Pirola, the new Covid-19 variant, has so far been found in Denmark, Israel, South Africa, Switzerland, the UK and the US. Photo: Reuters
Pirola, the new Covid-19 variant, has so far been found in Denmark, Israel, South Africa, Switzerland, the UK and the US. Photo: Reuters
Pirola, the new Covid-19 variant, has so far been found in Denmark, Israel, South Africa, Switzerland, the UK and the US. Photo: Reuters
Pirola, the new Covid-19 variant, has so far been found in Denmark, Israel, South Africa, Switzerland, the UK and the US. Photo: Reuters

Covid-19 Pirola variant likely to fade out, say experts


Daniel Bardsley
  • English
  • Arabic

Case numbers of a new coronavirus variant are likely to increase over winter but ultimately the virus will fade away, a leading expert has said.

The emerging BA.2.86 or Pirola variant of SARS-CoV-2 is also unlikely to cause more severe symptoms than other circulating versions.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) and the US said last month that it was closely monitoring variant, which has so far been found in Denmark, Israel, South Africa, Switzerland, the UK and the US.

Paul Hunter, a professor in medicine at the University of East Anglia in the UK, who has been one of the most prominent scientific voices during the pandemic, said that the new variant may have been "silently spreading" in countries that carry out little testing for weeks or even months.

I don't believe we'll find it's any more virulent or cause any more severe diseases
Paul Hunter,
professor in medicine at the University of East Anglia in the UK

Prof Hunter told The National that BA.2.86 had more than 30 mutations compared to its ancestor, the BA.2 variant, which caused a wave of infections.

However, he believes that the new variant is unlikely to avoid existing immunity, whether from vaccination or prior infection.

"I don't believe we'll find it's any more virulent or cause any more severe diseases," Prof Hunter said.

"It will probably increase for a while before it will fade out. Whether that drives up a huge number of infections, it's difficult to say. But probably not in my view, but we will see."

Spike in infections

Prof Hunter said infections will likely rise in the last quarter of the year, regardless of whether there are any new variants, adding that infections will peak in November, December, January and February.

The increase in infections, he says, is likely in parts of the northern hemisphere where the temperature drop in winter means that people spend extra time indoors and are more likely to catch and pass on pathogens.

Laboratory tests analysing Pirola have indicated that it's unlikely that the variant will escape immunity.

Prof Hunter said that while BA.2.86 was likely to become more common in the immediate future, it would also probably fade away just as quickly.

"That's what happens with every new variant: it starts off, looks really impressive, then a couple of months later it peters out," he said.

New variants are likely to multiply and spread more easily because people's pre-existing immunity would find it marginally harder to recognise them than pre-existing variants, he added.

However, as this advantage declines, the new variant no longer spreads faster than others. At the same time, evolution results in the creation of yet more new variants.

Increased analysis of variants

FL.1.5.1 is another variant that is causing about 15 per cent of infections in the United States. According to reports, it may be more effective at evading existing immunity than BA.2.86.

Moderna said this week that trials indicated that its vaccine against Kraken was likely to provide good protection against Pirola. Photo: AFP
Moderna said this week that trials indicated that its vaccine against Kraken was likely to provide good protection against Pirola. Photo: AFP

Ian Jones, a professor of virology at the University of Reading in the UK, said that there was an argument that the continued detection and detailed monitoring of variants was "find out more than you need".

"In years gone by, we wouldn't even know they were variants because the sequencing would not be done," he told The National.

The crucial factor, he says, is whether the new variants can cause severe symptoms.

"Will it lead people to be off work or lose their lives? The answer to that – a consistent downwards from the original strain – is no," he said.

While new vaccines have been formulated to cope with new variants, Prof Jones said that there had only been a few such updates, highlighting the way that the new variants were vulnerable to pre-existing immunity.

In August last year the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved what is called bivalent vaccines from Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech.

They are designed to provide protection against both the original version of the virus and the Omicron variant.

Reformulated vaccines aimed at providing immunity against XBB.1.5, known as Kraken, a subvariant of Omnicron, has been developed by Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna and Novartis, and are set to be rolled out soon.

Moderna said this week that trials indicated that its vaccine against Kraken was likely to provide good protection against Pirola too, Reuters reported.

It comes after comments from both Moderna and Pfizer made last month that their Kraken vaccine also provided good protection against the Eris variant or EG.5.

"Certainly [the vaccine manufacturers] are not falling over themselves to change the vaccine with the latest variant, which tells you something," Prof Jones said.

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Global state-owned investor ranking by size

1.

United States

2.

China

3.

UAE

4.

Japan

5

Norway

6.

Canada

7.

Singapore

8.

Australia

9.

Saudi Arabia

10.

South Korea

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Types of bank fraud

1) Phishing

Fraudsters send an unsolicited email that appears to be from a financial institution or online retailer. The hoax email requests that you provide sensitive information, often by clicking on to a link leading to a fake website.

2) Smishing

The SMS equivalent of phishing. Fraudsters falsify the telephone number through “text spoofing,” so that it appears to be a genuine text from the bank.

3) Vishing

The telephone equivalent of phishing and smishing. Fraudsters may pose as bank staff, police or government officials. They may persuade the consumer to transfer money or divulge personal information.

4) SIM swap

Fraudsters duplicate the SIM of your mobile number without your knowledge or authorisation, allowing them to conduct financial transactions with your bank.

5) Identity theft

Someone illegally obtains your confidential information, through various ways, such as theft of your wallet, bank and utility bill statements, computer intrusion and social networks.

6) Prize scams

Fraudsters claiming to be authorised representatives from well-known organisations (such as Etisalat, du, Dubai Shopping Festival, Expo2020, Lulu Hypermarket etc) contact victims to tell them they have won a cash prize and request them to share confidential banking details to transfer the prize money.

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
How much of your income do you need to save?

The more you save, the sooner you can retire. Tuan Phan, a board member of SimplyFI.com, says if you save just 5 per cent of your salary, you can expect to work for another 66 years before you are able to retire without too large a drop in income.

In other words, you will not save enough to retire comfortably. If you save 15 per cent, you can forward to another 43 working years. Up that to 40 per cent of your income, and your remaining working life drops to just 22 years. (see table)

Obviously, this is only a rough guide. How much you save will depend on variables, not least your salary and how much you already have in your pension pot. But it shows what you need to do to achieve financial independence.

 

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October 18 – November 2

Opening fixtures

Friday, October 18

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Zayed Cricket Stadium: 2.10pm, Hong Kong v Ireland, 7.30pm, Oman v UAE

UAE squad

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The candidates

Dr Ayham Ammora, scientist and business executive

Ali Azeem, business leader

Tony Booth, professor of education

Lord Browne, former BP chief executive

Dr Mohamed El-Erian, economist

Professor Wyn Evans, astrophysicist

Dr Mark Mann, scientist

Gina MIller, anti-Brexit campaigner

Lord Smith, former Cabinet minister

Sandi Toksvig, broadcaster

 

What are NFTs?

Are non-fungible tokens a currency, asset, or a licensing instrument? Arnab Das, global market strategist EMEA at Invesco, says they are mix of all of three.

You can buy, hold and use NFTs just like US dollars and Bitcoins. “They can appreciate in value and even produce cash flows.”

However, while money is fungible, NFTs are not. “One Bitcoin, dollar, euro or dirham is largely indistinguishable from the next. Nothing ties a dollar bill to a particular owner, for example. Nor does it tie you to to any goods, services or assets you bought with that currency. In contrast, NFTs confer specific ownership,” Mr Das says.

This makes NFTs closer to a piece of intellectual property such as a work of art or licence, as you can claim royalties or profit by exchanging it at a higher value later, Mr Das says. “They could provide a sustainable income stream.”

This income will depend on future demand and use, which makes NFTs difficult to value. “However, there is a credible use case for many forms of intellectual property, notably art, songs, videos,” Mr Das says.

Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
  • Priority access to new homes from participating developers
  • Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
  • Flexible payment plans from developers
  • Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
  • DLD registration fee can be paid through banks or credit cards at zero interest rates
Updated: September 07, 2023, 9:20 AM`