana 0:01:30
4 David Gaudu (FRA) Groupama-FDJ
5 Rafal Majka (POL) Bora-Hansgrohe
6 Diego Ulissi (ITA) UAE Team Emirates 0:01:56
General Classification after Stage 3:
1 Adam Yates (GBR) Mitchelton-Scott 12:30:02
2 Tadej Pocagar (SLO) UAE Team Emirates 0:01:07
3 Alexey Lutsenko (KAZ) Astana 0:01:35
4 David Gaudu (FRA) Groupama-FDJ 0:01:40
5 Rafal Majka (POL) Bora-Hansgrohe
6 Wilco Kelderman (NED) Team Sunweb) 0:02:06
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The biog
From: Upper Egypt
Age: 78
Family: a daughter in Egypt; a son in Dubai and his wife, Nabila
Favourite Abu Dhabi activity: walking near to Emirates Palace
Favourite building in Abu Dhabi: Emirates Palace
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Without Remorse
Directed by: Stefano Sollima
Starring: Michael B Jordan
4/5
