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Hamas's attack on Israel was the product of a meticulously planned operation that was set in motion at least a year ago and made possible largely due to financial support, weapons knowledge and training from Iran, experts and former intelligence officials have said.
While publicly praising Hamas's Al Aqsa Flood operation that has led to the deaths of more than 2,000 people in Israel and Gaza, Tehran has denied any involvement. So far, the US has said there is no “smoking gun” linking Tehran directly to the attack, though it has said Iran is “complicit”.
Tehran's lengthy and somewhat complex ties to Hamas are well documented.
The militant group temporarily distanced itself from Iran for several years due to Tehran's backing of Syria's President Bashar Al Assad during the Syrian civil war in 2011.
Tension between Hamas and Tehran escalated in 2015, when Hamas signalled its backing for the Saudi Arabia-led military campaign in Yemen against the Houthis, a militant rebel group supported by Iran.
Eventually, Hamas realigned itself with Tehran and has openly engaged in dialogue with Iran regarding its military objectives.
According to the Washington-based research institute the Foundation for Defence of Democracies, Iran has built a network of at least 19 armed groups on Israel’s borders, including in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon and Syria.
The largest of these organisations are Hamas and Islamic Jihad, which are based in Gaza, and Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Military co-operation between Hamas and Iran grew over the past decade under the control of two prominent figures: Yahya Sinwar, the head of the organisation in Gaza, and Saleh Aruri, the head of Hamas in the West Bank.
“They both promote extreme radical and militant policy and therefore promote relations with Iran,” Michael Milshtein, the former head of the Department for Palestinian Affairs in the Israeli military’s intelligence directorate, told The National.
Mr Sinwar, who once led Hamas's military wing and spent 22 years in an Israeli prison for the killing of two Israeli soldiers, currently oversees the group’s affairs in Gaza.
However, Mohammed Deif, the supreme military commander of the military wing of Hamas and Israel’s most wanted man, is said to be the architect behind the unprecedented assault on Israel.
A survivor of seven Israeli assassination attempts, most recently in 2021, Mr Deif never appears in public.
He is a military man who “opposes political solutions with Israel and disdains the political game of compromise and co-operation”, Omri Brinner, Middle East expert at the International Team for the Study of Security, told The National.
Seized power in 2006
Established in 1987 during the First Intifada by Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, a Palestinian cleric, Hamas became a prominent political force, with Fatah as its primary adversary.
The group's relationship with Iran developed in 1992, when Israel carried out a mass expulsion of 400 Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad leaders to southern Lebanon.
“They made initial contacts with Hezbollah at that time and were in Lebanon for about a year,” Michael Eisenstadt, director of the Washington Institute’s Military and Security Studies Programme, told The National.
The relationship, which was more an “alliance of convenience”, ramped up after the Oslo Accords in 1993, he noted. Both Hamas and Islamic Jihad sought to undermine and scuttle peace negotiations between the Palestinians and Israel.
Hamas wanted an independent Palestinian state along the pre-Arab-Israeli War of 1967 “Green Line” and Iran was willing to help them militarily to undermine the peace process – and they were willing to take help from wherever it came, said Mr Eisenstadt.
The militant Palestinian group “that relies on repression and savagery, both internal and external, in order to survive” carried out a suicide bombing for the first time in April 1993, five months before Palestine Liberation Organisation leader Yasser Arafat and Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin signed the Oslo Accords.
For nearly two decades, Iranian rockets and weaponry were transported from to Sudan, and then smuggled through tunnels underneath the Egyptian border into Gaza.
But in 2014, the Egyptian military closed numerous tunnels linking Sinai to Gaza, prompting Iran to assist Hamas in developing “indigenous” capabilities so they would be able to continue weapons production.
Iran's role under scrutiny
While there is “no doubt” that Hamas’s military capabilities came about as a result of Iranian assistance, said Mr Eisenstadt, it is not clear if Iran had a role in the planning of Saturday's assault – although they “may have” encouraged Palestinian militants to conduct these kinds of operations.
Mr Brinner believes the timing of the attacks points towards Iranian involvement.
“The gathering of intelligence, the application of tactical manoeuvres and the extremely well-planned attack on the music festival require many months of planning and training, which supports the assertion that stronger and more experienced forces than Hamas, such as Hezbollah and the IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps], were involved in the process,” he said.
More pressure came on Iran after the US withdrew from the nuclear deal, giving Tehran an incentive to invest in upgrading Hamas’s capabilities, Vali Nasr, who served as senior advisor to US Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, ambassador Richard Holbrooke, told The National.
If the Israelis had not “blundered” in their treatment of Palestinians, “Iran would not have had the opportunity with Hamas”, he added.
“Undeniably the so-called international community has failed the Palestinians, it has accelerated this descent into hell because when you let the situation rot for so long, it could have been easy to anticipate this new outburst of violence,” said Karim Bitar, associate research fellow at the Institute for International and Strategic Affairs in Paris.
Israel's understanding of Hamas has been fundamentally flawed due to its reliance on western assumptions and perspectives, argued Mr Milshtein.
“We used to believe that every radical ideological organisation like Hamas which takes control over a state or any other political entity becomes moderate and that if you improve its economic and civil situation, its basic militant ambitions will be restrained,” he said.
Hamas proved on October 7, said Mr Milshtein, how wrong our perception of the Palestinian militant group was and how lethal Hamas is.
Israel-Gaza war latest – in pictures
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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The White Lotus: Season three
Creator: Mike White
Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell
Rating: 4.5/5
MATCH INFO
Delhi Daredevils 174-4 (20 ovs)
Mumbai Indians 163 (19.3 ovs)
Delhi won the match by 11 runs
Scoreline:
Cardiff City 0
Liverpool 2
Wijnaldum 57', Milner 81' (pen)
Baftas 2020 winners
BEST FILM
- 1917 - Pippa Harris, Callum McDougall, Sam Mendes, Jayne-Ann Tenggren
- THE IRISHMAN - Robert De Niro, Jane Rosenthal, Martin Scorsese, Emma Tillinger Koskoff
- JOKER - Bradley Cooper, Todd Phillips, Emma Tillinger Koskoff
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - David Heyman, Shannon McIntosh, Quentin Tarantino
- PARASITE - Bong Joon-ho, Kwak Sin-ae
DIRECTOR
- 1917 - Sam Mendes
- THE IRISHMAN - Martin Scorsese
- JOKER - Todd Phillips
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - Quentin Tarantino
- PARASITE - Bong Joon-ho
OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
- 1917 - Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris, Callum McDougall, Jayne-Ann Tenggren, Krysty Wilson-Cairns
- BAIT - Mark Jenkin, Kate Byers, Linn Waite
- FOR SAMA - Waad al-Kateab, Edward Watts
- ROCKETMAN - Dexter Fletcher, Adam Bohling, David Furnish, David Reid, Matthew Vaughn, Lee Hall
- SORRY WE MISSED YOU - Ken Loach, Rebecca O’Brien, Paul Laverty
- THE TWO POPES - Fernando Meirelles, Jonathan Eirich, Dan Lin, Tracey Seaward, Anthony McCarten
FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
- THE FAREWELL - Lulu Wang, Daniele Melia
- FOR SAMA - Waad al-Kateab, Edward Watts
- PAIN AND GLORY - Pedro Almodóvar, Agustín Almodóvar
- PARASITE - Bong Joon-ho
- PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE - Céline Sciamma, Bénédicte Couvreur
LEADING ACTRESS
- JESSIE BUCKLEY - Wild Rose
- SCARLETT JOHANSSON - Marriage Story
- SAOIRSE RONAN - Little Women
- CHARLIZE THERON - Bombshell
- RENÉE ZELLWEGER - Judy
LEADING ACTOR
- LEONARDO DICAPRIO - Once Upon a Time… In Hollywood
- ADAM DRIVER - Marriage Story
- TARON EGERTON - Rocketman
- JOAQUIN PHOENIX - Joker
- JONATHAN PRYCE - The Two Popes
SUPPORTING ACTOR
- TOM HANKS - A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
- ANTHONY HOPKINS - The Two Popes
- AL PACINO - The Irishman
- JOE PESCI - The Irishman
- BRAD PITT - Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- LAURA DERN - Marriage Story
- SCARLETT JOHANSSON - Jojo Rabbit
- FLORENCE PUGH - Little Women
- MARGOT ROBBIE - Bombshell
- MARGOT ROBBIE - Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- THE IRISHMAN - Steven Zaillian
- JOJO RABBIT - Taika Waititi
- JOKER - Todd Phillips, Scott Silver
- LITTLE WOMEN - Greta Gerwig
- THE TWO POPES - Anthony McCarten
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- BOOKSMART - Susanna Fogel, Emily Halpern, Sarah Haskins, Katie Silberman
- KNIVES OUT - Rian Johnson
- MARRIAGE STORY - Noah Baumbach
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - Quentin Tarantino
- PARASITE - Han Jin Won, Bong Joon ho
DOCUMENTARY
- AMERICAN FACTORY - Steven Bognar, Julia Reichert
- APOLLO 11 - Todd Douglas Miller
- DIEGO MARADONA - Asif Kapadia
- FOR SAMA - Waad al-Kateab, Edward Watts
- THE GREAT HACK - Karim Amer, Jehane Noujaime
OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
- BAIT - Mark Jenkin (Writer/Director), Kate Byers, Linn Waite (Producers)
- FOR SAMA - Waad al-Kateab (Director/Producer), Edward Watts (Director)
- MAIDEN - Alex Holmes (Director)
- ONLY YOU - Harry Wootliff (Writer/Director)
- RETABLO - Álvaro Delgado-Aparicio (Writer/Director)
ANIMATED FILM
- FROZEN 2 - Chris Buck, Jennifer Lee, Peter Del Vecho
- KLAUS - Sergio Pablos, Jinko Gotoh
- A SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE: FARMAGEDDON - Will Becher, Richard Phelan, Paul Kewley
- TOY STORY 4 - Josh Cooley, Mark Nielsen
CASTING
- JOKER - Shayna Markowitz
- MARRIAGE STORY - Douglas Aibel, Francine Maisler
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - Victoria Thomas
- THE PERSONAL HISTORY OF DAVID COPPERFIELD - Sarah Crowe
- THE TWO POPES - Nina Gold
EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)
- AWKWAFINA
- JACK LOWDEN
- KAITLYN DEVER
- KELVIN HARRISON JR.
- MICHEAL WARD
CINEMATOGRAPHY
- 1917 - Roger Deakins
- THE IRISHMAN - Rodrigo Prieto
- JOKER - Lawrence Sher
- LE MANS ’66 - Phedon Papamichael
- THE LIGHTHOUSE - Jarin Blaschke
EDITING
- THE IRISHMAN - Thelma Schoonmaker
- JOJO RABBIT - Tom Eagles
- JOKER - Jeff Groth
- LE MANS ’66 - Andrew Buckland, Michael McCusker
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - Fred Raskin
COSTUME DESIGN
- THE IRISHMAN - Christopher Peterson, Sandy Powell
- JOJO RABBIT - Mayes C. Rubeo
- JUDY - Jany Temime
- LITTLE WOMEN - Jacqueline Durran
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - Arianne Phillips
PRODUCTION DESIGN
- 1917 - Dennis Gassner, Lee Sandales
- THE IRISHMAN - Bob Shaw, Regina Graves
- JOJO RABBIT - Ra Vincent, Nora Sopková
- JOKER - Mark Friedberg, Kris Moran
- ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD - Barbara Ling, Nancy Haigh
SOUND
- 1917 - Scott Millan, Oliver Tarney, Rachael Tate, Mark Taylor, Stuart Wilson
- JOKER - Tod Maitland, Alan Robert Murray, Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic
- LE MANS ’66 - David Giammarco, Paul Massey, Steven A. Morrow, Donald Sylvester
- ROCKETMAN - Matthew Collinge, John Hayes, Mike Prestwood Smith, Danny Sheehan
- STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - David Acord, Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio, Stuart Wilson, Matthew Wood
ORIGINAL SCORE
- 1917 - Thomas Newman
- JOJO RABBIT - Michael Giacchino
- JOKER - Hildur Guđnadóttir
- LITTLE WOMEN - Alexandre Desplat
- STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - John Williams
SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
- 1917 - Greg Butler, Guillaume Rocheron, Dominic Tuohy
- AVENGERS: ENDGAME - Dan Deleeuw, Dan Sudick
- THE IRISHMAN - Leandro Estebecorena, Stephane Grabli, Pablo Helman
- THE LION KING - Andrew R. Jones, Robert Legato, Elliot Newman, Adam Valdez
- STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - Roger Guyett, Paul Kavanagh, Neal Scanlan, Dominic Tuohy
MAKE UP & HAIR
- 1917 - Naomi Donne
- BOMBSHELL - Vivian Baker, Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan
- JOKER - Kay Georgiou, Nicki Ledermann
- JUDY - Jeremy Woodhead
- ROCKETMAN - Lizzie Yianni Georgiou
BRITISH SHORT FILM
- AZAAR - Myriam Raja, Nathanael Baring
- GOLDFISH - Hector Dockrill, Harri Kamalanathan, Benedict Turnbull, Laura Dockrill
- KAMALI - Sasha Rainbow, Rosalind Croad
- LEARNING TO SKATEBOARD IN A WARZONE (IF YOU’RE A GIRL) - Carol Dysinger, Elena Andreicheva
- THE TRAP - Lena Headey, Anthony Fitzgerald
BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
- GRANDAD WAS A ROMANTIC - Maryam Mohajer
- IN HER BOOTS - Kathrin Steinbacher
- THE MAGIC BOAT - Naaman Azh
THE%20HOLDOVERS
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BULKWHIZ PROFILE
Date started: February 2017
Founders: Amira Rashad (CEO), Yusuf Saber (CTO), Mahmoud Sayedahmed (adviser), Reda Bouraoui (adviser)
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: E-commerce
Size: 50 employees
Funding: approximately $6m
Investors: Beco Capital, Enabling Future and Wain in the UAE; China's MSA Capital; 500 Startups; Faith Capital and Savour Ventures in Kuwait