A polling station is set up at a school in Tiruvannamalai, in India's southern Tamil Nadu state. Reuters
A polling station is set up at a school in Tiruvannamalai, in India's southern Tamil Nadu state. Reuters
A polling station is set up at a school in Tiruvannamalai, in India's southern Tamil Nadu state. Reuters
A polling station is set up at a school in Tiruvannamalai, in India's southern Tamil Nadu state. Reuters

How backroom strategists are scripting India’s election 2024 battle


  • English
  • Arabic

As India’s general election gets under way, campaign strategists are busy managing every move of their political parties and candidates as they work to woo voters.

Nowhere is this more evident than in the two-storey bungalow in New Delhi known as the "Central War Room", which has become the nerve centre for the main opposition party, the Indian National Congress.

Congress, which leads the multiparty INDIA alliance, is taking on Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party, which leads the National Democratic Alliance.

The contest for the votes of nearly 970 million people will last for six weeks, until June 1, with the count taking place on June 4.

In the Central War Room, about 100 professionals led by the former civil servant Sasikanth Senthil work day and night to stop Mr Modi from winning a third consecutive term.

They receive feedback and data from 45 state-level units, as well as candidates and party workers, two people associated with the campaign said.

Rahul Gandhi, senior leader of India's main opposition Congress party, waves to supporters at an election campaign rally. Reuters
Rahul Gandhi, senior leader of India's main opposition Congress party, waves to supporters at an election campaign rally. Reuters

The party's in-house poll strategist Sunil Kanugolu, who is credited for Congress wins in Karnataka and Telangana states, gives input and strategic suggestions directly to the party leadership after conducting field surveys and research with his team.

With the input from Mr Kanugolu's team and Central War Room, the Congress party’s senior leadership makes its major decisions, from campaign themes and the manifesto, to how to manage resources and select candidates. The party has other war rooms for publicity and social media.

"Unlike the BJP, which deploys many agencies to get feedback, we get most of our information and data from our state units and party leaders," said Gokul Butail, vice chairman of the Central War Room.

"Through our state-level war rooms, we are suggesting ways to make unemployment and price rises key issues, activate party workers and manage biased media."

The party has identified about 250 target seats where it believes it can challenge the BJP, and is focusing on those, said Mr Butail, who predicted a surprise. "Wait until the counting day, you will get a surprise result," he added.

A Congress party campaign room from 2019 in Mumbai. Getty Images
A Congress party campaign room from 2019 in Mumbai. Getty Images

BJP's data-driven campaign

In contrast, the ruling BJP does not have a formal central war room. Instead, it uses a variety of methods, including political consulting firms, to gather data and calibrate its campaign.

At the BJP's old office in Ashok Road in central Delhi, more than 100 professionals are engaged in collecting and analysing data on voters, candidates, constituencies and various welfare programmes.

Political consultancy firms including Varahe Analytics and Association of Billion Minds have used thousands of employees to collect data, conduct surveys and give recommendations to the BJP leadership, sources said.

The firms have provided information on governance feedback, ground intelligence and data-backed insights, the sources said.

Jarvis Technology & Strategy Consulting is also providing technological support, conducting data mapping and managing call centres for the BJP with its 300 full-time workers and thousands of paid associates.

Through 360 call centres, Jarvis is reaching out to as many as six million BJP workers every day, a Jarvis official said.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi displays the Bharatiya Janata Party lotus symbol while on campaign in Chennai. AP
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi displays the Bharatiya Janata Party lotus symbol while on campaign in Chennai. AP

The BJP has a database of 210 million party workers and supporters collected during various programmes and "missed call" campaigns.

Jarvis staff and BJP workers are also establishing connections with as many as 260 million voters, mostly beneficiaries of government welfare programmes, a Jarvis official said.

The data of party supporters and voters, along with feedback gathered through call centres, is being stored in an app called Saral and analysed in real-time.

The BJP’s central leadership, including Mr Modi, Home Minister Amit Shah and the party President JP Nadda, receive daily reports, on which they take strategic campaign decisions. Mr Shah has his own team to receive feedback, sources said.

Amit Shah, India's Home Minister and leader of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party, in Sanand, near Ahmedabad. AFP
Amit Shah, India's Home Minister and leader of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party, in Sanand, near Ahmedabad. AFP

Rise of the consultants

The political consulting industry in India is growing as parties and candidates seek the help of poll specialists to navigate the evolving political landscape and complex elections.

Many of these consulting firms are run by former students of India’s top Institutes of Technology and Management. Many of the consultants do not have political backgrounds, but say they understand the dynamics of politics and the instincts of voters well.

The role of poll strategists and political aides has grown since the 2014 elections, which Mr Modi won after an innovative digital campaign.

The poster boy of the industry is Prashant Kishore, a sought-after political strategist who is credited with helping Mr Modi to victory in 2014. He also worked with Congress and other regional parties to win state elections through his Indian Political Action Committee, or I-PAC.

Several members of I-PAC have since branched out and set up their own firms.

Political strategist Prashant Kishor in Patna, India, in 2022. Getty Images
Political strategist Prashant Kishor in Patna, India, in 2022. Getty Images

The industry is still evolving rapidly. Experts say there are about 150 political consultancies in India of different sizes. Their charges range from 100,000 rupees ($1,200) to as much as 10 million rupees, depending on their services.

Many smaller parties and individual candidates also use tech-savvy professionals to support their campaigns.

Animesh Pandey, who cofounded the political consultancy firm P-Marq, said his team had been assisting a national party on voter concerns and priorities. He did not specify which party, for strategic reasons.

Another political consultant, Amit Singh, said he had advised another party that caste-based voting will have less relevance this time, using analysis of voting patterns and data from ground.

Separately, many candidates have also engaged agencies for specific tasks such as managing social media campaigns.

"We closely work with the candidates to provide unbiased information and good strategy to win elections," said Dhawal Vasavada, director of PoliticalEDGE, which provides full-service election management to individual candidates from conducting research of constituencies to strengthening connections with voters.

"It’s a very nascent industry – about 15 years. Based on the size of the industry, the demand is good."

A voter awareness poster is displayed outside a polling station in Dugeli village, in Chhattisgarh state. AFP
A voter awareness poster is displayed outside a polling station in Dugeli village, in Chhattisgarh state. AFP

Professionals are also helping candidates to overhaul their brands. Amaresh Rai is a political coach, who gives formulas to individual candidates on how to win elections, focusing on attitude, speech and dress.

Alongside political consulting firms, coaching centres and institutions like School of Politics and Indian School of Democracy are also growing.

"We have training and mentorship programmes where we handhold people, create strategy for them to ensure they contest and win elections," said Abhimanyu Bharti, founder of the School of Politics. "The focus is how to understand the pulse of voters."

Two former students of the institution are contesting the elections, he said.

Despite the booming political consultancy industry, some have warned that they can only make a limited effect, with elections won and lost due to a range of factors.

Amitabh Tiwari, a political analyst with experience in consulting, said the key value of political strategists was their ability to give blunt feedback that political leaders may not otherwise receive.

However, he warned against exaggerating the impact of fellow consultants. "Good marketing can't sell a bad product," he said.

MATCH INFO

Manchester City 0

Wolves 2 (Traore 80', 90 4')

The%20specs%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2.0-litre%204cyl%20turbo%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E261hp%20at%205%2C500rpm%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E400Nm%20at%201%2C750-4%2C000rpm%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E7-speed%20dual-clutch%20auto%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFuel%20consumption%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E10.5L%2F100km%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EOn%20sale%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENow%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFrom%20Dh129%2C999%20(VX%20Luxury)%3B%20from%20Dh149%2C999%20(VX%20Black%20Gold)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting

2. Prayer

3. Hajj

4. Shahada

5. Zakat 

Specs

Engine: Duel electric motors
Power: 659hp
Torque: 1075Nm
On sale: Available for pre-order now
Price: On request

The Settlers

Director: Louis Theroux

Starring: Daniella Weiss, Ari Abramowitz

Rating: 5/5

The years Ramadan fell in May

1987

1954

1921

1888

The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting

2. Prayer

3. Hajj

4. Shahada

5. Zakat 

The five pillars of Islam

1. Fasting 

2. Prayer 

3. Hajj 

4. Shahada 

5. Zakat 

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The five pillars of Islam
BMW M5 specs

Engine: 4.4-litre twin-turbo V-8 petrol enging with additional electric motor

Power: 727hp

Torque: 1,000Nm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km

On sale: Now

Price: From Dh650,000

Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh190,000 (Countryman)
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
While you're here
Recent winners

2002 Giselle Khoury (Colombia)

2004 Nathalie Nasralla (France)

2005 Catherine Abboud (Oceania)

2007 Grace Bijjani  (Mexico)

2008 Carina El-Keddissi (Brazil)

2009 Sara Mansour (Brazil)

2010 Daniella Rahme (Australia)

2011 Maria Farah (Canada)

2012 Cynthia Moukarzel (Kuwait)

2013 Layla Yarak (Australia)              

2014 Lia Saad  (UAE)

2015 Cynthia Farah (Australia)

2016 Yosmely Massaad (Venezuela)

2017 Dima Safi (Ivory Coast)

2018 Rachel Younan (Australia)

Tightening the screw on rogue recruiters

The UAE overhauled the procedure to recruit housemaids and domestic workers with a law in 2017 to protect low-income labour from being exploited.

 Only recruitment companies authorised by the government are permitted as part of Tadbeer, a network of labour ministry-regulated centres.

A contract must be drawn up for domestic workers, the wages and job offer clearly stating the nature of work.

The contract stating the wages, work entailed and accommodation must be sent to the employee in their home country before they depart for the UAE.

The contract will be signed by the employer and employee when the domestic worker arrives in the UAE.

Only recruitment agencies registered with the ministry can undertake recruitment and employment applications for domestic workers.

Penalties for illegal recruitment in the UAE include fines of up to Dh100,000 and imprisonment

But agents not authorised by the government sidestep the law by illegally getting women into the country on visit visas.

About Karol Nawrocki

• Supports military aid for Ukraine, unlike other eurosceptic leaders, but he will oppose its membership in western alliances.

• A nationalist, his campaign slogan was Poland First. "Let's help others, but let's take care of our own citizens first," he said on social media in April.

• Cultivates tough-guy image, posting videos of himself at shooting ranges and in boxing rings.

• Met Donald Trump at the White House and received his backing.

The%20specs%3A%202024%20Mercedes%20E200
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2.0-litre%20four-cyl%20turbo%20%2B%20mild%20hybrid%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E204hp%20at%205%2C800rpm%20%2B23hp%20hybrid%20boost%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E320Nm%20at%201%2C800rpm%20%2B205Nm%20hybrid%20boost%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E9-speed%20auto%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFuel%20consumption%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E7.3L%2F100km%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EOn%20sale%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENovember%2FDecember%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFrom%20Dh205%2C000%20(estimate)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
It Was Just an Accident

Director: Jafar Panahi

Stars: Vahid Mobasseri, Mariam Afshari, Ebrahim Azizi, Hadis Pakbaten, Majid Panahi, Mohamad Ali Elyasmehr

Rating: 4/5

Six large-scale objects on show
  • Concrete wall and windows from the now demolished Robin Hood Gardens housing estate in Poplar
  • The 17th Century Agra Colonnade, from the bathhouse of the fort of Agra in India
  • A stagecloth for The Ballet Russes that is 10m high – the largest Picasso in the world
  • Frank Lloyd Wright’s 1930s Kaufmann Office
  • A full-scale Frankfurt Kitchen designed by Margarete Schütte-Lihotzky, which transformed kitchen design in the 20th century
  • Torrijos Palace dome
The%20specs%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EDual%20permanently%20excited%20synchronous%20motors%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E516hp%20or%20400Kw%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E858Nm%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ESingle%20speed%20auto%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERange%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E485km%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFrom%20Dh699%2C000%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
UNpaid bills:

Countries with largest unpaid bill for UN budget in 2019

USA – $1.055 billion

Brazil – $143 million

Argentina – $52 million

Mexico – $36 million

Iran – $27 million

Israel – $18 million

Venezuela – $17 million

Korea – $10 million

Countries with largest unpaid bill for UN peacekeeping operations in 2019

USA – $2.38 billion

Brazil – $287 million

Spain – $110 million

France – $103 million

Ukraine – $100 million

 

Globalization and its Discontents Revisited
Joseph E. Stiglitz
W. W. Norton & Company

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

LILO & STITCH

Starring: Sydney Elizebeth Agudong, Maia Kealoha, Chris Sanders

Director: Dean Fleischer Camp

Rating: 4.5/5

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

 

MATCH INFO

Final: England v South Africa, Saturday, 1pm

How has net migration to UK changed?

The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.

It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.

The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.

The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Part three: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe

Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010

Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille

Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm

Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year

Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”

Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners

TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013 

MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW

Starring: Ramy Youssef, Steve Carell, Jason Schwartzman

Director: Jesse Armstrong

Rating: 3.5/5

The Sand Castle

Director: Matty Brown

Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea

Rating: 2.5/5

Tiger%20Stripes%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Amanda%20Nell%20Eu%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Zafreen%20Zairizal%2C%20Deena%20Ezral%20and%20Piqa%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204.5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Mamo 

 Year it started: 2019 Founders: Imad Gharazeddine, Asim Janjua

 Based: Dubai, UAE

 Number of employees: 28

 Sector: Financial services

 Investment: $9.5m

 Funding stage: Pre-Series A Investors: Global Ventures, GFC, 4DX Ventures, AlRajhi Partners, Olive Tree Capital, and prominent Silicon Valley investors. 

 
Key recommendations
  • Fewer criminals put behind bars and more to serve sentences in the community, with short sentences scrapped and many inmates released earlier.
  • Greater use of curfews and exclusion zones to deliver tougher supervision than ever on criminals.
  • Explore wider powers for judges to punish offenders by blocking them from attending football matches, banning them from driving or travelling abroad through an expansion of ‘ancillary orders’.
  • More Intensive Supervision Courts to tackle the root causes of crime such as alcohol and drug abuse – forcing repeat offenders to take part in tough treatment programmes or face prison.
Updated: April 19, 2024, 7:32 AM`