The US has completed the deployment of F-15E fighter-bombers to the Middle East. US Air Force Photo
The US has completed the deployment of F-15E fighter-bombers to the Middle East. US Air Force Photo
The US has completed the deployment of F-15E fighter-bombers to the Middle East. US Air Force Photo
The US has completed the deployment of F-15E fighter-bombers to the Middle East. US Air Force Photo

Can US reinforcements in the Middle East deter Iran's next strike on Israel?


Robert Tollast
  • English
  • Arabic

Live updates: Follow the latest on Israel-Gaza

The US has completed a deployment of B-52 bombers and F-15E fighter-bombers to the Middle East, while additional warships are en route to the region, ahead of the next expected flare-up of violence between Iran and Israel.

It is feared the latest clashes could drag in US forces after threats by Iran-backed militias in Iraq to escalate against them, possibly using Iraqi soil for missile strikes on Israel.

The deployment comes on US election day, when some fear Iran might strike before the formation of the next government and any clear policy from Washington on the crisis. Pentagon spokesman Air Force Maj Gen Patrick Ryder said the deployment was specifically aimed at deterring Iran “and its partners”.

According to Farzin Nadhimi, an expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy think tank, Iran’s promised retaliation for Israel’s October 26 air strike could occur on Tuesday and comprise hundreds more ballistic missiles aimed at “disabling major Israeli air bases”, he wrote on social media platform X.

Security sources told The Jerusalem Post that Israel had “reinforced its detection, warning, air defence, intelligence and operational systems”.

Missiles being launched during a joint military drill named the Great Prophet 17 in the south-west of Iran in December. AFP
Missiles being launched during a joint military drill named the Great Prophet 17 in the south-west of Iran in December. AFP

“The military build-up of American air assets in US Centcom’s area of operation aligns with previous US moves to strengthen its deterrent posture and counterstrike capability, including deploying THAAD batteries and aircraft carrier strike groups,” says Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco, an independent expert on Middle East security.

“However, deploying additional forces has so far failed to achieve its core goals: restoring deterrence and dissuading Iran from climbing the escalation ladder. From a US standpoint, the pre-positioning of F-15 aircraft and B-52 strategic bombers in the Middle East serves symbolic and tactical ends. On the symbolic level, it represents Washington's umpteenth effort to reinforce a shaky deterrence equation with Iran and the members of the Tehran-backed ‘Axis of Resistance',” says Mr Mazzucco.

Wider conflict

Iran-allied Iraqi militias in the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) are expected to join the assault, possibly leading to Israeli counterstrikes there, although the groups launch many attacks from Syria as part of the “Axis of Resistance”, which includes Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen.

The Iraqi militias have also issued threats against US bases in Iraq, with Ali Al Asadi, the spokesman for Hezbollah Harakat Al Nujaba – one of the most radical factions – renewing threats to US forces in Iraq. The group is part of the Islamic Resistance, a coalition within the PMF formed after the start of the October 7 Israel-Gaza war.

Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces stage a military parade in Diyala province. Reuters
Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces stage a military parade in Diyala province. Reuters

Attacks on US forces by the group have on occasion provoked US counter strikes, including a wave of 85 air strikes in February which killed and injured scores of PMF fighters, following a deadly drone strike on US forces in Jordan the previous mont claimed by the factions.

The US is now primed for what Centcom calls self-defensive strikes, with the B-52s capable of carrying 20 stealthy AGM-158 cruise missiles with a 1,000km range, last used in a barrage against Syria in 2018. The US has sent six of the aircraft.

F-15Es are known for their ability as fighters, including high manoeuvrability, but can also carry up to 15 precision bombs. They join another squadron that deployed in September, alongside squadrons of A-10 Warthogs and F-16s. Each squadron has roughly 12 aircraft, but while the US has disclosed reinforcements, there is no detail on current totals in the region.

The deployments come while the US has no aircraft carrier in the region, amid operations in the Pacific and scheduled maintenance of the ships that represent Washington’s most powerful offshore strike capability.

Experts have highlighted how A-10s could use their guns, capable of firing nearly 4,000 cannon rounds per minute, against Iranian attack boats which might “swarm” US ships in a conflict.

The deployments signal that the US is accutely aware of its vulnerabilities in the region.

"There’s a strong possibility that Iran’s response could be one of its most consequential actions against Israel yet, potentially escalating tensions in a dangerous new direction. If Iran decides to launch a significant series of ballistic missile attacks to weaken Israeli Air Force (IAF) infrastructure or operational capacity — as Israel has degraded Iran’s air defense and missile capabilities in their recent strikes — this could trigger an intense cycle of retaliatory strikes," says Freddy Khoueiry, Global Security Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa at RANE Risk Intelligence.

"Given Israel’s likely response, matching or even exceeding the force of Iran's actions, a sustained conflict of escalation could quickly unfold. This time, Iran appears to be strategically focusing on reducing Israel’s capabilities including its air power, rather than just inflicting limited physical damage on air bases, as a way to reestablish deterrence," he says.

A grab from an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps video in November 2021 shows an Iranian soldier on a jet boat in front of a US warship during the seizure of a Vietnam-flagged oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman. EPA
A grab from an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps video in November 2021 shows an Iranian soldier on a jet boat in front of a US warship during the seizure of a Vietnam-flagged oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman. EPA

An escalation on that scale would create a serious security dilemma for the US, Mr Mazzuco says.

“On the tactical dimension, the US is responding to the imperative of being prepared should Israel-Iran escalation reach new heights or, worse, conflagrate into an all-out war."

“As forward-deployed assets alone cannot rebuild deterrence, they should be meaningfully supported by back-channel negotiations. The fact that Israel's October 26 air military operation did not target Iranian energy and nuclear facilities but was limited to military sites suggests that the US still retains some capacity to pressure belligerent parties to keep the conflict at the lower ends of the escalation ladder.”

He warns however, that if the current reinforcements fail to deter Iran, Washington will need to muster more forces “to nudge the Middle East region away from the abyss of war”. This will pose a fresh challenge to Washington ahead of post-election government formation, especially since there is not a strong appetite for deeper US involvement in the regional war.

Winners

Best Men's Player of the Year: Kylian Mbappe (PSG)

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TikTok Fans’ Player of the Year: Robert Lewandowski

Top Goal Scorer of All Time: Cristiano Ronaldo (Manchester United)

Best Women's Player of the Year: Alexia Putellas (Barcelona)

Best Men's Club of the Year: Chelsea

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Best Defender of the Year: Leonardo Bonucci (Juventus/Italy)

Best Goalkeeper of the Year: Gianluigi Donnarumma (PSG/Italy)

Best Coach of the Year: Roberto Mancini (Italy)

Best National Team of the Year: Italy 

Best Agent of the Year: Federico Pastorello

Best Sporting Director of the Year: Txiki Begiristain (Manchester City)

Player Career Award: Ronaldinho

Pharaoh's curse

British aristocrat Lord Carnarvon, who funded the expedition to find the Tutankhamun tomb, died in a Cairo hotel four months after the crypt was opened.
He had been in poor health for many years after a car crash, and a mosquito bite made worse by a shaving cut led to blood poisoning and pneumonia.
Reports at the time said Lord Carnarvon suffered from “pain as the inflammation affected the nasal passages and eyes”.
Decades later, scientists contended he had died of aspergillosis after inhaling spores of the fungus aspergillus in the tomb, which can lie dormant for months. The fact several others who entered were also found dead withiin a short time led to the myth of the curse.

Company profile

Name: Dukkantek 

Started: January 2021 

Founders: Sanad Yaghi, Ali Al Sayegh and Shadi Joulani 

Based: UAE 

Number of employees: 140 

Sector: B2B Vertical SaaS(software as a service) 

Investment: $5.2 million 

Funding stage: Seed round 

Investors: Global Founders Capital, Colle Capital Partners, Wamda Capital, Plug and Play, Comma Capital, Nowais Capital, Annex Investments and AMK Investment Office  

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SolarWinds supply chain attack: Came to light in December 2020 but had taken root for several months, compromising major tech companies, governments and its entities

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Log4j breach: December 2021; attackers exploited the Java-written code to inflitrate businesses and governments

The low down

Producers: Uniglobe Entertainment & Vision Films

Director: Namrata Singh Gujral

Cast: Rajkummar Rao, Nargis Fakhri, Bo Derek, Candy Clark

Rating: 2/5

World ranking (at month’s end)
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Feb - 198
Mar - 159
Apr - 161
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Currently: 88

Year-end rank since turning pro
2016 - 279
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Tearful appearance

Chancellor Rachel Reeves set markets on edge as she appeared visibly distraught in parliament on Wednesday. 

Legislative setbacks for the government have blown a new hole in the budgetary calculations at a time when the deficit is stubbornly large and the economy is struggling to grow. 

She appeared with Keir Starmer on Thursday and the pair embraced, but he had failed to give her his backing as she cried a day earlier.

A spokesman said her upset demeanour was due to a personal matter.

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The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Power: 510hp at 9,000rpm
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
Transmission: 7-speed PDK auto or 6-speed manual
Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
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THE SPECS

      

 

Engine: 1.5-litre

 

Transmission: 6-speed automatic

 

Power: 110 horsepower 

 

Torque: 147Nm 

 

Price: From Dh59,700 

 

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The specs
  • Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
  • Power: 640hp
  • Torque: 760nm
  • On sale: 2026
  • Price: Not announced yet
Porsche Taycan Turbo specs

Engine: Two permanent-magnet synchronous AC motors

Transmission: two-speed

Power: 671hp

Torque: 1050Nm

Range: 450km

Price: Dh601,800

On sale: now

The Old Slave and the Mastiff

Patrick Chamoiseau

Translated from the French and Creole by Linda Coverdale

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2025 Fifa Club World Cup groups

Group A: Palmeiras, Porto, Al Ahly, Inter Miami.

Group B: Paris Saint-Germain, Atletico Madrid, Botafogo, Seattle.

Group C: Bayern Munich, Auckland City, Boca Juniors, Benfica.

Group D: Flamengo, ES Tunis, Chelsea, Leon.

Group E: River Plate, Urawa, Monterrey, Inter Milan.

Group F: Fluminense, Borussia Dortmund, Ulsan, Mamelodi Sundowns.

Group G: Manchester City, Wydad, Al Ain, Juventus.

Group H: Real Madrid, Al Hilal, Pachuca, Salzburg.

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European arms

Known EU weapons transfers to Ukraine since the war began: Germany 1,000 anti-tank weapons and 500 Stinger surface-to-air missiles. Luxembourg 100 NLAW anti-tank weapons, jeeps and 15 military tents as well as air transport capacity. Belgium 2,000 machine guns, 3,800 tons of fuel. Netherlands 200 Stinger missiles. Poland 100 mortars, 8 drones, Javelin anti-tank weapons, Grot assault rifles, munitions. Slovakia 12,000 pieces of artillery ammunition, 10 million litres of fuel, 2.4 million litres of aviation fuel and 2 Bozena de-mining systems. Estonia Javelin anti-tank weapons.  Latvia Stinger surface to air missiles. Czech Republic machine guns, assault rifles, other light weapons and ammunition worth $8.57 million.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
GAC GS8 Specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo

Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km

On sale: Now

Price: From Dh149,900

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Titanium Escrow profile

Started: December 2016
Founder: Ibrahim Kamalmaz
Based: UAE
Sector: Finance / legal
Size: 3 employees, pre-revenue  
Stage: Early stage
Investors: Founder's friends and Family

From Zero

Artist: Linkin Park

Label: Warner Records

Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

Mina Cup winners

Under 12 – Minerva Academy

Under 14 – Unam Pumas

Under 16 – Fursan Hispania

Under 18 – Madenat

Labour dispute

The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.


- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law 

WHAT IS A BLACK HOLE?

1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull

2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight

3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge

4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own

5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed

What is graphene?

Graphene is a single layer of carbon atoms arranged like honeycomb.

It was discovered in 2004, when Russian-born Manchester scientists Andrei Geim and Kostya Novoselov were "playing about" with sticky tape and graphite - the material used as "lead" in pencils.

Placing the tape on the graphite and peeling it, they managed to rip off thin flakes of carbon. In the beginning they got flakes consisting of many layers of graphene. But as they repeated the process many times, the flakes got thinner.

By separating the graphite fragments repeatedly, they managed to create flakes that were just one atom thick. Their experiment had led to graphene being isolated for the very first time.

At the time, many believed it was impossible for such thin crystalline materials to be stable. But examined under a microscope, the material remained stable, and when tested was found to have incredible properties.

It is many times times stronger than steel, yet incredibly lightweight and flexible. It is electrically and thermally conductive but also transparent. The world's first 2D material, it is one million times thinner than the diameter of a single human hair.

But the 'sticky tape' method would not work on an industrial scale. Since then, scientists have been working on manufacturing graphene, to make use of its incredible properties.

In 2010, Geim and Novoselov were awarded the Nobel Prize for Physics. Their discovery meant physicists could study a new class of two-dimensional materials with unique properties. 

 

What's in the deal?

Agreement aims to boost trade by £25.5bn a year in the long run, compared with a total of £42.6bn in 2024

India will slash levies on medical devices, machinery, cosmetics, soft drinks and lamb.

India will also cut automotive tariffs to 10% under a quota from over 100% currently.

Indian employees in the UK will receive three years exemption from social security payments

India expects 99% of exports to benefit from zero duty, raising opportunities for textiles, marine products, footwear and jewellery

The specs

Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder MHEV

Power: 360bhp

Torque: 500Nm

Transmission: eight-speed automatic

Price: from Dh282,870

On sale: now

MATCH INFO

 

Maratha Arabians 107-8 (10 ovs)

Lyth 21, Lynn 20, McClenaghan 20 no

Qalandars 60-4 (10 ovs)

Malan 32 no, McClenaghan 2-9

Maratha Arabians win by 47 runs

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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The specs: 2018 Infiniti QX80

Price: base / as tested: Dh335,000

Engine: 5.6-litre V8

Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic

Power: 400hp @ 5,800rpm

Torque: 560Nm @ 4,000rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 12.1L / 100km

MATCH INFO

Manchester City 3 (Silva 8' &15, Foden 33')

Birmginahm City 0

Man of the match Bernado Silva (Manchester City)

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The biog

Born: Kuwait in 1986
Family: She is the youngest of seven siblings
Time in the UAE: 10 years
Hobbies: audiobooks and fitness: she works out every day, enjoying kickboxing and basketball

Updated: November 06, 2024, 4:43 AM`