Cancer patients could overwhelm the UK’s National Health Service as more and more people are diagnosed with the disease, a leading charity has warned.
Cases are projected to rise from the current 384,000 a year to 506,000 in 2040, a jump of about a third that would take the number of new annual cases to more than 500,000 for the first time, Cancer Research UK data showed.
The NHS could be “overwhelmed by the sheer volume of new cancer diagnoses”, the charity said.
“Right now, the NHS is just about treading water,” said Charles Swanton, Cancer Research UK’s chief clinician.
“By the end of the next decade, if left unaided, the NHS risks being overwhelmed by the sheer volume of new cancer diagnoses.
“It takes 15 years to train an oncologist, pathologist, radiologist or surgeon. The government must start planning now to give patients the support they will so desperately need.”
About four in 10 cancer cases are preventable, with the two biggest preventable causes being smoking and carrying excess weight.
If current trends continue, smoking could cause one million cancer cases in the UK between now and 2040, Cancer Research UK said.
Its figures show there will be 208,000 overall cancer deaths in the UK each year by 2040 — an increase of almost a quarter from the 167,000 seen now.
In total, there could be 8.4 million new cases of cancer between 2023 and 2040.
Cancer Research UK said the figures should be a warning to the government and added that cancer survival in the UK lags behind that of comparable countries.
Michelle Mitchell, Cancer Research UK’s chief executive, said: “Today’s analysis provides a stark reminder of the challenges the NHS in England is set to face in years to come.
“Cancer patients are already facing unacceptably long waits for diagnosis and treatment, and staff in cancer services are working very hard.”
The government’s recently announced Major Conditions Strategy — which replaces a previously promised 10-year cancer plan — is “also unlikely to provide the road map required to achieve this goal”, the charity said.
The figures show that the number of people diagnosed with kidney cancer every year is projected to increase by 61 per cent between 2017-2019 and 2038-2040, from about 13,600 to about 21,900.
Over the same period, the number of men diagnosed with prostate cancer is projected to rise by 55 per cent, from about 54,800 to about 85,100.
And the number of women dying from uterine cancer could rise by 68 per cent between 2018-2021 and 2038-2040, from about 2,500 to about 4,200.
Deaths from liver cancer are projected to jump from about 6,000 to about 9,500 ever year.
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The smuggler
Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple.
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.
Khouli conviction
Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.
For sale
A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.
- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico
- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000
- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950
Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week
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Wales 20-19 France
Wales: T: Wainwright, Moriarty. Cons: Biggar (2) Pens: Biggar 2
France: T: Vahaamahina, Ollivon, Vakatawa Cons: Ntamack (2)
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Name: Timothy Husband
Nationality: New Zealand
Education: Degree in zoology at The University of Sydney
Favourite book: Lemurs of Madagascar by Russell A Mittermeier
Favourite music: Billy Joel
Weekends and holidays: Talking about animals or visiting his farm in Australia
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
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COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
Family reunited
Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe was born and raised in Tehran and studied English literature before working as a translator in the relief effort for the Japanese International Co-operation Agency in 2003.
She moved to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies before moving to the World Health Organisation as a communications officer.
She came to the UK in 2007 after securing a scholarship at London Metropolitan University to study a master's in communication management and met her future husband through mutual friends a month later.
The couple were married in August 2009 in Winchester and their daughter was born in June 2014.
She was held in her native country a year later.
THE BIO
Born: Mukalla, Yemen, 1979
Education: UAE University, Al Ain
Family: Married with two daughters: Asayel, 7, and Sara, 6
Favourite piece of music: Horse Dance by Naseer Shamma
Favourite book: Science and geology
Favourite place to travel to: Washington DC
Best advice you’ve ever been given: If you have a dream, you have to believe it, then you will see it.
Dust and sand storms compared
Sand storm
- Particle size: Larger, heavier sand grains
- Visibility: Often dramatic with thick "walls" of sand
- Duration: Short-lived, typically localised
- Travel distance: Limited
- Source: Open desert areas with strong winds
Dust storm
- Particle size: Much finer, lightweight particles
- Visibility: Hazy skies but less intense
- Duration: Can linger for days
- Travel distance: Long-range, up to thousands of kilometres
- Source: Can be carried from distant regions
