The Iraqi parliament, where a showdown over proposed national election legislation is now expected on Saturday. Photo: Iraqi Parliament Media Office
The Iraqi parliament, where a showdown over proposed national election legislation is now expected on Saturday. Photo: Iraqi Parliament Media Office
The Iraqi parliament, where a showdown over proposed national election legislation is now expected on Saturday. Photo: Iraqi Parliament Media Office
The Iraqi parliament, where a showdown over proposed national election legislation is now expected on Saturday. Photo: Iraqi Parliament Media Office

Iraqi MPs delay decision on new voting law but set provincial elections for November


Sinan Mahmoud
  • English
  • Arabic

Iraq’s provincial council elections are set to take place on November 6 after parliament approved the date for the vote.

A showdown over a controversial new national election law, however, has been delayed until Saturday.

After the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein’s regime, parliamentary and provincial council elections were introduced as the main pillar for democracy.

Provincial councils play a vital role as the sub-national legislative authority, as well as devising localised development plans.

They have the power to elect and replace provincial governors and make special appointments. However, they have limited power in approving projects and spending.

When the youth-led, pro-reform protests broke out in central and southern Iraq in October 2019, one of their main demands was dissolving provincial councils, which they accused of widespread corruption.

In a bid to appease the protesters, parliament bowed to that demand and decided to disband provincial councils by the end of 2019.

However, the Supreme Federal Court ruled in June 2021 that such disbandment was unconstitutional and instead considered them frozen.

Controversial election law

Since 2003, Iraq has held five parliamentary elections, all with different systems for allocating seats. The latest was in October 2021.

In each system that governed elections before 2021, the method of seat distribution was changed in favour of the bigger political parties, the exception being a provincial election in 2013.

In that vote, Iraq used the Sainte Lague system, which benefits smaller parties, but it was modified in 2014's national elections, restoring the advantage for established political groups.

Under pressure from the October 2019 protests, known as the Tishreen Movement, MPs approved a new election law with numerous small electoral districts in each province and the winner being the party the highest number of votes, abolishing the modified Sainte Lague system.

That move gave the new independent parties — many of which were supported by protesters — a stronger chance of winning seats.

With the absence of the powerful Sadrist Movement from parliament — after its leader Moqtada Al Sadr withdrew its 73 MPs from the chamber — the controlling political parties are seeking to alter the law in their favour, pushing aside small independent groups.

Although Mr Al Sadr's bloc emerged with a strong plurality in October's elections, winning 73 of 329 seats, it failed to form a majority government, deepening the rift between him and his Shiite rivals.

The process of forming the government ground to a halt, forcing him to order his followers to resign from parliament and withdraw from the political process.

Established parties cement power

In support of the new law are the Iran-backed Co-ordination Framework, as well as the Parliament Speaker’s Taqadum party and two main Kurdish parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan.

They want to return to the modified Sainte Lague system introduced in 2014, which involves a complicated formula used to apportion seats in favour of established parties.

The system would also apply to provincial elections, none of which have been held since 2013. The delay has been blamed on disputes between Baghdad and Kurdish authorities, and insecurity arising from the conflict against ISIS.

Parliament was supposed to vote on the law on Sunday, but the session was delayed until dawn on Monday as many independent politicians who objected to the proposal walked out.

At about 4am, the session started with a needed quorum of 171 politicians, the legislative body said in a statement.

But they only voted on seven articles of 15 in the new election law, the statement added. It left the controversial articles for Saturday.

Hours after Monday’s parliamentary session, Iraqi security forces were heavily deployed at Baghdad’s Tahrir Square for a potential gathering of protesters who are against the amendments.

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

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Zimbabwe v UAE, ODI series

All matches at the Harare Sports Club:

1st ODI, Wednesday, April 10

2nd ODI, Friday, April 12

3rd ODI, Sunday, April 14

4th ODI, Tuesday, April 16

UAE squad: Mohammed Naveed (captain), Rohan Mustafa, Ashfaq Ahmed, Shaiman Anwar, Mohammed Usman, CP Rizwan, Chirag Suri, Mohammed Boota, Ghulam Shabber, Sultan Ahmed, Imran Haider, Amir Hayat, Zahoor Khan, Qadeer Ahmed

Updated: March 20, 2023, 10:31 AM